AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .
- AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2025/26)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
18 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 3.2 goals/game 🟥 2 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Internazionale Milano 38 87 2 SSC Napoli 38 76 3 AS Roma 38 73 4 Como 1907 38 71 5 AC Milan 38 70 6 Juventus FC 38 69 7 Atalanta BC 38 59 8 Bologna FC 1909 38 56 9 SS Lazio 38 54 10 Udinese Calcio 38 50 11 US Sassuolo Calcio 38 49 12 Torino FC 38 45 13 Parma Calcio 1913 38 45 14 Cagliari Calcio 38 43 15 ACF Fiorentina 38 42 16 Genoa CFC 38 41 17 US Lecce 38 38 18 US Cremonese 38 34 19 Hellas Verona FC 38 21 20 AC Pisa 1909 38 18 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 19 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W 05 Oct Juventus FC A 0–0 D 28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W 20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W 14 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W 29 Aug US Lecce A 2–0 W Season Stats
AC Milan ACF Fiorentina #5 Position #15 70 Points 42 38 Played 38 20 / 10 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14 53 Scored 41 35 Conceded 50 +18 GD -9 1.84 PPG 1.11 53% Win % 24% Key Stats
58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history41% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season26% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this seasonAC Milan are 5th (70 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan0-151/216-30–/231-451/146-601/361-75–/176+3/2■ Scored ■ ConcededACF Fiorentina0-15–/116-302/131-452/146-60–/161-75–/176+2/–■ Scored ■ ConcededTop Scorers (This Season)
AC MilanRafael Leao 9 G 3 A Christian Pulisic 8 G 3 A Adrien Rabiot 6 G 4 A ACF FiorentinaMoise Kean 8 G 1 A Rolando Mandragora 6 G 3 A Albert Gudmundsson 5 G 4 A -
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: AC Milan gets underway.
- Full Time. AC Milan beats ACF Fiorentina
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Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Rafael Leao 4 Dusan Vlahovic 3 Erick Pulgar 3 Zlatan Ibrahimovic 3 Hakan Calhanoglu 2 Alfred Duncan 2 Franck Ribery 2 Theo Hernandez 2 Head to Head
AC Milan Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy2 / 41.62 AC Milan xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.83 ACF Fiorentina xGI would bet for: AC Milan to win 58% + Under 2.5 goals 56%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.45Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 89% 11% ± 1.5 70% 30% ± 2.5 44% 56% ± 3.5 23% 77% ± 4.5 11% 89% Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw 83%Draw or ACF Fiorentina 42%AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina 75%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 0 13.1%1 – 1 12.4%2 – 0 11%0 – 0 10.7%2 – 1 Actual0 – 1 6.1%3 – 0 5.8%3 – 1 5%1 – 2 4.6%2 – 2 3.8%0 – 2 2.9%4 – 0 2.4%Asian Handicap — AC Milan
Handicap AC Milan covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers -2.5 13% — 87% -2 13% 17% 70% -1.5 30% — 70% -1 30% 25% 45% -0.5 55% — 45% +0.5 82% — 18% +1 82% 12% 6% +1.5 94% — 6% +2 94% 4% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet 44% ✓ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet 21% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.