AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

AC Milan

2 – 1

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 19 Oct 2025 · 18:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Livio Marinelli

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	US Cremonese	38	34
2	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
3	AC Pisa 1909	38	18
4	FC Internazionale Milano	0	0
5	SSC Napoli	0	0
6	AS Roma	0	0
7	Como 1907	0	0
8	AC Milan	0	0
9	Juventus FC	0	0
10	Atalanta BC	0	0
11	Bologna FC 1909	0	0
12	SS Lazio	0	0
13	Udinese Calcio	0	0
14	US Sassuolo Calcio	0	0
15	Torino FC	0	0
16	Parma Calcio 1913	0	0
17	Cagliari Calcio	0	0
18	ACF Fiorentina	0	0
19	Genoa CFC	0	0
20	US Lecce	0	0
21	AC Monza	0	0
22	Venezia FC	0	0
23	Frosinone Calcio	0	0

Head-to-Head

AC Milan 24 games · Avg 2.6 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina 2025-04-05 AC Milan 2–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan 2024-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan 2023-11-25 AC Milan 1–0 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–1	W
05 Oct	Juventus FC	A	0–0	D
28 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	2–1	W
20 Sep	Udinese Calcio	A	3–0	W
14 Sep	Bologna FC 1909	H	1–0	W
29 Aug	US Lecce	A	2–0	W

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
19 Oct	AC Milan	A	1–2	L
05 Oct	AS Roma	H	1–2	L
28 Sep	AC Pisa 1909	A	0–0	D
21 Sep	Como 1907	H	1–2	L
13 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	1–3	L
31 Aug	Torino FC	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

AC Milan		ACF Fiorentina
#8	Position	#18
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . AC Milan are looking to make home advantage count against ACF Fiorentina.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Leao	4
Erick Pulgar	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Dusan Vlahovic	3
Theo Hernandez	2
Franck Kessie	2
Hakan Calhanoglu	2
Alfred Duncan	2

Head to Head

AC Milan Form

2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-10-05 Juventus FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli W 2025-09-20 Udinese Calcio 0–3 AC Milan W 2025-09-14 AC Milan 1–0 Bologna FC 1909 W 2025-08-29 US Lecce 0–2 AC Milan W

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-10-05 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 AS Roma L 2025-09-28 AC Pisa 1909 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-09-21 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Como 1907 L 2025-09-13 ACF Fiorentina 1–3 SSC Napoli L 2025-08-31 Torino FC 0–0 ACF Fiorentina D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

0.75 AC Milan xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.43 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan46% Draw38% ACF Fiorentina16%

Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes21% 0% No79%

Avg goals/match: 1.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	67%	33%
± 1.5	34%	66%
± 2.5	12%	88%
± 3.5	4%	96%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw

84%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

54%

AC Milan or ACF Fiorentina

62%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

AC Milan21% Draw69% ACF Fiorentina10%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

33.5%

1 – 0

21.2%

0 – 1

11.5%

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 0

7.8%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 2

2.5%

1 – 2

2.2%

3 – 0

1.9%

3 – 1

1.1%

2 – 2

4 – 0

0.4%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap	AC Milan covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	26%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	14%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

65% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

48% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.