Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
US Lecce
0 – 2
Full Time
AC Milan
Fri 29 Aug 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87
2 SSC Napoli 38 76
3 AS Roma 38 73
4 Como 1907 38 71
5 AC Milan 38 70
6 Juventus FC 38 69
7 Atalanta BC 38 59
8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56
9 SS Lazio 38 54
10 Udinese Calcio 38 50
11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49
12 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45
13 Torino FC 38 45
14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43
15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42
16 Genoa CFC 38 41
17 US Lecce 38 38
18 US Cremonese 38 34
19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21
20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18

Head-to-Head

3
7
US Lecce 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

US Lecce
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug AC Milan H 0–2 L
23 Aug Genoa CFC A 0–0 D
25 May SS Lazio A 1–0 W
18 May Torino FC H 1–0 W
11 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–1 D
03 May SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W
23 Aug US Cremonese H 1–2 L
24 May AC Monza H 2–0 W
18 May AS Roma A 1–3 L
09 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–1 W
05 May Genoa CFC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

US Lecce AC Milan
#17 Position #5
38 Points 70
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
28 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-22 GD +18
1.00 PPG 1.84
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for US Lecce and AC Milan.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for US Lecce.

Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 5
Christian Pulisic 4
Olivier Giroud 2
Davide Calabria 2
Nikola Krstovic 2
Theo Hernandez 2
Khouma Babacar 1
Tijjani Reijnders 1

Head to Head

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan 2025-03-08 US Lecce 2–3 AC Milan 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2024-04-06 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce 2023-11-11 US Lecce 2–2 AC Milan

US Lecce Form

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan L 2025-08-23 Genoa CFC 0–0 US Lecce D 2025-05-25 SS Lazio 0–1 US Lecce W 2025-05-18 US Lecce 1–0 Torino FC W 2025-05-11 Hellas Verona FC 1–1 US Lecce D 2025-05-03 US Lecce 0–1 SSC Napoli L

AC Milan Form

2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan W 2025-08-23 AC Milan 1–2 US Cremonese L 2025-05-24 AC Milan 2–0 AC Monza W 2025-05-18 AS Roma 3–1 AC Milan L 2025-05-09 AC Milan 3–1 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-05-05 Genoa CFC 1–2 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.71 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 58% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce19% Draw27% AC Milan54%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
45%
Draw or AC Milan
81%
US Lecce or AC Milan
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Lecce12% Draw47% AC Milan41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.4%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
10.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
7%
1 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 2
3.2%
0 – 4
3%
1 – 4
2.3%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 10% 86%
-0.5 14% — 86%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 26% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 19% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
49% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.