Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sun 5 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC AAMI Park 8,762 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 89' Sander Kartum

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
  • Assistant 1 Owen Goldrick
  • Assistant 2 James Sherry
9 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 6.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D
21 Feb Melbourne City FC A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Apr Melbourne Victory FC A 1–0 W
21 Mar Brisbane Roar FC A 2–1 W
14 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–0 W
06 Mar Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
01 Mar Sydney FC H 0–1 L
21 Feb Auckland FC H 0–5 L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+11 GD -12
1.54 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.19 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC55% Draw23% Wellington Phoenix FC22%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
45%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC43% Draw40% Wellington Phoenix FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.1%
4 – 1
3.7%
0 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 21% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 12% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
31%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.