AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

AC Milan

2 – 1

Full Time

SSC Napoli

Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A .

AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
SSC Napoli 38 games · 76 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Chiffi

4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals SSC Napoli

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	2–1	W
20 Sep	Udinese Calcio	A	3–0	W
14 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	H	1–0	W
29 Aug	US Lecce	A	2–0	W
23 Aug	US Cremonese	H	1–2	L
24 May	AC Monza	H	2–0	W

SSC Napoli

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Sep	AC Milan	A	1–2	L
22 Sep	AC Pisa 1909	H	3–2	W
18 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	ACF Fiorentina	A	3–1	W
30 Aug	Cagliari Calcio	H	1–0	W
23 Aug	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	2–0	W

Season Stats

AC Milan		SSC Napoli
#5	Position	#2
70	Points	76
38	Played	38
20 / 10 / 8	W / D / L	23 / 7 / 8
53	Scored	58
35	Conceded	36
+18	GD	+22
1.84	PPG	2.00
53%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting SSC Napoli for another epic battle.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Matteo Politano	5
Olivier Giroud	5
Dries Mertens	3
Giacomo Bonaventura	2
Rafael Leao	2
Theo Hernandez	2
Piotr Zielinski	2
Franck Kessie	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.34 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 SSC Napoli xG

I would bet for: AC Milan or SSC Napoli 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan43% Draw28% SSC Napoli29%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

71%

Draw or SSC Napoli

57%

AC Milan or SSC Napoli

72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AC Milan28% Draw49% SSC Napoli23%

Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.7%

0 – 0

10.2%

1 – 0

9.8%

0 – 1

8.4%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.2%

2 – 0

7.1%

0 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

3.7%

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 3

2.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	SSC Napoli covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	21%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	18%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.