AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2023-24

AC Milan

1 – 1

Full Time

Atalanta BC

Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'

Rafael Leao 3' 1–0

1–1 42' Teun Koopmeiners pen

Stefano Pioli 40' Y

Y 44' Marten de Roon

Y 45' Emil Holm

Rafael Leao 45' Y

Y 56' Ademola Lookman

Y 90' Ederson

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
Atalanta BC 5 games · 6 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Orsato
Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri

4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Atalanta BC

Last 5 meetings

2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC 2022-08-21 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2022-05-15 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	1–1	D
22 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	A	2–3	L
18 Feb	AC Monza	A	2–4	L
15 Feb	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	3–0	W
11 Feb	SSC Napoli	H	1–0	W
03 Feb	Frosinone Calcio	A	3–2	W

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	AC Milan	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	3–0	W
11 Feb	Genoa CFC	A	4–1	W
04 Feb	SS Lazio	H	3–1	W
27 Jan	Udinese Calcio	H	2–0	W
15 Jan	Frosinone Calcio	H	5–0	W

Season Stats

AC Milan		Atalanta BC
#5	Position	#11
11	Points	6
5	Played	5
3 / 2 / 0	W / D / L	2 / 0 / 3
10	Scored	5
4	Conceded	7
+6	GD	-2
2.20	PPG	1.20
60%	Win %	40%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atalanta BC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

1/–

46-60

1/1

61-75

1/1

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Atalanta BC

Ederson	1 G
Giacomo Raspadori	1 G
Nikola Krstovic	1 G
Lazar Samardzic	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with Atalanta BC.
3' AC Milan is taking the lead after the goal scored by Rafael Leao on 3.
8' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
13' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
18' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
23' Giorgio Scalvini has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charles De Ketelaere made 355 appearances and scored 48 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
38' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Olivier Giroud has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
40' Stefano Pioli is having his name booked by the referee on 40.
42' A stunning finish from Teun Koopmeiners — that came from absolutely nowhere!
44' That looks like a foul for a card for Marten de Roon.
45' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Emil Holm gets a card.
46' Atalanta BC make a change. Emil Holm trudges off to be replaced by Davide Zappacosta on 46 minutes.
51' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
56' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ademola Lookman on 56.
57' Another change for AC Milan made on 57 minute. Alessandro Florenzi leaves to be changed by Davide Calabria.
62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
63' A tactical swap from Atalanta BC — Gianluca Scamacca on, Aleksei Miranchuk off on 63 minutes.
68' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
73' Marten de Roon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
79' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Matteo Ruggeri is replaced by Isak Hien.
84' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
88' A tactical swap from AC Milan — Noah Okafor on, Christian Pulisic off on 88 minutes.
90' Ederson has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

9
Olivier Giroud
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
7
Yacine Adli
16
Mike Maignan
10
Rafael Leao
11
Christian Pulisic ↓ Noah Okafor 88'
19
Theo Hernandez
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↓ Davide Calabria 57'
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Yunus Musah 79'
46
Matteo Gabbia
28
Malick Thiaw

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

Atalanta BC Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

7
Teun Koopmeiners
13
Ederson
23
Sead Kolasinac
15
Marten de Roon
59
Aleksei Miranchuk ↓ Gianluca Scamacca 63'
29
Marco Carnesecchi
17
Charles De Ketelaere ↓ Ademola Lookman 46'
3
Emil Holm ↓ Davide Zappacosta 46'
22
Matteo Ruggeri ↓ Isak Hien 79'
42
Giorgio Scalvini ↓ Rafael Toloi 88'
19
Berat Djimsiti

Bench

Coach Gian Piero Gasperini

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ademola Lookman	3
Rafael Leao	3
Josip Ilicic	3
Duvan Zapata	3
Alejandro Gomez	2
Franck Kessie	2
Hakan Calhanoglu	2
Theo Hernandez	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.85 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.9 Atalanta BC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan53% Draw26% Atalanta BC21%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	76%	24%
± 2.5	51%	49%
± 3.5	30%	70%
± 4.5	15%	85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

79%

Draw or Atalanta BC

47%

AC Milan or Atalanta BC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan41% Draw45% Atalanta BC14%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

11.1%

2 – 0

10.7%

2 – 1

9.5%

0 – 0

8.2%

3 – 0

6.4%

3 – 1

5.9%

0 – 1

4.9%

1 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.3%

4 – 0

4 – 1

2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	Atalanta BC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	24%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

41% ✓

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Atalanta BC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

Atalanta BC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Clean Sheet