Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
1 – 2
Full Time
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 8.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

1
4
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-04-20 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
14 Sep FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
18 Sep FC København A 2–2 D
12 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–1 W
30 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 3–3 D
23 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#18 Position #6
26 Points 59
34 Played 34
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9
29 Scored 68
60 Conceded 47
-31 GD +21
0.76 PPG 1.74
18% Win % 50%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC St. Pauli 1910
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Carlo Boukhalfa 1
Patrik Schick 1
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Jonathan Tah 1
Florian Wirtz 1

Head to Head

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-04-20 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-09-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 FC Augsburg W 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-08-16 FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 2–3 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC København 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-09-12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-08-30 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-08-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.2 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191025% Draw25% Bayer 04 Leverkusen50%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
50%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191018% Draw41% Bayer 04 Leverkusen41%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.1%
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 3
6.4%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
5.4%
0 – 3
5.4%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 22% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 17%
+2.5 83% — 17%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
31% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.