Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A .
- Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | AC Milan | H | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | AC Pisa 1909 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Aug | Hellas Verona FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 May | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–3 | L |
| 18 May | Juventus FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Udinese Calcio | A | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | US Lecce | A | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | US Cremonese | H | 1–2 | L |
| 24 May | AC Monza | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 May | AS Roma | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Udinese Calcio | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #5 |
| 50 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 14 / 8 / 16 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 45 | Scored | 53 |
| 48 | Conceded | 35 |
| -3 | GD | +18 |
| 1.32 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 37% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
54%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Udinese Calcio and AC Milan is underway.
- Full Time. AC Milan beats Udinese Calcio
Lineups
Udinese Calcio Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ante Rebic | 4 |
| Rafael Leao | 3 |
| Rodrigo Becao | 3 |
| Roberto Pereyra | 3 |
| Theo Hernandez | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Beto | 2 |
| Kevin Lasagna | 2 |
Head to Head
Udinese Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87
Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Udinese Calcio or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
Udinese Calcio or AC Milan
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio
| Handicap | Udinese Calcio covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 24% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 19% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

