Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yacine Adli 35' 1–0
1–1 60' Christian Pulisic
Albert Gudmundsson 73' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#18 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts). AC Milan are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.73 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.59 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + ACF Fiorentina or Draw 76%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina38% Draw38% AC Milan24%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
76%
Draw or AC Milan
62%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina19% Draw66% AC Milan15%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
29.5%
1 – 0
17.8%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.2%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
1.6%
2 – 2
1.5%
3 – 1
1.1%
0 – 3
0.8%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 23% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 18% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
56%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
49%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.