Saturday , 14 November 2026

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2025-26
Sat 11 Apr 2026 · 05:00 UTC Mt Smart Stadium 10,077 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 23' Franco Lino
Sam Cosgrove 45+4' 1–1
1–2 53' Nishan Velupillay
Lachlan Brook 82' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Mt Smart Stadium.

Match Details

  • VIDEO_ASSISTANT_REFEREE_N1 Kate Jacewicz
  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Lachlan Keevers
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Anton Shchetinin
  • 4th Official Ben Abraham

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Melbourne Victory FC H 2–2 D
03 Apr Adelaide United FC A 1–1 D
21 Mar Macarthur FC H 1–2 L
14 Mar Newcastle United Jets FC A 2–1 W
08 Mar Perth Glory FC H 2–2 D
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Auckland FC A 2–2 D
05 Apr Wellington Phoenix FC H 0–1 L
21 Mar Central Coast Mariners FC H 4–1 W
15 Mar Macarthur FC H 4–1 W
07 Mar Sydney FC A 2–2 D
27 Feb Adelaide United FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Auckland FC Melbourne Victory FC
#8 Position #9
5 Points 3
4 Played 4
1 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 3 / 1
6 Scored 5
7 Conceded 6
-1 GD -1
1.25 PPG 0.75
25% Win % 0%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Auckland FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Auckland FC are 8th (5 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Auckland FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.74 Auckland FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Auckland FC45% Draw25% Melbourne Victory FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Auckland FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
55%
Auckland FC or Melbourne Victory FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Auckland FC33% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7.2%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
3 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Auckland FC

Handicap Auckland FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 13% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Auckland FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.