Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Wed 14 Apr 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yagi Akane
  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Toru Kakinuma
  • Referee Tetsuro Yoshida

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
07 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
03 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
19 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
Issam Jebali 2 G 1 A
Deniz Hummet 2 G
Shinnosuke Nakatani 1 G
Asahi Uenaka 1 G
Welton 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Keisuke Kurokawa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Sagan Tosu FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Genta Miura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Gamba Osaka.
  • 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 45' Kosuke Onose is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 60' Keiya Sento, a Japan , has 12 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Yoshihiro Nakano gets a Yellow card.
  • 64' Yoshihiro Nakano makes way for Tomoya Koyamatsu at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Noriyoshi Sakai on, Keita Yamashita off on 65 minutes.
  • 68' GOAL! Takashi Usami scores on 68.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 74 minute. Keiya Sento leaves to be changed by Yuta Higuchi.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Shu Kurata. He replaces Takashi Usami on 75 minute.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gamba Osaka backline.
  • 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Daichi Hayashi is replaced by Yohei Toyoda.
  • 90' Another substitution for Gamba Osaka to replace Kosuke Onose by Kazunari Ichimi on 90 minute.
  • Gamba Osaka celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC38% Draw33% Gamba Osaka29%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
62%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.