Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 18 Apr 2021 · 06:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+8'

Y 24' Daichi Hayashi

Y 31' Nanasei Iino

Kazuki Nagasawa 44' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Taku Nakano
Referee Makoto Hibino
Referee Keigo Sendachi

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyōto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tōkyō Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–0	W
11 Apr	Ōita FC Trinita	A	3–0	W
07 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
03 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	0–0	D
21 Mar	Kashima Antlers	A	1–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	0–1	L
11 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	3–0	W
07 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

–/2

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

Naomichi Ueda

1 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Sagan Tosu FC.
5' Sagan Tosu FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
6' Daichi Hayashi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 6 minutes.
11' Nagoya Grampus started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 11.
16' Nagoya Grampus are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Sagan Tosu FC's shape.
21' It looks like no one’s ball. Sagan Tosu FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
24' Controversy at the stadium! Daichi Hayashi argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
31' Nanasei Iino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 31.
36' Sho Inagaki is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
41' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
44' The referee has no hesitation. Kazuki Nagasawa is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 44.
45' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Noriyoshi Sakai makes no mistake. 0-2!
46' The whistle greets Kazuki Nagasawa as he departs to be replaced by Takuji Yonemoto.
51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
54' Yuki Soma gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Naoki Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
59' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
74' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
75' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 75 minute. Tomoya Koyamatsu leaves to be changed by Yoshihiro Nakano.
79' Keita Yamashita is replacing Daichi Hayashi for the Sagan Tosu FC side.
84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
85' Sho Inagaki doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
85' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yasuki Kimoto is hanging Mateus on the field on 85 minute.
86' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Noriyoshi Sakai is withdrawn and Masaya Tashiro gets his opportunity.
88' Masaya Tashiro gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Noriyoshi Sakai and will look to change the dynamic.
It finishes all square. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 46'
14
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 85'
21
Yohei Takeda
10
Gabriel Xavier
11
Yuki Soma ↑ 54'
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 54'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Eduardo C
41
Daiki Matsuoka
20
Hwang Seokho
10
Yuta Higuchi
40
Park Ilkyu
23
Fuchi Honda ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Keita Yamashita 79'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 75'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Yoshihiro Nakano 75'
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Masaya Tashiro 86'
24
Nanasei Iino

Bench

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↑ 75'
1
Tatsuya Morita
44
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 75'
26
Reoto Kodama
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 79'
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 86'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2
Naoki Maeda	2
Ryuji Izumi	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-04-11 Ōita FC Trinita 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-04-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-04-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō D 2021-03-21 Kashima Antlers 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2021-04-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Yokohama FC W 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-03-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus42% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC27%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

58%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC18%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.1%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

13.7%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.