Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
1 1
Full Time
Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 3' 1–0
1–1 42' Teun Koopmeiners pen

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–3 L
18 Feb AC Monza A 2–4 L
15 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–0 W
11 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
03 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb AC Milan A 1–1 D
17 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio H 3–0 W
11 Feb Genoa CFC A 4–1 W
04 Feb SS Lazio H 3–1 W
27 Jan Udinese Calcio H 2–0 W
15 Jan Frosinone Calcio H 5–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#5 Position #7
70 Points 59
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
53 Scored 51
35 Conceded 36
+18 GD +15
1.84 PPG 1.55
53% Win % 39%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
  • 3' Rafael Leao does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 8' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 13' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 18' Berat Djimsiti is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atalanta BC tonight.
  • 23' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Milan is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' AC Milan currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 33' Christian Pulisic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 38' Ederson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
  • 40' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 42' What a moment for Teun Koopmeiners! That strike on 42 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Marten de Roon argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' Atalanta BC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Davide Zappacosta has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emil Holm on 46 minute.
  • 51' The 35-year-old Alessandro Florenzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 56' The referee has no hesitation. Ademola Lookman is booked for Atalanta BC — card on 56.
  • 57' Davide Calabria has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alessandro Florenzi on 57 minute.
  • 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
  • 63' The supporters are chanting for Gianluca Scamacca. He replaces Aleksei Miranchuk on 63 minute.
  • 68' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 73' France international Theo Hernandez has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. AC Milan and Atalanta BC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 79' The Atalanta BC manager makes a substitution. Matteo Ruggeri departs to be replaced by Isak Hien.
  • 84' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 88' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Noah Okafor comes on to replace Christian Pulisic.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ederson.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Atalanta BC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan41% Draw29% Atalanta BC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
70%
Draw or Atalanta BC
59%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan29% Draw49% Atalanta BC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
33%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.