Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Gamba Osaka 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yagi Akane
- Referee Hayato Shimizu
- Referee Akihito Kawasaki
- Referee Toru Kakinuma
- Referee Tetsuro Yoshida
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Apr | Yokohama FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Mar | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Feb | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–2 | L |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season
Gamba Osaka this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gamba Osaka
| Issam Jebali | 5 G | 3 A |
| Ryotaro Meshino | 2 G | |
| Welton | 2 G | |
| Deniz Hummet | 2 G | |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The 23-year-old Shinya Nakano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 10' Park Ilkyu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Kurokawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gen Shoji made 460 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Daichi Hayashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' Japan international Fuchi Honda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Yuya Fukuda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
- 61' Yoshihiro Nakano picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 64' Tomoya Koyamatsu gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yoshihiro Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
- 65' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Keita Yamashita is withdrawn and Noriyoshi Sakai gets his opportunity.
- 68' GOAL! Takashi Usami fires home to make it 0-1!
- 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 74' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Yuta Higuchi to step up.
- 75' Takashi Usami makes way for Shu Kurata at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
- 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 416 games and scored 389 goals.
- 85' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 88' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Daichi Hayashi by Yohei Toyoda on 88 minute.
- 90' Kazunari Ichimi is replacing Kosuke Onose for the Gamba Osaka side.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 7
- 3
- 41
- 20
- 40
- 23
-
8
Daichi Hayashi ↓ Yohei Toyoda 88'
-
44
Keiya Sento ↓ Yuta Higuchi 74'
-
47
Shinya Nakano ↓ Ayumu Ohata 74'
- 24
- 9
Bench
-
11
Yohei Toyoda ↑ 88'
- 1
-
10
Yuta Higuchi ↑ 74'
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 74'
-
22
Tomoya Koyamatsu ↑ 64'
-
15
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 65'
- 30
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Gamba Osaka Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
39
Takashi Usami ↓ Shu Kurata 75'
- 1
- 5
-
8
Kosuke Onose ↓ Kazunari Ichimi 90'
-
14
Yuya Fukuda ↓ Shuhei Kawasaki 75'
- 18
- 3
- 27
- 17
- 24
Bench
- 13
-
10
Shu Kurata ↑ 75'
-
20
Kazunari Ichimi ↑ 90'
- 32
- 25
- 29
-
34
Shuhei Kawasaki ↑ 75'
Coach
Tsuneyasu Miyamoto
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kazuma Watanabe | 3 |
| Yuji Ono | 3 |
| Isa Sakamoto | 2 |
| Takashi Usami | 2 |
| Hwang Seokho | 2 |
| Taisei Miyashiro | 2 |
| Yoichi Naganuma | 2 |
| Genta Miura | 1 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88
Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for:
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Gamba Osaka win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 3.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
62%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
67%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Gamba Osaka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 23% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 17% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

