Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
14 Sep FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
18 Sep FC Kobenhavn A 2–2 D
12 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–1 W
30 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 3–3 D
23 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L

Season Stats

FC St. Pauli 1910 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#3 Position #12
26 Points 0
34 Played 0
6 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
29 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-31 GD +0
0.76 PPG
18% Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC St. Pauli 1910 are 3rd (26 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.78 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191028% Draw35% Bayer 04 Leverkusen37%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 53%
47%
± 2.5 26%
74%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
63%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191017% Draw58% Bayer 04 Leverkusen25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.5%
0 – 1
15.5%
1 – 1
14.1%
1 – 0
11.7%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
1 – 3
2.2%
3 – 1
1.3%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 23% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
37%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.