Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2025-26 PLAYOFFS

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UEFA Champions League · 2025-26

Atalanta BC

4 – 1

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Wed 25 Feb 2026 · 17:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund — Champions League .

Atalanta BC 8 games · 13 pts (2025/26)
Borussia Dortmund 8 games · 11 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jose Sanchez Martinez (Spain)

9 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	8	24
2	FC Bayern München	8	21
3	Liverpool FC	8	18
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	8	17
5	FC Barcelona	8	16
6	Chelsea FC	8	16
7	Sporting Clube de Portugal	8	16
8	Manchester City FC	8	16
9	Real Madrid CF	8	15
10	FC Internazionale Milano	8	15
11	Paris Saint-Germain FC	8	14
12	Newcastle United FC	8	14
13	Juventus FC	8	13
14	Club Atletico de Madrid	8	13
15	Atalanta BC	8	13
16	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	8	12
17	Borussia Dortmund	8	11
18	PAE Olympiakos SFP	8	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	10
20	Galatasaray SK	8	10
21	AS Monaco FC	8	10
22	Qarabag Agdam FK	8	10
23	FK Bodø/Glimt	8	9
24	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	8	9
25	Olympique de Marseille	8	9
26	Paphos FC	8	9
27	Royale Union Saint-Gilloise	8	9
28	PSV	8	8
29	Athletic Club	8	8
30	SSC Napoli	8	8
31	FC København	8	8
32	AFC Ajax	8	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	4
34	SK Slavia Praha	8	3
35	Villarreal CF	8	1
36	FK Kairat	8	1

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 2 games · Avg 3.5 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-25 Atalanta BC 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2026-02-17 Borussia Dortmund 2–0 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	H	4–1	W
22 Feb	SSC Napoli	H	2–1	W
17 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–2	L
14 Feb	SS Lazio	A	2–0	W
09 Feb	US Cremonese	H	2–1	W
01 Feb	Como 1907	A	0–0	D

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Atalanta BC	A	1–4	L
21 Feb	RB Leipzig	A	2–2	D
17 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
01 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC		Borussia Dortmund
#15	Position	#17
13	Points	11
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 3
10	Scored	19
10	Conceded	17
+0	GD	+2
1.63	PPG	1.38
50%	Win %	38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

25% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

20% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Atalanta BC are 15th (13 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 17th (11 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Atalanta BC is hosting Borussia Dortmund for another epic battle.
The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.17 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.56 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC51% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund26%

Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes70% 0% No30%

Avg goals/match: 3.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

74%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

49%

Atalanta BC or Borussia Dortmund

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Atalanta BC38% Draw39% Borussia Dortmund23%

Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

8.5%

2 – 2

6.6%

1 – 2

6.2%

3 – 1

6.1%

2 – 0

5.7%

3 – 2

4.8%

1 – 0

4.7%

3 – 0

4.1%

0 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

3.4%

4 – 1

Actual

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	15%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	20%	49%
-0.5	51%	—	49%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	14%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	8%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.