ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs AC Milan — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Luca Pairetto
- Assistant 1 Luigi Rossi
- Assistant 2 Marco Ceccon (Italy)
6 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 3.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | AC Milan | H | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Sep | Empoli FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Sep | SS Lazio | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Sep | Atalanta BC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | AC Monza | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Venezia FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct | ACF Fiorentina | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 Oct | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #5 |
| 42 | Points | 70 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 9 / 15 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 10 / 8 |
| 41 | Scored | 53 |
| 50 | Conceded | 35 |
| -9 | GD | +18 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.84 |
| 24% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. ACF Fiorentina host AC Milan — let the battle begin!
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Samuel Chukwueze made 407 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 8' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Dodo gets a card.
- 13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 18' Mike Maignan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 23' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 24' Poor challenge from Fikayo Tomori. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 29' AC Milan fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 31' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Paulo Fonseca.
- 35' GOAL! Yacine Adli scores on 35. Assisted by Robin Gosens
- 40' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Emerson Royal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 43' Alvaro Morata has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
- 48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 53' USA international Christian Pulisic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 58' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 60' What a strike from Christian Pulisic! The score is 1-1.
- 65' David De Gea is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for ACF Fiorentina so far.
- 67' The crowd applauds Danilo Cataldi as he leaves the pitch. Amir Richardson steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
- 72' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 72.
- 73' GOAL! Albert Gudmundsson scores on 73.
- 73' Noah Okafor is ready to make an impact after coming on for Rafael Leao at the 73 minute mark.
- 77' Cristiano Biraghi gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Albert Gudmundsson and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' Samuel Chukwueze has so much to prove this time. He replaces Christian Pulisic on 82 minute.
- 85' Raffaele Palladino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Edoardo Bove argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Andrea Colpani is replaced by Michael Kayode.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. ACF Fiorentina take all three points.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 43
-
29
Yacine Adli ↓ Christian Kouame 77'
- 20
- 21
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↓ Michael Kayode 90'
- 32
- 2
- 4
- 15
Bench
- 11
-
3
Cristiano Biraghi ↑ 77'
- 7
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 77'
- 1
- 9
- 65
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 67'
- 28
- 30
-
33
Michael Kayode ↑ 90'
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
- 90
- 23
- 29
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 73'
- 11
- 19
- 46
Bench
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 82'
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 73'
- 31
- 28
- 42
- 80
- 25
- 18
- 20
- 73
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 3 |
| Erick Pulgar | 3 |
| Zlatan Ibrahimovic | 3 |
| Hakan Calhanoglu | 2 |
| Alfred Duncan | 2 |
| Franck Ribery | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.2
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
66%
Draw or AC Milan
62%
ACF Fiorentina or AC Milan
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
8.6%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -0.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

