1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2022-23

1. FC Koln

0 – 2

Full Time

VfL Wolfsburg

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 14:30 UTC RheinEnergieSTADION HT 45' · FT 45'

Jonas Hector 67' Y

Y 73' Mattias Svanberg

Y 90' Felix Kalu Nmecha

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.

1. FC Koln 34 games · 32 pts (2025/26)
VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Mark Borsch
Referee Aarne Aarnink
Referee Frank Willenborg
Referee Christian Bandurski
Referee Michael Emmer
Referee Pascal Mueller

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FC Koln 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfL Wolfsburg

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 1. FC Koln 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg 2022-09-03 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 1. FC Koln 2022-05-07 1. FC Koln 0–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2021-12-14 VfL Wolfsburg 2–3 1. FC Koln 2021-04-03 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Koln

Recent Form

1. FC Koln

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	H	0–2	L
18 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	0–3	L
12 Feb	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	3–0	W
04 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	0–0	D
29 Jan	FC Schalke 04	A	0–0	D
24 Jan	FC Bayern München	A	1–1	D

VfL Wolfsburg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	1. FC Koln	A	2–0	W
18 Feb	RB Leipzig	H	0–3	L
10 Feb	FC Schalke 04	A	0–0	D
05 Feb	FC Bayern München	H	2–4	L
31 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
28 Jan	SV Werder Bremen	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

1. FC Koln		VfL Wolfsburg
#14	Position	#16
32	Points	29
34	Played	34
7 / 11 / 16	W / D / L	7 / 8 / 19
49	Scored	45
63	Conceded	69
-14	GD	-24
0.94	PPG	0.85
21%	Win %	21%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

9% Clean Sheets
1. FC Koln this season

6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season

1. FC Koln are 14th (32 pts). VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Koln

0-15

2/3

16-30

1/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/6

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfL Wolfsburg

0-15

1/–

16-30

1/2

31-45

3/2

46-60

2/3

61-75

–/3

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. 1. FC Koln get us underway at RheinEnergieSTADION.
4' GOAL! Yannick Gerhardt scores on 4. Assisted by Omar Marmoush
5' The Germany Yannick Gerhardt breaks the deadlock on 5 minutes. 0-2!
10' VfL Wolfsburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
20' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FC Koln and VfL Wolfsburg are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
25' Maximilian Arnold is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FC Koln tonight.
30' It looks like no one’s ball. VfL Wolfsburg is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
35' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
40' Linton Maina has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
50' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FC Koln in their trying to find a way past VfL Wolfsburg's compact .
55' 1. FC Koln is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
60' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
64' Jakub Kaminski gets the nod from VfL Wolfsburg. He replaces Ridle Baku and will look to change the dynamic.
67' Jonas Hector is having his name booked by the referee on 67.
68' Against the run of play, Maximilian Arnold has scored! This game has turned on its head.
73' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Mattias Svanberg.
73' A change in the 1. FC Koln ranks — Mathias Olesen exits the field as Sargis Adamyan enters on 73.
78' Another change for 1. FC Koln made on 78 minute. Steffen Tigges leaves to be changed by Tim Lemperle.
80' The whistle greets Mattias Svanberg as he departs to be replaced by Felix Kalu Nmecha.
84' Justin Diehl is replacing Linton Maina for the 1. FC Koln side.
88' Fresh legs for VfL Wolfsburg! Jonas Wind comes on to replace Omar Marmoush.
90' Felix Kalu Nmecha was booked on 90.
Full Time. VfL Wolfsburg beats 1. FC Koln

Lineups

1. FC Koln Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Steffen Baumgart

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

Starting XI

4
Maxence Lacroix
1
Koen Casteels
27
Maximilian Arnold
31
Yannick Gerhardt
20
Ridle Baku ↓ Jakub Kaminski 64'
6
Paulo Otavio
32
Mattias Svanberg ↓ Felix Kalu Nmecha 80'
39
Patrick Wimmer ↓ Kevin Paredes 88'
33
Omar Marmoush ↓ Jonas Wind 88'
2
Kilian Fischer
5
Mickey van de Ven

Bench

Coach Niko Kovać

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Nmecha	4
Yannick Gerhardt	4
Wout Weghorst	3
Maximilian Arnold	3
Jonas Wind	2
Anthony Modeste	2
Paulo Otavio	2
Jhon Cordoba	2

Head to Head

1. FC Koln Form

2023-02-25 1. FC Koln 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 3–0 1. FC Koln L 2023-02-12 1. FC Koln 3–0 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2023-02-04 1. FC Koln 0–0 RB Leipzig D 2023-01-29 FC Schalke 04 0–0 1. FC Koln D 2023-01-24 FC Bayern München 1–1 1. FC Koln D

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2023-02-25 1. FC Koln 0–2 VfL Wolfsburg W 2023-02-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 RB Leipzig L 2023-02-10 FC Schalke 04 0–0 VfL Wolfsburg D 2023-02-05 VfL Wolfsburg 2–4 FC Bayern München L 2023-01-31 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L 2023-01-28 SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.59 1. FC Koln xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.36 VfL Wolfsburg xG

I would bet for: 1. FC Koln or VfL Wolfsburg 73% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Koln41% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg32%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw

69%

Draw or VfL Wolfsburg

59%

1. FC Koln or VfL Wolfsburg

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FC Koln31% Draw45% VfL Wolfsburg24%

Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.2%

2 – 1

8.7%

1 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

7.4%

0 – 0

2 – 0

6.5%

0 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

5.9%

0 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

3.4%

1 – 3

3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap	1. FC Koln covers	Push	VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5	9%	—	91%
-2	9%	13%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	20%	58%
-0.5	42%	—	58%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	17%	14%
+1.5	86%	—	14%
+2	86%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.