Thursday , 2 July 2026

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC MilanSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep AC Milan H 0–3 L
14 Sep AC Pisa 1909 A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
25 Aug Hellas Verona FC H 1–1 D
25 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
18 May Juventus FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio AC Milan
#10 Position #5
50 Points 70
38 Played 38
14 / 8 / 16 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
45 Scored 53
48 Conceded 35
-3 GD +18
1.32 PPG 1.84
37% Win % 53%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.87 Udinese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Udinese Calcio20% Draw25% AC Milan55%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
80%
Udinese Calcio or AC Milan
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Udinese Calcio14% Draw44% AC Milan42%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
11.3%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.1%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap Udinese Calcio covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% 84%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 24% 36%
+1.5 64% 36%
+2 64% 19% 17%
+2.5 83% 17%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet
16%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.