Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2024-25

Udinese Calcio

0 – 4

Full Time

AC Milan

Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 24,214 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 42' Rafael Leao

0–2 45' Strahinja Pavlovic

0–3 74' Theo Hernandez

0–4 81' Tijjani Reijnders

Jaka Bijol 84' Y

Y 89' Filippo Terracciano

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Friuli.

Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
Assistant 2 Christian Rossi

7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.9 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan 2024-10-19 AC Milan 1–0 Udinese Calcio 2024-01-20 Udinese Calcio 2–3 AC Milan 2023-11-04 AC Milan 0–1 Udinese Calcio 2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	AC Milan	H	0–4	L
04 Apr	Genoa CFC	A	0–1	L
30 Mar	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–2	L
15 Mar	Hellas Verona FC	H	0–1	L
10 Mar	SS Lazio	A	1–1	D
01 Mar	Parma Calcio 1913	H	1–0	W

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	Udinese Calcio	A	4–0	W
05 Apr	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–2	D
30 Mar	SSC Napoli	A	1–2	L
15 Mar	Como 1907	H	2–1	W
08 Mar	US Lecce	A	3–2	W
02 Mar	SS Lazio	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		AC Milan
#10	Position	#5
50	Points	70
38	Played	38
14 / 8 / 16	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
45	Scored	53
48	Conceded	35
-3	GD	+18
1.32	PPG	1.84
37%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Udinese Calcio and AC Milan has kicked off!
5' The 27-year-old Christian Pulisic has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
10' Mike Maignan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' Udinese Calcio is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' Both keepers have barely been tested. Udinese Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
30' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
40' A quiet spell here at Stadio Friuli. Udinese Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
42' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
45' Strahinja Pavlovic does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
50' Udinese Calcio currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
55' Mike Maignan makes way for Marco Sportiello at the 55 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
60' Kingsley Ehizibue has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 42 cards already picked up this season.
64' Rui Modesto is replacing Sandi Lovric for the Udinese Calcio side.
65' Iker Bravo is replacing Hassane Kamara for the Udinese Calcio side.
70' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
73' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tammy Abraham is hanging Luka Jovic on the field on 73 minute.
74' Theo Hernandez adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
79' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
81' Assisted by Rafael Leao with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tijjani Reijnders makes no mistake. 0-4!
83' Damian Pizarro is replacing Lorenzo Lucca for the Udinese Calcio side.
84' A moment of madness from Jaka Bijol on 84 minutes earns him a card. Udinese Calcio will be frustrated.
89' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Filippo Terracciano gets a card.
0-4 the final result. Udinese Calcio will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

3-5-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Kosta Runjaić

AC Milan Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

14
Tijjani Reijnders
23
Fikayo Tomori
29
Youssouf Fofana
16
Mike Maignan ↓ Marco Sportiello 55'
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Filippo Terracciano 83'
11
Christian Pulisic
9
Luka Jovic ↓ Tammy Abraham 73'
19
Theo Hernandez ↓ Davide Bartesaghi 83'
31
Strahinja Pavlovic
46
Matteo Gabbia
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Riccardo Sottil 73'

Bench

Coach Sergio Conceicao

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ante Rebic	4
Theo Hernandez	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Rafael Leao	3
Rodrigo Becao	3
Roberto Pereyra	3
Franck Kessie	2
Beto	2

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan L 2025-04-04 Genoa CFC 1–0 Udinese Calcio L 2025-03-30 FC Internazionale Milano 2–1 Udinese Calcio L 2025-03-15 Udinese Calcio 0–1 Hellas Verona FC L 2025-03-10 SS Lazio 1–1 Udinese Calcio D 2025-03-01 Udinese Calcio 1–0 Parma Calcio 1913 W

AC Milan Form

2025-04-11 Udinese Calcio 0–4 AC Milan W 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan L 2025-03-15 AC Milan 2–1 Como 1907 W 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan W 2025-03-02 AC Milan 1–2 SS Lazio L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.97 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.86 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio23% Draw26% AC Milan51%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.83

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

49%

Draw or AC Milan

77%

Udinese Calcio or AC Milan

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio16% Draw44% AC Milan40%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.5%

0 – 1

10.2%

0 – 2

10%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 0

7.7%

0 – 3

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 1

1 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.7%

2 – 3

0 – 4

Actual

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	5%	93%
-1.5	7%	—	93%
-1	7%	12%	82%
-0.5	18%	—	82%
+0.5	43%	—	57%
+1	43%	23%	33%
+1.5	67%	—	33%
+2	67%	18%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.