Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Wellington Phoenix FC
2 – 3
Full Time
Melbourne Victory FC
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 05:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 57' Lachlan Jackson
Y 78' Brendan Hamill

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Alireza Faghani
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)
7 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

6
8
10
Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–3 L
06 Apr Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
16 Mar Sydney FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Western United FC A 1–4 L
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
Melbourne Victory FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC A 3–2 W
29 Mar Adelaide United FC H 5–3 W
15 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC A 2–4 L
08 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 3–0 W
01 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 1–1 D
22 Feb Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne Victory FC
#8 Position #4
33 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
36 Scored 44
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +11
1.27 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Wellington Phoenix FC is hosting Melbourne Victory FC for another epic battle.
  • 4' Nishan Velupillay puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
  • 9' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' A goal from the New Zealand international Corban Piper! He fires home on 10 to make it 1-1!
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
  • 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Daniel Arzani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 40' Wellington Phoenix FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 47' A goal from the Morocco international Zinedine Machach! He fires home on 45 to make it 1-2!
  • 50' What a moment for Nikolaos Vergos! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' Matt Sheridan has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Paulo Retre. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 56 minute.
  • 57' The referee calls foul for Lachlan Jackson. He receives a card.
  • 57' The crowd applauds Ryan Teague as he leaves the pitch. Reno Piscopo steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 62' It looks surprising Melbourne Victory FC does not make any changes. Lachlan Jackson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 65' Alex Badolato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Arzani at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' Melbourne Victory FC looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 3 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 75' What a strike from Paulo Retre! The score is 2-3.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Brendan Hamill. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 79' Paulo Retre makes way for Nathan Walker at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 80' Fabian Monge is ready to make an impact after coming on for Reno Piscopo at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Fin Conchie comes on to replace Isaac Hughes.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Wellington Phoenix FC.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ola Toivonen 5
Oskar Zawada 4
Roy Krishna 4
Nicholas D'Agostino 3
Ulises Davila 3
Walter Sandoval 3
Bruno Fornaroli 3
Nikolaos Vergos 2

Head to Head

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-04-06 Newcastle United Jets FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-03-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-03-16 Sydney FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–3 Adelaide United FC W 2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.5 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 67% + Over 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC46%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
54%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
71%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw40% Melbourne Victory FC37%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.9%
1 – 0
3.9%
2 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% — 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 20% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 15% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.