Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Paloma Mizuho Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Futoshi Nakamura
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Referee Taku Nakano
- Referee Makoto Hibino
- Referee Keigo Sendachi
3 games this season
🟨 2.3/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Yokohama FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Paloma Mizuho Stadium that hosts another battle between Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 6' The Japan Daichi Hayashi breaks the deadlock on 6 minutes. 0-1!
- 11' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 16' Mateus has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 21' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Sagan Tosu FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 24.
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 31' Controversy at the stadium! Nanasei Iino argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 36' Nagoya Grampus are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 44' Controversy at the stadium! Kazuki Nagasawa argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 45' The deadlock is broken! Noriyoshi Sakai gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
- 46' Takuji Yonemoto gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kazuki Nagasawa and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 54' Nagoya Grampus ring the changes. Naoki Maeda has done his job and it is now time for Yuki Soma to step up.
- 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 64' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nagoya Grampus that had 452 games and scored 412 goals.
- 74' Masaya Tashiro has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 75' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yoshihiro Nakano on, Tomoya Koyamatsu off on 75 minutes.
- 79' The crowd applauds Daichi Hayashi as he leaves the pitch. Keita Yamashita steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
- 84' Shinnosuke Nakatani, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 85' The deadlock is broken! Sho Inagaki gets on the scoresheet on 85 minutes.
- 85' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Mateus exits the field as Yasuki Kimoto enters on 85.
- 86' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Masaya Tashiro is hanging Noriyoshi Sakai on the field on 86 minute.
- 88' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Noriyoshi Sakai at the 88 minute mark.
- Full Time. Sagan Tosu FC beats Nagoya Grampus
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 1
- 23
- 15
- 5
- 9
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Yuki Soma 54'
- 3
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↓ Yuki Soma 54'
- 4
-
16
Mateus ↓ Yasuki Kimoto 85'
Bench
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↑ 46'
-
8
Yoichiro Kakitani ↑ 46'
-
14
Yasuki Kimoto ↑ 85'
- 21
- 10
-
11
Yuki Soma ↑ 54'
-
17
Ryoya Morishita ↑ 54'
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 41
- 20
- 10
- 40
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↓ Keiya Sento 46'
- 8
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↓ Shinya Nakano 75'
- 22
- 15
- 24
Bench
-
7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↑ 75'
- 1
-
44
Keiya Sento ↑ 46'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↑ 75'
- 26
-
9
Keita Yamashita ↑ 79'
-
30
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 86'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.17
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
73%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
58%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sagan Tosu FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
14.2%
1 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
10%
2 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 12% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 23% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

