Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 8 May 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 50' Sho Sasaki
Y 51' Sho Sasaki

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Hiroki Kasahara
  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
  • Referee Makoto Hibino
  • Referee Uhiro Okano (Japan)
  • Referee Toshiyuki Wakaku
  • Referee Tetsuhiro Kamekawa

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
01 May Tokushima Vortis H 2–0 W
24 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–1 W
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 May Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
01 May Vissel Kobe A 0–3 L
24 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 1–2 L
18 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 1–1 D
14 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
10 Apr Shonan Bellmare H 0–1 L

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
62% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/2
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 10 G 4 A
Mutsuki Kato 3 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 3 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Sagan Tosu FC have kicked off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Shun Ayukawa has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 12 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Hiroshi Jofuku might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Toshihiro Aoyama, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 35' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sanfrecce Hiroshima's shape.
  • 40' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 45' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 50' A moment of madness from Sho Sasaki on 50 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Sanfrecce Hiroshima will be frustrated.
  • 51' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Sho Sasaki on 51 minutes.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 57' Ryo Nagai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ezequiel on 57 minute.
  • 62' The 29-year-old Tsukasa Morishima has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 67' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Shinya Nakano has done his job and it is now time for Ayumu Ohata to step up.
  • 77' Keiya Sento has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 78' The Sanfrecce Hiroshima manager makes a substitution. Shun Ayukawa departs to be replaced by Junior Santos.
  • 80' Fuchi Honda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keita Yamashita on 80 minute.
  • 85' Japan international Nanasei Iino has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 87' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Daichi Hayashi has done his job and it is now time for Ismael Dunga to step up.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.06 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 75% + Under 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC43% Draw32% Sanfrecce Hiroshima25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
57%
Sagan Tosu FC or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw57% Sanfrecce Hiroshima17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
15.2%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
11%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
2.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 17% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.