Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
ACF Fiorentina
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yacine Adli 35' 1–0
1–1 60' Christian Pulisic
Albert Gudmundsson 73' 2–1
Dodo 8' Y
Y 24' Fikayo Tomori
Y 31' Paulo Fonseca
Y 43' Alvaro Morata
Y 72' Tijjani Reijnders
Raffaele Palladino 85' R
Edoardo Bove 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

8
5
11
ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#17 Position #5
4 Points 11
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
6 Scored 10
12 Conceded 4
-6 GD +6
0.80 PPG 2.20
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan get this one started.
  • 5' Michael Kayode has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 8' That is a card for ACF Fiorentina. Dodo will be fuming at that decision.
  • 13' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 24' Controversy at the stadium! Fikayo Tomori argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 29' ACF Fiorentina currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 31' The referee has no hesitation. Paulo Fonseca is booked for AC Milan — card on 31.
  • 35' Goal! Yacine Adli scores his 11 goal in 522 matches.
  • 40' Christian Pulisic has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 43.
  • 48' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. David De Gea has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 53' AC Milan are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 58' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 60' Christian Pulisic doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 65' ACF Fiorentina have won 420 goals from 458 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 67' The supporters are chanting for Amir Richardson. He replaces Danilo Cataldi on 67 minute.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Tijjani Reijnders. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Albert Gudmundsson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 73' Noah Okafor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Leao on 73 minute.
  • 77' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Albert Gudmundsson by Cristiano Biraghi on 77 minute.
  • 82' AC Milan make a change. Christian Pulisic trudges off to be replaced by Samuel Chukwueze on 82 minutes.
  • 85' The referee calls foul for Raffaele Palladino. He receives a card.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Edoardo Bove.
  • 90' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Andrea Colpani is replaced by Michael Kayode on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for ACF Fiorentina players.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Erick Pulgar 3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Theo Hernandez 2
Franck Kessie 2
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2

Head to Head

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina

ACF Fiorentina Form

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan W 2024-09-29 Empoli FC 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2024-09-22 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 SS Lazio W 2024-09-15 Atalanta BC 3–2 ACF Fiorentina L 2024-09-01 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 AC Monza D 2024-08-25 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia FC D

AC Milan Form

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 AC Milan L 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce W 2024-09-22 FC Internazionale Milano 1–2 AC Milan W 2024-09-17 AC Milan 1–3 Liverpool FC L 2024-09-14 AC Milan 4–0 Venezia FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.11 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina27% Draw23% AC Milan50%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
50%
Draw or AC Milan
73%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina16% Draw40% AC Milan44%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.