Thursday , 2 July 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Wellington Phoenix FC
2 – 3
Full Time
Melbourne Victory FC
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 57' Lachlan Jackson
Y 78' Brendan Hamill

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 4.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

6
8
10
Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
06 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
16 Mar Sydney FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Western United FC A 1–4 L
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
Melbourne Victory FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
29 Mar Adelaide United FC H 5–3 W
15 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–4 L
08 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 3–0 W
01 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 1–1 D
22 Feb Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne Victory FC
#8 Position #4
33 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
36 Scored 44
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +11
1.27 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Wellington Regional Stadium that hosts another battle between Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 4' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nishan Velupillay on 4.
  • 9' Wellington Phoenix FC have won 296 goals from 209 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Goal! Corban Piper scores his 3 goal in 209 matches.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
  • 45' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosta Barbarouses is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 47' The Morocco Zinedine Machach breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-2!
  • 50' Nikolaos Vergos makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
  • 55' Hideki Ishige has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 367 appearances.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Hideki Ishige as he leaves the pitch. Paulo Retre steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 57' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lachlan Jackson on 57 minutes.
  • 57' Reno Piscopo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ryan Teague on 57 minute.
  • 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
  • 65' The whistle greets Daniel Arzani as he departs to be replaced by Alex Badolato.
  • 70' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Diles might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 75' Paulo Retre makes no mistake. The score reads 2-3 and Wellington Phoenix FC are in front.
  • 78' Brendan Hamill has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 79' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Paulo Retre has done his job and it is now time for Nathan Walker to step up.
  • 80' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Reno Piscopo is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
  • 85' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Diles will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 87' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Isaac Hughes has done his job and it is now time for Fin Conchie to step up.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 2-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ola Toivonen 5
Roy Krishna 4
Oskar Zawada 4
Nicholas D'Agostino 3
Ulises Davila 3
Walter Sandoval 3
Bruno Fornaroli 3
Jake Brimmer 2

Head to Head

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-03-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-03-16 Sydney FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC46%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
71%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.