Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Tōkyō vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sat 24 Apr 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45+8' · FT 45+7'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yuichi Nishimura
  • Referee Hajime Matsuo
  • Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
  • Referee Shu Kawamata
  • Referee Ryosuke Murai

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–2 L
17 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
11 Apr Kawasaki Frontale H 2–4 L
07 Apr Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 2–1 W
03 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
21 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Apr FC Tōkyō A 2–1 W
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
71% Clean Sheets
FC Tōkyō this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Tōkyō
Motoki Nagakura 5 G 2 A
Marcelo Ryan 3 G 2 A
Soma Anzai 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! FC Tokyo vs Sagan Tosu FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Ryoya Ogawa.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yoshihiro Nakano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 18' Noriyoshi Sakai puts Sagan Tosu FC on the lead.
  • 23' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Tokyo that had 441 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 34' Yuta Higuchi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' The energy levels are beginning to show. Kenta Hasegawa might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 44' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 46' Takuya Aoki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tsuyoshi Watanabe on 46 minute.
  • 46' Daiki Matsuoka was booked on 46.
  • 51' FC Tokyo have won 404 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 53' A stunning finish from Masato Morishige — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 55' Yoshihiro Nakano has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 55 minute.
  • 60' Masaya Tashiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Tokyo and Sagan Tosu FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' Another substitution for FC Tokyo to replace Adailton by Leandro on 71 minute.
  • 72' The FC Tokyo bench stirs into life. Keigo Higashi is withdrawn and Hirotaka Mita gets his opportunity.
  • 77' FC Tokyo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 79' A change in the FC Tokyo ranks — Diego Oliveira exits the field as Kyosuke Tagawa enters on 79.
  • 83' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Daichi Hayashi departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 88' Nanasei Iino has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 90' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yuta Higuchi is withdrawn and Ayumu Ohata gets his opportunity.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC 72% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Tokyo32% Draw28% Sagan Tosu FC40%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

FC Tokyo or Draw
60%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
68%
FC Tokyo or Sagan Tosu FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Tokyo25% Draw46% Sagan Tosu FC29%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo

Handicap FC Tokyo covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.