ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

ACF Fiorentina

1 – 2

Full Time

AS Roma

Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AS Roma — Serie A .

ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
AS Roma 38 games · 73 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

ACF Fiorentina 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals AS Roma

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-05 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma 2025-05-04 AS Roma 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-27 ACF Fiorentina 5–1 AS Roma 2024-03-10 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 AS Roma 2023-12-10 AS Roma 1–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	AS Roma	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	AC Pisa 1909	A	0–0	D
21 Sep	Como 1907	H	1–2	L
13 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	1–3	L
31 Aug	Torino FC	A	0–0	D
24 Aug	Cagliari Calcio	A	1–1	D

AS Roma

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
05 Oct	ACF Fiorentina	A	2–1	W
02 Oct	Lille OSC	H	0–1	L
28 Sep	Hellas Verona FC	H	2–0	W
24 Sep	OGC Nice	A	2–1	W
21 Sep	SS Lazio	A	1–0	W
14 Sep	Torino FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina		AS Roma
#15	Position	#3
42	Points	73
38	Played	38
9 / 15 / 14	W / D / L	23 / 4 / 11
41	Scored	59
50	Conceded	31
-9	GD	+28
1.11	PPG	1.92
24%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ACF Fiorentina to score. At the same time, AS Roma does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Another three points for AS Roma.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jordan Veretout	5
Paulo Dybala	3
Leonardo Spinazzola	3
Moise Kean	2
Stephan El Shaarawy	2
Nikola Milenkovic	2
Nicolo Zaniolo	2
Gerson	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.06 ACF Fiorentina xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 AS Roma xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

ACF Fiorentina25% Draw27% AS Roma48%

Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.79

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw

52%

Draw or AS Roma

75%

ACF Fiorentina or AS Roma

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

ACF Fiorentina18% Draw45% AS Roma37%

Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.1%

0 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

0 – 0

2 – 1

5.7%

1 – 0

5.6%

1 – 3

5.4%

0 – 3

5.1%

2 – 2

2 – 0

3.4%

2 – 3

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap	ACF Fiorentina covers	Push	AS Roma covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	23%	29%
+1.5	71%	—	29%
+2	71%	16%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

AS Roma keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.