Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AC Milan A 0–1 L
30 Aug Como 1907 H 1–0 W
23 Aug AS Roma A 0–1 L
24 May Genoa CFC H 1–3 L
18 May ACF Fiorentina A 2–3 L
09 May AC Milan A 1–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Bologna FC 1909
#5 Position #8
70 Points 56
38 Played 38
20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 16 / 8 / 14
53 Scored 49
35 Conceded 46
+18 GD +3
1.84 PPG 1.47
53% Win % 42%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 8th (56 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Bologna FC 1909 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan58% Draw25% Bologna FC 190917%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.56
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
82%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
42%
AC Milan or Bologna FC 1909
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan38% Draw47% Bologna FC 190915%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.8%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.5%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 24% 45%
-0.5 55% 45%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.