Saturday , 14 November 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
ACF Fiorentina
2 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,923 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yacine Adli 35' 1–0
1–1 60' Christian Pulisic
Albert Gudmundsson 73' 2–1
Dodo 8' Y
Y 24' Fikayo Tomori
Y 31' Paulo Fonseca
Y 43' Alvaro Morata
Y 72' Tijjani Reijnders
Raffaele Palladino 85' R
Edoardo Bove 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
  • Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
5 games this season 🟨 2.8/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SS Lazio 11 29
2 FC Internazionale Milano 11 28
3 AS Roma 11 27
4 AC Milan 11 24
5 Como 1907 11 23
6 Frosinone Calcio 11 20
7 Juventus FC 11 18
8 Bologna FC 1909 11 17
9 Cagliari Calcio 11 16
10 SSC Napoli 11 15
11 Torino FC 11 14
12 Atalanta BC 11 14
13 Genoa CFC 11 13
14 US Lecce 11 10
15 ACF Fiorentina 11 9
16 Parma Calcio 1913 11 8
17 US Sassuolo Calcio 11 8
18 AC Monza 11 7
19 Venezia FC 11 6
20 Udinese Calcio 11 5

Head-to-Head

8
5
11
ACF Fiorentina 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct AC Milan H 2–1 W
29 Sep Empoli FC A 0–0 D
22 Sep SS Lazio H 2–1 W
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct ACF Fiorentina A 1–2 L
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina AC Milan
#15 Position #4
9 Points 24
11 Played 11
2 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 3 / 1
17 Scored 23
25 Conceded 13
-8 GD +10
0.82 PPG 2.18
18% Win % 64%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Mateo Pellegrino 4 G
Franco Mastantuono 4 G
Alieu Njie 3 G 2 A
AC Milan
Adrien Rabiot 5 G 4 A
Alphadjo Cisse 5 G
Diego Moreira 4 G 3 A
Christian Pulisic 4 G 1 A
Goncalo Ramos 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — ACF Fiorentina and AC Milan get this one started.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 8' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 13' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 18' Luca Ranieri has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 37 cards already picked up this season.
  • 23' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 24' Poor challenge from Fikayo Tomori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilo Cataldi made 522 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' AC Milan player sees a card in front of him.
  • 35' ACF Fiorentina is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yacine Adli on 35.
  • 40' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Morata on 43 minutes.
  • 48' Rafael Leao is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 53' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 58' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ACF Fiorentina side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' Goal! Christian Pulisic scores his 72 goal in 536 matches.
  • 65' A quiet spell here at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 67' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Danilo Cataldi is replaced by Amir Richardson on 67 minute.
  • 72' Poor challenge from Tijjani Reijnders. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 73' Albert Gudmundsson makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and ACF Fiorentina are in front.
  • 73' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Rafael Leao exits the field as Noah Okafor enters on 73.
  • 77' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Albert Gudmundsson departs to be replaced by Cristiano Biraghi.
  • 82' AC Milan ring the changes. Christian Pulisic has done his job and it is now time for Samuel Chukwueze to step up.
  • 85' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Raffaele Palladino gets a card.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Edoardo Bove. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The crowd applauds Andrea Colpani as he leaves the pitch. Michael Kayode steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 2-1 the final result. AC Milan will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Raffaele Palladino

AC Milan Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paulo Fonseca

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Rafael Leao 4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3
Dusan Vlahovic 3
Erick Pulgar 3
Hakan Calhanoglu 2
Alfred Duncan 2
Franck Ribery 2
Theo Hernandez 2

Head to Head

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2022-11-13 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina

ACF Fiorentina Form

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan W 2024-09-29 Empoli FC 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2024-09-22 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 SS Lazio W 2024-09-15 Atalanta BC 3–2 ACF Fiorentina L 2024-09-01 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 AC Monza D 2024-08-25 ACF Fiorentina 0–0 Venezia FC D

AC Milan Form

2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2024-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 AC Milan L 2024-09-27 AC Milan 3–0 US Lecce W 2024-09-22 FC Internazionale Milano 1–2 AC Milan W 2024-09-17 AC Milan 1–3 Liverpool FC L 2024-09-14 AC Milan 4–0 Venezia FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.41 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 76% + Over 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina33% Draw24% AC Milan43%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
56%
Draw or AC Milan
67%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina21% Draw40% AC Milan39%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% — 75%
+0.5 49% — 51%
+1 49% 21% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.