Saturday , 14 November 2026

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
1 – 1
Full Time
Sun 25 Feb 2024 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Rafael Leao 3' 1–0
1–1 42' Teun Koopmeiners pen

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–3 L
18 Feb AC Monza A 2–4 L
15 Feb Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–0 W
11 Feb SSC Napoli H 1–0 W
03 Feb Frosinone Calcio A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Feb AC Milan A 1–1 D
17 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio H 3–0 W
11 Feb Genoa CFC A 4–1 W
04 Feb SS Lazio H 3–1 W
27 Jan Udinese Calcio H 2–0 W
15 Jan Frosinone Calcio H 5–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan Atalanta BC
#4 Position #12
24 Points 14
11 Played 11
7 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 5
23 Scored 17
13 Conceded 20
+10 GD -3
2.18 PPG 1.27
64% Win % 36%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A
Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 7 G 2 A
Ederson 2 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! AC Milan vs Atalanta BC — let the football do the talking.
  • 3' Rafael Leao does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
  • 8' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 13' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Stefano Pioli will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 18' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 529 games and scored 625 goals.
  • 23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' AC Milan looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Adrien Rabiot scoring 1 goals.
  • 38' Atalanta BC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Controversy at the stadium! Stefano Pioli argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 42' Teun Koopmeiners is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
  • 44' Marten de Roon is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
  • 45' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Atalanta BC. Emil Holm is replaced by Davide Zappacosta.
  • 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 56' The referee shows Atalanta BC player a card on 56.
  • 57' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Alessandro Florenzi exits the field as Davide Calabria enters on 57.
  • 62' Charles De Ketelaere has been relatively quiet despite scoring 49 goals in his last 365 appearances.
  • 63' Gianluca Scamacca gets the nod from Atalanta BC. He replaces Aleksei Miranchuk and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 73' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 78' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both AC Milan and Atalanta BC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 79' Isak Hien is replacing Matteo Ruggeri for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 84' Berat Djimsiti needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 17 Yellow cards this season.
  • 88' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Noah Okafor comes on to replace Christian Pulisic.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Atalanta BC player. Ederson gets a card.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan53% Draw24% Atalanta BC23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
77%
Draw or Atalanta BC
47%
AC Milan or Atalanta BC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan42% Draw40% Atalanta BC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4%
4 – 1
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 17% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.