Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Stadio Friuli.
- Udinese Calcio 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
- Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | AC Milan | H | 0–4 | L |
| 04 Apr | Genoa CFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Hellas Verona FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Mar | SS Lazio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr | Udinese Calcio | A | 4–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Mar | SSC Napoli | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Como 1907 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | US Lecce | A | 3–2 | W |
| 02 Mar | SS Lazio | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Udinese Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #5 |
| 4 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 8 | Scored | 10 |
| 11 | Conceded | 4 |
| -3 | GD | +6 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 20% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season
Udinese Calcio this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
Udinese Calcio are 13th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Udinese Calcio
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/3
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Udinese Calcio
| Jurgen Ekkelenkamp | 2 G | 1 A |
| Hassane Kamara | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jakub Piotrowski | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Friuli!
- 5' Udinese Calcio are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 3-4-3 shape.
- 10' AC Milan is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Arthur Atta has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Udinese Calcio is showing some good football. However, Udinese Calcio are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 42' Rafael Leao is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 45' Magnificent from Strahinja Pavlovic! That is 5 goals in 27 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 50' The home supporters are growing impatient. Udinese Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Marco Sportiello is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mike Maignan at the 55 minute mark.
- 60' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Kosta Runjaić will be considering his options from the bench.
- 64' The Udinese Calcio manager makes a substitution. Sandi Lovric departs to be replaced by Rui Modesto.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Iker Bravo. He replaces Hassane Kamara on 65 minute.
- 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Udinese Calcio and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Luka Jovic exits the field as Tammy Abraham enters on 73.
- 74' Assisted by Tammy Abraham with the perfectly-timed delivery and Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. 0-3!
- 79' named a 3-5-1-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 81' What a strike from Tijjani Reijnders! The score is 0-4.
- 83' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Lorenzo Lucca is replaced by Damian Pizarro.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jaka Bijol on 84 minutes.
- 89' The referee has no hesitation. Filippo Terracciano is booked for AC Milan — card on 89.
- With this win, AC Milan is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Udinese Calcio Lineups
3-5-1-1Starting XI
-
17
Lorenzo Lucca ↓ Damian Pizarro 83'
- 32
- 19
- 28
-
11
Hassane Kamara ↓ Iker Bravo 65'
- 29
-
8
Sandi Lovric ↓ Rui Modesto 64'
- 25
- 40
- 31
- 14
Bench
- 27
- 93
- 5
- 90
- 6
- 30
-
21
Iker Bravo ↑ 65'
-
77
Rui Modesto ↑ 64'
-
99
Damian Pizarro ↑ 83'
Coach
Kosta Runjaić
AC Milan Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 14
- 23
- 29
-
16
Mike Maignan ↓ Marco Sportiello 55'
- 10
- 11
-
9
Luka Jovic ↓ Tammy Abraham 73'
- 19
- 31
- 46
-
20
Alex Jimenez ↓ Riccardo Sottil 73'
Bench
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 73'
- 21
- 24
-
99
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 73'
-
57
Marco Sportiello ↑ 55'
- 79
- 28
-
42
Filippo Terracciano ↑ 83'
- 80
- 38
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 83'
- 73
- 96
Coach
Sergio Conceicao
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ante Rebic | 4 |
| Theo Hernandez | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Rodrigo Becao | 3 |
| Roberto Pereyra | 3 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Beto | 2 |
Head to Head
Udinese Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96
Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.61
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + AC Milan to win 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Udinese Calcio or Draw
38%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
Udinese Calcio or AC Milan
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
8.1%
1 – 1
7.8%
1 – 3
7.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 4
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
0 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.7%
2 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio
| Handicap | Udinese Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| +1.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +2 | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| +2.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
Clean Sheet
Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

