Sunday , 16 August 2026

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 24,214 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Rafael Leao
0–2 45' Strahinja Pavlovic
0–3 74' Theo Hernandez
0–4 81' Tijjani Reijnders

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan H 0–4 L
04 Apr Genoa CFC A 0–1 L
30 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
15 Mar Hellas Verona FC H 0–1 L
10 Mar SS Lazio A 1–1 D
01 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio AC Milan
#13 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 13th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Stadio Friuli. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Udinese Calcio and AC Milan.
  • 5' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Udinese Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Udinese Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maduka Okoye, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Friuli with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 35' Thomas Kristensen, a Denmark , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 40' Udinese Calcio are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 42' Rafael Leao puts AC Milan on the lead.
  • 45' Strahinja Pavlovic is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 50' With 0 assists to his name this season, Theo Hernandez is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
  • 55' AC Milan make a change. Mike Maignan trudges off to be replaced by Marco Sportiello on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 64' A tactical swap from Udinese CalcioRui Modesto on, Sandi Lovric off on 64 minutes.
  • 65' The whistle greets Hassane Kamara as he departs to be replaced by Iker Bravo.
  • 70' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 73' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Luka Jovic on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' What composure from Theo Hernandez! The France international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 79' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kosta Runjaić will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' Assisted by Rafael Leao with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tijjani Reijnders makes no mistake. 0-4!
  • 83' Lorenzo Lucca makes way for Damian Pizarro at the 83 minute mark. A tactical switch from Udinese Calcio.
  • 84' Jaka Bijol was booked on 84.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Filippo Terracciano argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Another three points for AC Milan.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.46 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio19% Draw33% AC Milan48%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 48%
52%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
52%
Draw or AC Milan
81%
Udinese Calcio or AC Milan
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio9% Draw59% AC Milan32%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
22.4%
0 – 1
21.8%
0 – 2
12.7%
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 0
7.6%
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
2.5%
2 – 1
2.3%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 10% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 29% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 15% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
32%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
64%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.