Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 21 Feb 2026 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
15 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
11 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–2 L
08 Feb 1. FC Koln A 2–1 W
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Feb RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
17 Feb Atalanta BC H 2–0 W
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
01 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–2 W
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#3 Position #2
65 Points 73
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
66 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+19 GD +36
1.91 PPG 2.15
59% Win % 65%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting Borussia Dortmund for another epic battle.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund 74% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig38% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
63%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
62%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig28% Draw42% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 2
5.2%
1 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 17% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 18% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 12% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
19%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.