Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba Osaka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Wed 14 Apr 2021 · 10:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+1' · FT 45+5'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Gamba OsakaJ. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yagi Akane
  • Referee Hayato Shimizu
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Toru Kakinuma
  • Referee Tetsuro Yoshida

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
11 Apr Yokohama FC H 3–0 W
07 Apr Kawasaki Frontale A 0–1 L
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 0–1 L
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Apr Sagan Tosu FC A 1–0 W
11 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
07 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
03 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–0 D
27 Feb Vissel Kobe A 0–1 L
19 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–2 L

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Gamba Osaka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gamba Osaka
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka get this one started.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Sagan Tosu FC that had 279 games and scored 293 goals.
  • 15' Takashi Usami has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Sagan Tosu FC and Gamba Osaka are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 40' Japan international Ryu Takao has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 45' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 50' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tsuneyasu Miyamoto might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 55' Gamba Osaka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 60' Sagan Tosu FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 61' Yoshihiro Nakano is having his name booked by the referee on 61.
  • 64' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yoshihiro Nakano is withdrawn and Tomoya Koyamatsu gets his opportunity.
  • 65' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Keita Yamashita trudges off to be replaced by Noriyoshi Sakai on 65 minutes.
  • 68' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Takashi Usami makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Patric suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Yuta Higuchi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Keiya Sento on 74 minute.
  • 75' Gamba Osaka make a change. Takashi Usami trudges off to be replaced by Shu Kurata on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Sagan Tosu FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Gamba Osaka's shape.
  • 85' Supporters expect more eagerness from Shinya Nakano, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 88' Yohei Toyoda gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Daichi Hayashi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Kazunari Ichimi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kosuke Onose at the 90 minute mark.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.88 Gamba Osaka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC38% Draw33% Gamba Osaka29%
Actual: Gamba Osaka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 59%
41%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Gamba Osaka
62%
Sagan Tosu FC or Gamba Osaka
67%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC26% Draw55% Gamba Osaka19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
16%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
13.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 0
3%
3 – 1
2.8%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Gamba Osaka covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 23% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Gamba Osaka keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.