Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
01 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–2 W
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #1
6 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
9 Scored 9
5 Conceded 2
+4 GD +7
1.50 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig33% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
61%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
67%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig23% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund32%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.5%
2 – 1
7.1%
0 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.6%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% — 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.