Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 57' Lachlan Jackson

Y 78' Brendan Hamill

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Alireza Faghani
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

8 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 25 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Melbourne Victory FC	H	2–3	L
06 Apr	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	2–1	W
29 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–2	D
16 Mar	Sydney FC	A	1–1	D
08 Mar	Western United FC	A	1–4	L
28 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Apr	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
29 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	5–3	W
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#1	Position	#9
10	Points	3
4	Played	4
3 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
7	Scored	5
1	Conceded	6
+6	GD	-1
2.50	PPG	0.75
75%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Corban Piper	3 G
Riley Bidois	2 G
Nathan Walker	1 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
4' GOAL! Nishan Velupillay fires home to make it 0-1!
9' Scott Wootton has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Corban Piper makes it 1-1.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Arthur Diles will be considering his options from the bench.
20' Wellington Phoenix FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Corban Piper scoring 1 goals.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
30' Australia international Lachlan Jackson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
35' Wellington Phoenix FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
40' Matt Sheridan, a New Zealand , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
47' Assisted by Nishan Velupillay with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zinedine Machach makes no mistake. 1-2!
50' Nikolaos Vergos adds to his 1 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
55' Over 55 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
56' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Hideki Ishige by Paulo Retre on 56 minute.
57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lachlan Jackson.
57' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Ryan Teague departs to be replaced by Reno Piscopo.
62' Wellington Phoenix FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
65' Alex Badolato gets the nod from Melbourne Victory FC. He replaces Daniel Arzani and will look to change the dynamic.
70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Bruno Fornaroli, as he is very good at scoring at Wellington Regional Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
75' A stunning finish from Paulo Retre — that came from absolutely nowhere!
78' That is a card for Melbourne Victory FC. Brendan Hamill will be fuming at that decision.
79' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 79 minute. Paulo Retre leaves to be changed by Nathan Walker.
80' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 80 minute. Reno Piscopo leaves to be changed by Fabian Monge.
85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
87' Fin Conchie gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Isaac Hughes and will look to change the dynamic.
Wellington Phoenix FC will have plenty to reflect on. Melbourne Victory FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
14
Alex Rufer
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Paulo Retre 56'
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↓ Luke Brooke-Smith 56'
6
Tim Payne
19
Sam Sutton
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
15
Isaac Hughes ↓ Fin Conchie 87'
27
Matt Sheridan ↓ Alby Kelly-Heald 56'
3
Corban Piper

Bench

8
Paulo Retre ↑ 56'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald ↑ 56'
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 87'
39
Jayden Smith
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 56'
41
Nathan Walker
35
Dublin Boon

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach
4
Lachlan Jackson
21
Roderick Miranda ↓ Brendan Hamill 65'
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Alex Badolato 65'
1
Mitch Langerak
6
Ryan Teague ↓ Reno Piscopo 57'
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 80'

Bench

5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 65'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 80'
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 57'
25
Jack Duncan
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 65'
16
Joshua Inserra
18
Fabian Monge

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nikolaos Vergos	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-03-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-03-16 Sydney FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.87 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.06 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 55% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC48% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC26%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.93

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

74%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

52%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC39% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC17%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.5%

2 – 1

9.5%

1 – 0

9.3%

2 – 0

9.2%

0 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

5.9%

3 – 0

5.6%

1 – 2

5.4%

2 – 2

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

3.2%

0 – 2

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	23%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.