Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Köln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
01 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–2 W
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.94 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + RB Leipzig or Draw 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig36% Draw34% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
70%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
64%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig22% Draw57% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.7%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
6.2%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 21% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
42%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.