Sunday , 15 November 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 – 2
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
7 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 16.6 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
28 Sep AC Pisa 1909 A 0–0 D
21 Sep Como 1907 H 1–2 L
13 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–3 L
31 Aug Torino FC A 0–0 D
24 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
02 Oct Lille OSC H 0–1 L
28 Sep Hellas Verona FC H 2–0 W
24 Sep OGC Nice A 2–1 W
21 Sep SS Lazio A 1–0 W
14 Sep Torino FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AS Roma
#15 Position #3
9 Points 27
11 Played 11
2 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 3 / 0
17 Scored 31
25 Conceded 10
-8 GD +21
0.82 PPG 2.45
18% Win % 73%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.16 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.9 AS Roma xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina18% Draw20% AS Roma62%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
38%
Draw or AS Roma
82%
ACF Fiorentina or AS Roma
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina13% Draw33% AS Roma54%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
7.8%
0 – 2
7.5%
0 – 3
6.9%
1 – 1
6.6%
1 – 4
5.7%
0 – 4
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
3.4%
1 – 5
3.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AS Roma covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 8% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 29% — 71%
+1 29% 19% 52%
+1.5 48% — 52%
+2 48% 20% 33%
+2.5 67% — 33%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
AS Roma keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.