Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sun 18 Apr 2021 · 06:00 UTC Paloma Mizuho Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+8'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Futoshi Nakamura
  • Referee Yudai Yamamoto
  • Referee Taku Nakano
  • Referee Makoto Hibino
  • Referee Keigo Sendachi
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Sagan Tosu FC H 1–2 L
14 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
11 Apr Ōita FC Trinita A 3–0 W
07 Apr Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
03 Apr FC Tōkyō H 0–0 D
21 Mar Kashima Antlers A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 2–1 W
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Paloma Mizuho Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 6' The Japan Daichi Hayashi breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-1!
  • 11' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 16' Mateus has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 21' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 24' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 24.
  • 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 31' Controversy at the stadium! Nanasei Iino argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 36' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuki Nagasawa argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 45' The deadlock is broken! Noriyoshi Sakai gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Takuji Yonemoto gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kazuki Nagasawa and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 54' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Naoki Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Soma to step up.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 452 games and scored 412 goals.
  • 74' Masaya Tashiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yoshihiro Nakano on, Tomoya Koyamatsu off on 75 minutes.
  • 79' The crowd applauds Daichi Hayashi as he leaves the pitch. Keita Yamashita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 84' Shinnosuke Nakatani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 85' The deadlock is broken! Sho Inagaki gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
  • 85' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Mateus exits the field as Yasuki Kimoto enters on 85.
  • 86' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Noriyoshi Sakai on the field on 86 minute.
  • 88' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noriyoshi Sakai at the 88 minute mark.
  • Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Nagoya Grampus

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.17 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus42% Draw31% Sagan Tosu FC27%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus28% Draw54% Sagan Tosu FC18%
Actual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 23% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.