Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2021

Sagan Tosu FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Gamba Osaka

Wed 14 Apr 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Yoshihiro Nakano 61' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Yagi Akane
Referee Hayato Shimizu
Referee Akihito Kawasaki
Referee Toru Kakinuma
Referee Tetsuro Yoshida

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Sagan Tosu FC 16 games · Avg 2.3 goals Gamba Osaka

Last 5 meetings

2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka 2020-11-29 Gamba Osaka 1–1 Sagan Tosu FC 2020-10-07 Sagan Tosu FC 1–2 Gamba Osaka 2019-09-14 Gamba Osaka 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-05-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–1 Gamba Osaka

Recent Form

Sagan Tosu FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Gamba Osaka	H	0–1	L
11 Apr	Yokohama FC	H	3–0	W
07 Apr	Kawasaki Frontale	A	0–1	L
02 Apr	Cerezo Osaka FC	A	0–1	L
21 Mar	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
17 Mar	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–0	W

Gamba Osaka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Apr	Sagan Tosu FC	A	1–0	W
11 Apr	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–1	L
07 Apr	Avispa Fukuoka	H	0–0	D
03 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	0–0	D
27 Feb	Vissel Kobe	A	0–1	L
19 Dec	Shimizu S-Pulse	H	0–2	L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Sagan Tosu FC host Gamba Osaka — let the battle begin!
5' Gamba Osaka are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
10' Gamba Osaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
20' Keita Yamashita is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
30' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
35' It looks surprising Gamba Osaka does not make any changes. Yohei Toyoda has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
55' Masaaki Higashiguchi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
60' Shuhei Kawasaki has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
61' That is a Yellow card for Sagan Tosu FC. Yoshihiro Nakano will be fuming at that decision.
64' The crowd applauds Yoshihiro Nakano as he leaves the pitch. Tomoya Koyamatsu steps in for Sagan Tosu FC.
65' The supporters are chanting for Noriyoshi Sakai. He replaces Keita Yamashita on 65 minute.
68' Takashi Usami does the damage! The net is bulging and Gamba Osaka surge ahead!
73' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
74' Time for substitution for Sagan Tosu FC. Keiya Sento is replaced by Yuta Higuchi.
75' The Gamba Osaka manager makes a substitution. Takashi Usami departs to be replaced by Shu Kurata.
80' Gen Shoji is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Gamba Osaka tonight.
85' Shu Kurata needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
88' A tactical swap from Sagan Tosu FC — Yohei Toyoda on, Daichi Hayashi off on 88 minutes.
90' Kazunari Ichimi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kosuke Onose on 90 minute.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

7
Yoshihiro Nakano ↓ Tomoya Koyamatsu 64'
3
Eduardo C
41
Daiki Matsuoka
20
Hwang Seokho
40
Park Ilkyu
23
Fuchi Honda
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Yohei Toyoda 88'
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Yuta Higuchi 74'
47
Shinya Nakano ↓ Ayumu Ohata 74'
24
Nanasei Iino
9
Keita Yamashita ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 65'

Bench

11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 88'
1
Tatsuya Morita
10
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 74'
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 74'
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 64'
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
30
Masaya Tashiro

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

Gamba Osaka Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tsuneyasu Miyamoto

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kazuma Watanabe	3
Yuji Ono	3
Taisei Miyashiro	2
Yoichi Naganuma	2
Isa Sakamoto	2
Takashi Usami	2
Hwang Seokho	2
Matheus Jesus	1

Head to Head

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka L 2021-04-11 Sagan Tosu FC 3–0 Yokohama FC W 2021-04-07 Kawasaki Frontale 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-04-02 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2021-03-21 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2021-03-17 Sagan Tosu FC 2–0 Kashiwa Reysol W

Gamba Osaka Form

2021-04-14 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Gamba Osaka W 2021-04-11 Kashiwa Reysol 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2021-04-07 Gamba Osaka 0–0 Avispa Fukuoka D 2021-04-03 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Gamba Osaka D 2021-02-27 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Gamba Osaka L 2020-12-19 Gamba Osaka 0–2 Shimizu S-Pulse L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 Gamba Osaka xG

I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Sagan Tosu FC38% Draw33% Gamba Osaka29%

Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes41% 0% No59%

Avg goals/match: 2

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	84%	16%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	32%	68%
± 3.5	15%	85%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Gamba Osaka

62%

Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka

67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Gamba Osaka19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16%

1 – 1

14.3%

1 – 0

13.9%

0 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.1%

2 – 1

7.3%

1 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

3.3%

3 – 0

3 – 1

2.8%

1 – 3

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap	Sagan Tosu FC covers	Push	Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	11%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	23%	61%
-0.5	39%	—	61%
+0.5	73%	—	27%
+1	73%	17%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.