Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Wed 14 Apr 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yagi Akane
  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Toru Kakinuma
  • Referee Tetsuro Yoshida

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
07 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
03 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
19 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/4
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
6/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The 23-year-old Shinya Nakano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 10' Park Ilkyu has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keisuke Kurokawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gen Shoji made 460 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Daichi Hayashi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Gamba Osaka is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Japan international Fuchi Honda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Yuya Fukuda is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Gamba Osaka so far.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' The travelling Gamba Osaka supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 60' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 60 minutes.
  • 61' Yoshihiro Nakano picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 64' Tomoya Koyamatsu gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Yoshihiro Nakano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 65' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Keita Yamashita is withdrawn and Noriyoshi Sakai gets his opportunity.
  • 68' GOAL! Takashi Usami fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' Sagan Tosu FC ring the changes. Keiya Sento has done his job and it is now time for Yuta Higuchi to step up.
  • 75' Takashi Usami makes way for Shu Kurata at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gamba Osaka.
  • 80' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Gamba Osaka that had 416 games and scored 389 goals.
  • 85' Gamba Osaka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 88' Another substitution for Sagan Tosu FC to replace Daichi Hayashi by Yohei Toyoda on 88 minute.
  • 90' Kazunari Ichimi is replacing Kosuke Onose for the Gamba Osaka side.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC38% Draw33% Gamba Osaka29%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
62%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.