Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep SSC Napoli H 1–3 L
31 Aug Torino FC A 0–0 D
24 Aug Cagliari Calcio A 1–1 D
25 May Udinese Calcio A 3–2 W
18 May Bologna FC 1909 H 3–2 W
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 3–1 W
30 Aug Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
23 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio H 2–0 W
18 May Parma Calcio 1913 A 0–0 D
11 May Genoa CFC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina SSC Napoli
#17 Position #9
4 Points 7
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 2
6 Scored 7
12 Conceded 6
-6 GD +1
0.80 PPG 1.40
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
25% Clean Sheets
SSC Napoli this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). SSC Napoli are 9th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SSC Napoli
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina22% Draw23% SSC Napoli55%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
45%
Draw or SSC Napoli
78%
ACF Fiorentina or SSC Napoli
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina17% Draw39% SSC Napoli44%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9.2%
0 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
6.6%
0 – 3
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 21% 39%
+1.5 61% — 39%
+2 61% 18% 21%
+2.5 79% — 21%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.