Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Bologna FC 1909 — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 18.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep AC Milan A 0–1 L
30 Aug Como 1907 H 1–0 W
23 Aug AS Roma A 0–1 L
24 May Genoa CFC H 1–3 L
18 May ACF Fiorentina A 2–3 L
09 May AC Milan A 1–3 L

Season Stats

AC Milan Bologna FC 1909
#5 Position #18
11 Points 2
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 3
10 Scored 3
4 Conceded 6
+6 GD -3
2.20 PPG 0.40
60% Win % 0%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
0% Clean Sheets
Bologna FC 1909 this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). Bologna FC 1909 are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bologna FC 1909
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

Bologna FC 1909 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.84 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: AC Milan to win 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan66% Draw22% Bologna FC 190912%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.4
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
88%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
34%
AC Milan or Bologna FC 1909
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan46% Draw46% Bologna FC 19098%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
14.9%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 1
9.9%
3 – 0
9%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
4.2%
4 – 1
2.5%
1 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 21% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 26% 33%
-0.5 67% — 33%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.