Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium 10,077 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Franco Lino
Sam Cosgrove 45+4' 1–1
1–2 53' Nishan Velupillay
Lachlan Brook 82' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Kate Jacewicz
  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Anton Shchetinin
  • 4th Official Ben Abraham

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–2 D
03 Apr Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Macarthur FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Auckland FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Melbourne Victory FC
#3 Position #4
42 Points 40
26 Played 26
11 / 9 / 6 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
42 Scored 44
29 Conceded 33
+13 GD +11
1.62 PPG 1.54
42% Win % 42%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Auckland FC are 3rd (42 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Mt Smart Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' It’s high time Arthur Diles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 10' Denis Genreau has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' It’s gonna be a card for Jason Davidson.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Mt Smart Stadium. Auckland FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Keegan Jelacic made 205 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 23' What a moment for Franco Lino! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' Luka Vicelich is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Auckland FC tonight.
  • 33' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' Another change for Auckland FC made on 35 minute. Nando Pijnaker leaves to be changed by Logan Rogerson.
  • 38' Lachlan Brook has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 38.
  • 41' That looks like a foul for a card for Louis Verstraete.
  • 46' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 49' What composure from Sam Cosgrove! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 53' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Nishan Velupillay makes it 1-2.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Auckland FC — Cameron Howieson on, Louis Verstraete off on 59 minutes.
  • 60' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Jordi Valadon departs to be replaced by Louis D'Arrigo.
  • 65' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 70' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Auckland FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 74' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Matthew Grimaldi is replaced by Daniel Dragicevic.
  • 75' Nishan Velupillay makes way for Reno Piscopo at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
  • 79' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Denis Genreau on 79 minutes.
  • 82' GOAL! Lachlan Brook scores on 82.
  • 87' Auckland FC ring the changes. Luis Gallegos has done his job and it is now time for Jonty Bidois to step up.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Steve Corica on 88.
  • 90' The referee shows Auckland FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Adama Traore on, Franco Lino off on 90 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC45% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
55%
Auckland FC or Melbourne Victory FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC32% Draw44% Melbourne Victory FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.1%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.