Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
AC Milan
2 – 1
Full Time
SSC Napoli
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs SSC Napoli — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Chiffi
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

6
5
7
AC Milan 18 games · Avg 2.3 goals SSC Napoli
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W
14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
SSC Napoli
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep AC Milan A 1–2 L
22 Sep AC Pisa 1909 H 3–2 W
18 Sep Manchester City FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W

Season Stats

AC Milan SSC Napoli
#5 Position #9
11 Points 7
5 Played 5
3 / 2 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 7
4 Conceded 6
+6 GD +1
2.20 PPG 1.40
60% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A
SSC Napoli
Rasmus Hojlund 2 G
Kevin De Bruyne 1 G 1 A
Matteo Politano 1 G
Antonio Vergara 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Matteo Politano 5
Olivier Giroud 5
Dries Mertens 3
Rafael Leao 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Piotr Zielinski 2
Franck Kessie 2
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 2

Head to Head

2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli 2025-03-30 SSC Napoli 2–1 AC Milan 2024-10-29 AC Milan 0–2 SSC Napoli 2024-02-11 AC Milan 1–0 SSC Napoli 2023-10-29 SSC Napoli 2–2 AC Milan

AC Milan Form

2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli W 2025-09-20 Udinese Calcio 0–3 AC Milan W 2025-09-14 AC Milan 1–0 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan W 2025-08-23 AC Milan 1–2 US Cremonese L 2025-05-24 AC Milan 2–0 AC Monza W

SSC Napoli Form

2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli L 2025-09-22 SSC Napoli 3–2 AC Pisa 1909 W 2025-09-18 Manchester City FC 2–0 SSC Napoli L 2025-09-13 ACF Fiorentina 1–3 SSC Napoli W 2025-08-30 SSC Napoli 1–0 Cagliari Calcio W 2025-08-23 US Sassuolo Calcio 0–2 SSC Napoli W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan52% Draw26% SSC Napoli22%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or SSC Napoli
48%
AC Milan or SSC Napoli
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan37% Draw46% SSC Napoli17%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 0
10.8%
2 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.9%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
5.2%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 23% 48%
-0.5 52% — 48%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.