AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Orsato
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
4 games this season
🟨 4.3/game
⚽ 15.5 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | Atalanta BC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | A | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Feb | AC Monza | A | 2–4 | L |
| 15 Feb | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | SSC Napoli | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Feb | Frosinone Calcio | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb | AC Milan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Feb | Genoa CFC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 04 Feb | SS Lazio | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jan | Udinese Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | Frosinone Calcio | H | 5–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 70 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 53 | Scored | 51 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +18 | GD | +15 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 53% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
- 3' Rafael Leao does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 8' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 18' Berat Djimsiti is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
- 23' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 28' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' Christian Pulisic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 38' Ederson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 40' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
- 42' What a moment for Teun Koopmeiners! That strike on 42 puts his side firmly in control.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Marten de Roon argues furiously but the card stands.
- 45' Atalanta BC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Davide Zappacosta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Holm on 46 minute.
- 51' The 35-year-old Alessandro Florenzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 56' The referee has no hesitation. Ademola Lookman is booked for Atalanta BC — card on 56.
- 57' Davide Calabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alessandro Florenzi on 57 minute.
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
- 63' The supporters are chanting for Gianluca Scamacca. He replaces Aleksei Miranchuk on 63 minute.
- 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 73' France international Theo Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Atalanta BC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 79' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Matteo Ruggeri departs to be replaced by Isak Hien.
- 84' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 88' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Noah Okafor comes on to replace Christian Pulisic.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ederson.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 8
- 7
- 16
- 10
-
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Noah Okafor 88'
- 19
- 42
-
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Yunus Musah 79'
- 46
- 28
Bench
- 14
- 24
- 21
- 83
-
2
Davide Calabria ↑ 57'
- 57
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 88'
- 20
- 38
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 79'
- 74
Coach
Stefano Pioli
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 7
- 13
- 23
- 15
- 59
- 29
- 17
-
3
Emil Holm ↓ Davide Zappacosta 46'
-
22
Matteo Ruggeri ↓ Isak Hien 79'
-
42
Giorgio Scalvini ↓ Rafael Toloi 88'
- 19
Bench
-
77
Davide Zappacosta ↑ 46'
-
11
Ademola Lookman ↑ 46'
- 20
-
90
Gianluca Scamacca ↑ 63'
- 31
-
2
Rafael Toloi ↑ 88'
- 33
- 8
- 1
- 10
- 25
-
4
Isak Hien ↑ 79'
- 6
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 3 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Duvan Zapata | 3 |
| Alejandro Gomez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan or Atalanta BC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or Atalanta BC
59%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 21% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 17% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

