Saturday , 12 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Melbourne Victory FC
4 – 1
Full Time
Central Coast Mariners FC
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 06:10 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League .

Match Details

  • Referee Alex King
  • Referee Isabella Cooper (Australia)

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Newcastle United Jets FC 26 48
2 Adelaide United FC 26 43
3 Auckland FC 26 42
4 Melbourne Victory FC 26 40
5 Sydney FC 26 39
6 Melbourne City FC 26 38
7 Macarthur FC 26 34
8 Wellington Phoenix FC 26 33
9 Central Coast Mariners FC 26 32
10 Perth Glory FC 26 31
11 Brisbane Roar FC 26 26
12 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 21

Head-to-Head

7
6
6
Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
14 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
Central Coast Mariners FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Melbourne Victory FC A 1–4 L
14 Mar Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
04 Mar Macarthur FC A 3–1 W
28 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC H 0–0 D
22 Feb Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 3–2 W
07 Feb Brisbane Roar FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#4 Position #9
40 Points 32
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 10
44 Scored 35
33 Conceded 42
+11 GD -7
1.54 PPG 1.23
42% Win % 31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Melbourne Victory FC to score. At the same time, Central Coast Mariners FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Bruno Fornaroli 3
Nishan Velupillay 3
Matt Simon 3
Jason Cummings 3
Marco Rojas 2
Dylan Ruiz-Diaz 2
Ben Kennedy 2
Callum McManaman 2

Head to Head

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2026-03-15 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Macarthur FC W 2026-03-07 Sydney FC 2–2 Melbourne Victory FC D 2026-02-27 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-02-21 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2026-03-21 Melbourne Victory FC 4–1 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2026-03-14 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2026-03-04 Macarthur FC 1–3 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2026-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2026-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2026-02-07 Brisbane Roar FC 1–2 Central Coast Mariners FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.26 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC57% Draw22% Central Coast Mariners FC21%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
43%
Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw39% Central Coast Mariners FC17%
Actual: Central Coast Mariners FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.4%
3 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 21% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.