Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Friuli 24,214 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Rafael Leao
0–2 45' Strahinja Pavlovic
0–3 74' Theo Hernandez
0–4 81' Tijjani Reijnders

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Friuli.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr AC Milan H 0–4 L
04 Apr Genoa CFC A 0–1 L
30 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
15 Mar Hellas Verona FC H 0–1 L
10 Mar SS Lazio A 1–1 D
01 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Udinese Calcio A 4–0 W
05 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 2–2 D
30 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
15 Mar Como 1907 H 2–1 W
08 Mar US Lecce A 3–2 W
02 Mar SS Lazio H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio AC Milan
#13 Position #5
4 Points 11
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
8 Scored 10
11 Conceded 4
-3 GD +6
0.80 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Udinese Calcio are 13th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Udinese Calcio
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 2 G 1 A
Hassane Kamara 2 G 1 A
Jakub Piotrowski 1 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Friuli!
  • 5' Udinese Calcio are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 10' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Arthur Atta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Udinese Calcio is showing some good football. However, Udinese Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 42' Rafael Leao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 45' Magnificent from Strahinja Pavlovic! That is 5 goals in 27 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Udinese Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 55' Marco Sportiello is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mike Maignan at the 55 minute mark.
  • 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kosta Runjaić will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 64' The Udinese Calcio manager makes a substitution. Sandi Lovric departs to be replaced by Rui Modesto.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Iker Bravo. He replaces Hassane Kamara on 65 minute.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Udinese Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 73' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Luka Jovic exits the field as Tammy Abraham enters on 73.
  • 74' Assisted by Tammy Abraham with the perfectly-timed delivery and Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. 0-3!
  • 79' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' What a strike from Tijjani Reijnders! The score is 0-4.
  • 83' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Lorenzo Lucca is replaced by Damian Pizarro.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jaka Bijol on 84 minutes.
  • 89' The referee has no hesitation. Filippo Terracciano is booked for AC Milan — card on 89.
  • With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.61 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + AC Milan to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio18% Draw21% AC Milan61%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
38%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
Udinese Calcio or AC Milan
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio11% Draw36% AC Milan53%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
8.1%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 29% — 71%
+1 29% 21% 50%
+1.5 50% — 50%
+2 50% 20% 30%
+2.5 70% — 30%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.