Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Alireza Faghani
- Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
20 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 6.1 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 06 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Mar | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Mar | Sydney FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Mar | Western United FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 28 Feb | Melbourne City FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Mar | Adelaide United FC | H | 5–3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 08 Mar | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +11 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 35% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Wellington Phoenix FC launch into their encounter with Melbourne Victory FC.
- 4' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nishan Velupillay on 4.
- 9' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' Magnificent from Corban Piper! That is 3 goals in 209 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' Daniel Arzani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' The travelling Melbourne Victory FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 47' Zinedine Machach adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 50' A stunning finish from Nikolaos Vergos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 56' Paulo Retre gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Hideki Ishige and will look to change the dynamic.
- 57' Poor challenge from Lachlan Jackson. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 57' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Ryan Teague trudges off to be replaced by Reno Piscopo on 57 minutes.
- 62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
- 65' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alex Badolato is hanging Daniel Arzani on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 75' Paulo Retre has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brendan Hamill.
- 79' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 79 minute. Paulo Retre leaves to be changed by Nathan Walker.
- 80' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fabian Monge is hanging Reno Piscopo on the field on 80 minute.
- 85' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Wellington Phoenix FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 87 minute. Isaac Hughes leaves to be changed by Fin Conchie.
- The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 2-3 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 14
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Paulo Retre 56'
- 25
- 6
- 19
- 1
-
15
Isaac Hughes ↓ Fin Conchie 87'
- 27
- 3
Bench
-
8
Paulo Retre ↑ 56'
-
30
Alby Kelly-Heald ↑ 56'
-
5
Fin Conchie ↑ 87'
- 39
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 56'
- 41
- 35
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 4
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Alex Badolato 65'
- 1
-
6
Ryan Teague ↓ Reno Piscopo 57'
- 22
- 17
- 14
- 28
- 9
Bench
-
5
Brendan Hamill ↑ 65'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 80'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 57'
- 25
-
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 65'
- 16
- 18
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nikolaos Vergos | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-04-06
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-03-29
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
D
2025-03-16
Sydney FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2025-03-08
Western United FC
4–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-02-28
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Melbourne City FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-03-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–3
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-03-15
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
4–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-03-08
Melbourne Victory FC
3–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2025-03-01
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2025-02-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Melbourne City FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
71%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +1 | 52% | 20% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 15% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.