Sunday , 16 August 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 2
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sun 18 Apr 2021 · 06:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+8'
Y 24' Daichi Hayashi
Y 31' Nanasei Iino
Kazuki Nagasawa 44' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Futoshi Nakamura
  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Referee Taku Nakano
  • Referee Makoto Hibino
  • Referee Keigo Sendachi

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tokyo 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F.Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–2 L
14 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
11 Apr Oita FC Trinita A 3–0 W
07 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
03 Apr FC Tokyo H 0–0 D
21 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–0 W
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Nagoya Grampus kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Myung-Hwi Kim might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 6' What a moment for Daichi Hayashi! That strike on 6 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 11' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 16' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 24' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 31' Nanasei Iino is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuki Nagasawa argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 45' A goal from the Japan international Noriyoshi Sakai! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-2!
  • 46' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Takuji Yonemoto comes on to replace Kazuki Nagasawa.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shinnosuke Nakatani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 54' The supporters are chanting for Yuki Soma. He replaces Naoki Maeda on 54 minute.
  • 59' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Naoki Maeda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 69' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mateus, as he is very good at scoring at Paloma Mizuho Stadium with 6 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 75' The whistle greets Tomoya Koyamatsu as he departs to be replaced by Yoshihiro Nakano.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Daichi Hayashi is replaced by Keita Yamashita.
  • 84' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 85' Against the run of play, Sho Inagaki has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 85' Yasuki Kimoto has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mateus on 85 minute.
  • 86' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Noriyoshi Sakai departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
  • 88' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noriyoshi Sakai at the 88 minute mark.
  • Another three points for Sagan Tosu FC.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Gabriel Xavier 2
Jo 2
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2

Head to Head

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-04-11 Oita FC Trinita 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-04-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-04-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tokyo D 2021-03-21 Kashima Antlers 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2021-04-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Yokohama FC W 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-03-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus42% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus28% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.