US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
4 games this season
🟨 5.8/game
⚽ 26.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 23 |
| 22 | Conceded | 13 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 27% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.87
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.27
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
40%
Draw or AC Milan
82%
US Lecce or AC Milan
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9.4%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 3
8.2%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
4.6%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
2 – 1
3.6%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -0.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| +0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +2 | 55% | 20% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.