UD Almería vs Burgos CF, Segunda Division 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
UD Almeria vs Burgos CF — Segunda Division at UD Almeria Stadium.
- UD Almeria 8 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Burgos CF 8 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SD Eibar | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | UD Almeria | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Burgos CF | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Girona FC | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | RCD Mallorca | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | CE Sabadell FC | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | CD Tenerife | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | CD Leganes | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | UD Las Palmas | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Real Sporting de Gijon | 7 | 10 |
| 13 | Granada CF | 7 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 8 |
| 15 | CD Eldense | 8 | 8 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo B | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid CF | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Cadiz CF | 8 | 7 |
| 19 | Andorra CF | 7 | 6 |
| 20 | Cordoba CF | 7 | 6 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 4 |
| 22 | Albacete Balompie | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct | Burgos CF | H | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | RCD Mallorca | A | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Celta Vigo B | H | 2–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | Cordoba CF | A | 2–0 | W |
| 06 Sep | Cadiz CF | H | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Aug | CE Sabadell FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct | UD Almería | A | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | CD Eldense | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | UD Las Palmas | A | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | AD Ceuta FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | Real Oviedo | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Real Sociedad B | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| UD Almería | Burgos CF | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 18 | Points | 14 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 6 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 2 |
| 13 | Scored | 12 |
| 5 | Conceded | 9 |
| +8 | GD | +3 |
| 2.25 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 75% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
UD Almería this season
UD Almería this season
25%
Clean Sheets
Burgos CF this season
Burgos CF this season
UD Almería are 3rd (18 pts). Burgos CF are 4th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
UD Almería
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Burgos CF
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
UD Almería
| Miguel De la Fuente | 3 G | 1 A |
| Brian Cipenga | 2 G | 3 A |
| Javi Munoz | 2 G | 2 A |
| Nico Melamed | 2 G | 1 A |
| Federico Bonini | 1 G |
Burgos CF
| Alex Fores | 3 G | 1 A |
| David Gonzalez | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jon Karrikaburu | 2 G | 2 A |
| Javier Llabres | 1 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Burgos CF get us underway at UD Almeria Stadium.
- 5' Spain international Alex Fores has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 10' Andres Fernandez is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for UD Almeria tonight.
- 15' UD Almeria are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 19' UD Almeria make a change. Mikel Vesga trudges off to be replaced by Quim Junyent on 19 minutes.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' UD Almeria is showing some good football. However, UD Almeria are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 33' Leo Baptistao is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
- 38' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both UD Almeria and Burgos CF are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' Jon Karrikaburu has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 40 minutes.
- 45' UD Almeria started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Marcos Luna.
- 54' Javier Llabres, a Spain forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 59' A tactical swap from UD Almeria — Adri Embarba on, Leo Baptistao off on 59 minutes.
- 63' Alex Fores has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jon Karrikaburu on 63 minute.
- 68' Marcos Luna is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for UD Almeria so far.
- 71' Burgos CF ring the changes. Brais Martinez has done his job and it is now time for Pablo Galdames to step up.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alberto Dadie on 74 minutes.
- 77' A moment of madness from Pablo Galdames on 77 minutes earns him a card. Burgos CF will be frustrated.
- 77' What a moment for Brian Cipenga! That strike on 77 puts his side firmly in control.
- 82' Fresh legs for Burgos CF! Victor Mollejo comes on to replace Alberto Dadie.
- 84' Miguel De la Fuente has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
- 87' Alex Munoz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leonardo Lelo on 87 minute.
- The points are shared — UD Almeria 2-1 Burgos CF. Honours even.
Lineups
UD Almeria Lineups
Starting XI
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Bench
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Coach
Garcia Pimienta
Burgos CF Lineups
Starting XI
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Jon Karrikaburu ↓ Alex Fores 63'
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Alberto Dadie ↓ Victor Mollejo 82'
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Brais Martinez ↓ Pablo Galdames 71'
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Bench
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Pablo Galdames ↑ 71'
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Victor Mollejo ↑ 82'
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Ignasi Vilarrasa ↑ 63'
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Alex Fores ↑ 63'
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Coach
Sergio Francisco
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Pozo | 1 |
| Luis Suarez | 1 |
| Gonzalo Melero | 1 |
| Inigo Cordoba | 1 |
| Fer Nino | 1 |
| Marcelo Exposito | 1 |
| Brian Cipenga | 1 |
| Miguel De la Fuente | 1 |
Head to Head
UD Almeria Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61
UD Almeria xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91
Burgos CF xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: UD Almeria win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
UD Almeria or Draw
79%
Draw or Burgos CF
47%
UD Almeria or Burgos CF
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Burgos CF win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
12%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — UD Almeria
| Handicap | UD Almeria covers | Push | Burgos CF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 16% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 24% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
UD Almeria keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Burgos CF keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.