Thursday , 2 July 2026

SC Freiburg vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SC Freiburg vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 3–1 W
31 Aug 1. FC Koln A 1–4 L
23 Aug FC Augsburg H 1–3 L
16 Aug VfL Sportfreunde Lotte A 2–0 W
17 May Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–3 L
10 May Holstein Kiel A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep SC Freiburg A 1–3 L
30 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–0 W
26 Aug Eintracht Braunschweig A 12–11 W
23 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
24 May Arminia Bielefeld A 4–2 W
17 May RB Leipzig A 3–2 W

Season Stats

SC Freiburg VfB Stuttgart
#7 Position #4
47 Points 62
34 Played 34
13 / 8 / 13 W / D / L 18 / 8 / 8
51 Scored 71
57 Conceded 49
-6 GD +22
1.38 PPG 1.82
38% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SC Freiburg
0-15
/3
16-30
4/
31-45
/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SC Freiburg Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.03 SC Freiburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.6 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SC Freiburg35% Draw22% VfB Stuttgart43%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

SC Freiburg or Draw
56%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
65%
SC Freiburg or VfB Stuttgart
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SC Freiburg26% Draw35% VfB Stuttgart39%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
5.6%
2 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.4%
3 – 3
3.8%
2 – 4
3.7%
1 – 4
3.7%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — SC Freiburg

Handicap SC Freiburg covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 9% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 14% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 18% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 15% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
8%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.