Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
3 – 2
Full Time
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 17:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Ademola Lookman 38' 1–0
1–1 45+3' Olivier Giroud
Ademola Lookman 55' 2–1
2–2 80' Luka Jovic
Luis Muriel 90+5' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Vecchi
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec AC Milan H 3–2 W
04 Dec Torino FC A 0–3 L
30 Nov Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–1 D
25 Nov SSC Napoli H 1–2 L
12 Nov Udinese Calcio A 1–1 D
09 Nov SK Sturm Graz H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
02 Dec Frosinone Calcio H 3–1 W
28 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#11 Position #5
6 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
7 Conceded 4
-2 GD +6
1.20 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Gewiss Stadium. Atalanta BC are looking to make home advantage count against AC Milan.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 527 games and scored 717 goals.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Atalanta BC in their 3-4-1-2 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-3-3.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 38' Ademola Lookman doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atalanta BC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 48' Magnificent from Olivier Giroud! That is 98 goals in 411 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 53' Atalanta BC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' GOAL! Ademola Lookman scores on 55. Assisted by Charles De Ketelaere
  • 59' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Samuel Chukwueze is replaced by Ismael Bennacer.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mike Maignan is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atalanta BC.
  • 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 71' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Tijjani Reijnders will be fuming at that decision.
  • 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ederson.
  • 72' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is replaced by Luka Jovic.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 80' What composure from Luka Jovic! The Serbia international strokes it home. 2-2.
  • 81' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Davide Calabria gets a Yellow card.
  • 82' Luis Muriel gets the nod from Atalanta BC. He replaces Charles De Ketelaere and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Mario Pasalic departs to be replaced by Michel Adopo.
  • 88' Luka Jovic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 88.
  • 88' Yacine Adli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tijjani Reijnders on 88 minute.
  • 90' Atalanta BC make a change. Matteo Ruggeri trudges off to be replaced by Emil Holm on 90 minutes.
  • 90' Ismael Bennacer is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Atalanta BC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.87 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or AC Milan 75% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC31% Draw25% AC Milan44%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
56%
Draw or AC Milan
69%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC20% Draw43% AC Milan37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–2 not predicted
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.6%
0 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 21% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 16% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.