Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yacine Adli 35' 1–0
1–1 60' Christian Pulisic
Albert Gudmundsson 73' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC MilanSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #5
42 Points 70
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 20 / 10 / 8
41 Scored 53
50 Conceded 35
-9 GD +18
1.11 PPG 1.84
24% Win % 53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. ACF Fiorentina host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Chukwueze made 407 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 8' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Dodo gets a card.
  • 13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' Mike Maignan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Fikayo Tomori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 29' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Paulo Fonseca.
  • 35' GOAL! Yacine Adli scores on 35. Assisted by Robin Gosens
  • 40' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Emerson Royal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' Alvaro Morata has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
  • 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 53' USA international Christian Pulisic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 58' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 60' What a strike from Christian Pulisic! The score is 1-1.
  • 65' David De Gea is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
  • 67' The crowd applauds Danilo Cataldi as he leaves the pitch. Amir Richardson steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 72' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
  • 73' GOAL! Albert Gudmundsson scores on 73.
  • 73' Noah Okafor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 73 minute mark.
  • 77' Cristiano Biraghi gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Albert Gudmundsson and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Samuel Chukwueze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian Pulisic on 82 minute.
  • 85' Raffaele Palladino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Edoardo Bove argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Andrea Colpani is replaced by Michael Kayode.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. ACF Fiorentina take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina38% Draw28% AC Milan34%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
66%
Draw or AC Milan
62%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina24% Draw49% AC Milan27%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28%
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.