Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
FC St. Pauli 1910
1 – 2
Full Time
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC St. Pauli 1910 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 26.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

1
4
FC St. Pauli 1910 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-04-20 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

FC St. Pauli 1910
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
19 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
14 Sep FC Augsburg H 2–1 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV A 2–0 W
23 Aug Borussia Dortmund H 3–3 D
16 Aug FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 A 3–2 W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
21 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
18 Sep FC København A 2–2 D
12 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 3–1 W
30 Aug SV Werder Bremen A 3–3 D
23 Aug TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Morgan Guilavogui 1
Jonathan Tah 1
Florian Wirtz 1
Carlo Boukhalfa 1
Patrik Schick 1

Head to Head

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025-04-20 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-09-19 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-09-14 FC St. Pauli 1910 2–1 FC Augsburg W 2025-08-29 Hamburger SV 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-08-16 FC Eintracht Norderstedt 03 2–3 FC St. Pauli 1910 W

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC København 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-09-12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2025-08-30 SV Werder Bremen 3–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2025-08-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.42 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 72% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191034% Draw28% Bayer 04 Leverkusen38%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

FC St. Pauli 1910 or Draw
62%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
66%
FC St. Pauli 1910 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC St. Pauli 191026% Draw45% Bayer 04 Leverkusen29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.8%
0 – 1
7.1%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — FC St. Pauli 1910

Handicap FC St. Pauli 1910 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 18% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.