Thursday , 2 July 2026

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium 10,077 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Franco Lino
Sam Cosgrove 45+4' 1–1
1–2 53' Nishan Velupillay
Lachlan Brook 82' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Kate Jacewicz
  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Anton Shchetinin
  • 4th Official Ben Abraham
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–2 D
03 Apr Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Macarthur FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Auckland FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Melbourne Victory FC
#3 Position #4
42 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
42 Scored 44
29 Conceded 33
+13 GD +11
1.62 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Auckland FC
Sam Cosgrove 12 G 4 A
Jesse Randall 9 G 8 A
Lachlan Brook 9 G 2 A
Guillermo May Bartesaghi 6 G 4 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC45% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
55%
Auckland FC or Melbourne Victory FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC32% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.