AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
10 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Oct | Juventus FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Udinese Calcio | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | US Lecce | A | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #15 |
| 70 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 53 | Scored | 41 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -9 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 53% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Milan and ACF Fiorentina has kicked off!
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for ACF Fiorentina.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Franck Kessie | 2 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.62
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
83%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
42%
AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
11%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.6%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 25% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.