US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 4 |
| -5 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 12th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.71
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
37%
Draw or AC Milan
85%
US Lecce or AC Milan
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
11%
0 – 3
9.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.7%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 4
5.5%
1 – 4
4%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 0
2.9%
2 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 6% | 91% |
| -0.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| +0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +1 | 28% | 23% | 49% |
| +1.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +2 | 51% | 22% | 28% |
| +2.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.