Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Nagoya Grampus

1 – 2

Full Time

Sagan Tosu FC

Sun 18 Apr 2021 · 06:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+8'

Y 24' Daichi Hayashi

Y 31' Nanasei Iino

Kazuki Nagasawa 44' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Referee Yudai Yamamoto
Referee Taku Nakano
Referee Makoto Hibino
Referee Keigo Sendachi

8 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 11.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC

Last 5 meetings

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-11-03 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Nagoya Grampus 2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	H	1–2	L
14 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	H	1–0	W
11 Apr	Oita FC Trinita	A	3–0	W
07 Apr	Shonan Bellmare	A	0–0	D
03 Apr	FC Tōkyō	H	0–0	D
21 Mar	Kashima Antlers	A	1–0	W

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	A	2–1	W
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	0–1	L
11 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	3–0	W
07 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus

0-15

2/1

16-30

2/4

31-45

5/4

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/1

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Nagoya Grampus get us underway at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
5' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
6' Daichi Hayashi doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
11' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 11 minutes.
16' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 16.
21' Japan international Tomoya Koyamatsu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
24' Daichi Hayashi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
29' The travelling Sagan Tosu FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
31' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
36' Sagan Tosu FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
41' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
44' Kazuki Nagasawa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 44.
45' Noriyoshi Sakai does the damage! The net is bulging and Sagan Tosu FC surge ahead!
46' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Kazuki Nagasawa by Takuji Yonemoto on 46 minute.
51' Yutaka Yoshida is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
54' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Yuki Soma on 54 minute.
59' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
74' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their trying to find a way past Sagan Tosu FC's compact .
75' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Tomoya Koyamatsu departs to be replaced by Yoshihiro Nakano.
79' The whistle greets Daichi Hayashi as he departs to be replaced by Keita Yamashita.
84' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
85' GOAL! Sho Inagaki fires home to make it 1-2!
85' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Mateus is replaced by Yasuki Kimoto.
86' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Noriyoshi Sakai exits the field as Masaya Tashiro enters on 86.
88' The whistle greets Noriyoshi Sakai as he departs to be replaced by Masaya Tashiro.
Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Nagoya Grampus

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

2
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 46'
14
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 85'
21
Yohei Takeda
10
Gabriel Xavier
11
Yuki Soma ↑ 54'
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 54'

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

3
Eduardo C
41
Daiki Matsuoka
20
Hwang Seokho
10
Yuta Higuchi
40
Park Ilkyu
23
Fuchi Honda ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Keita Yamashita 79'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 75'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↓ Yoshihiro Nakano 75'
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↓ Masaya Tashiro 86'
24
Nanasei Iino

Bench

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↑ 75'
1
Tatsuya Morita
44
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 75'
26
Reoto Kodama
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 79'
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 86'

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ryuji Izumi	2
Tomoya Koyamatsu	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Jo	2
Hikaru Nakahara	2
Noriyoshi Sakai	2
Gabriel Xavier	2
Sho Inagaki	2

Head to Head

Nagoya Grampus Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-14 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 2021-04-11 Oita FC Trinita 0–3 Nagoya Grampus W 2021-04-07 Shonan Bellmare 0–0 Nagoya Grampus D 2021-04-03 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 FC Tōkyō D 2021-03-21 Kashima Antlers 0–1 Nagoya Grampus W

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-04-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–2 Sagan Tosu FC W 2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2021-04-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Yokohama FC W 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-03-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Sagan Tosu FC xG

I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus42% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC27%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw

73%

Draw or Sagan Tosu FC

58%

Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC

69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Nagoya Grampus28% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC18%

Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

15.1%

1 – 1

14.2%

1 – 0

13.7%

0 – 1

10%

2 – 0

8.4%

2 – 1

7.6%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

3.5%

3 – 0

3.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap	Nagoya Grampus covers	Push	Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	12%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	23%	59%
-0.5	41%	—	59%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.