Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Ōita FC Trinita vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 15 May 2021 · 07:00 UTC Showa Denko Dome Oita HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ōita FC Trinita vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Showa Denko Dome Oita.

Match Details

  • Referee Ryo Hirama
  • Referee Koji Murakami
  • Referee Masuya Ueda
  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Referee Taku Nakano
  • Referee Kogo Kumagai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Sagan Tosu FC H 1–1 D
09 May Shonan Bellmare A 0–2 L
02 May Shimizu S-Pulse H 1–0 W
25 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds A 2–3 L
17 Apr Kashiwa Reysol H 0–1 L
11 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 May Ōita FC Trinita A 1–1 D
08 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
01 May Tokushima Vortis H 2–0 W
24 Apr FC Tokyo A 2–1 W
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Showa Denko Dome Oita will turn into a battlefield for Ōita FC Trinita and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Yuta Koide has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 105 appearances.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Keita Yamashita has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 12' Goal! Keita Yamashita scores his 13 goal in 279 matches.
  • 17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hokuto Shimoda suffering a number of foals already.
  • 22' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 32' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tomohiro Katanosaka will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 47' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 52' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 57' Ryunosuke Sagara needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ōita FC Trinita needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' Yuki Kagawa was booked on 64.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keiya Sento made 309 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Oita FC Trinita. Yuya Takazawa is replaced by Shun Nagasawa.
  • 75' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Ōita FC Trinita and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 81' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Keiya Sento departs to be replaced by Ayumu Ohata.
  • 82' What a strike from Shun Nagasawa! The score is 0-3.
  • 82' The Oita FC Trinita bench stirs into life. Kento Haneda is withdrawn and Kazuki Fujimoto gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Oita FC Trinita make a change. Kento Haneda trudges off to be replaced by Kazuki Fujimoto on 83 minutes.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Ryunosuke Sagara on, Keita Yamashita off on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Henrique Trevisan is replacing Yuto Misao for the Oita FC Trinita side.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Arata Watanabe.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.27 Ōita FC Trinita xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Ōita FC Trinita or Sagan Tosu FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Ōita FC Trinita39% Draw30% Sagan Tosu FC31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Ōita FC Trinita or Draw
69%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
61%
Ōita FC Trinita or Sagan Tosu FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ōita FC Trinita27% Draw50% Sagan Tosu FC23%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.1%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Ōita FC Trinita

Handicap Ōita FC Trinita covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Ōita FC Trinita keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.