Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Wellington Phoenix FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 6 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jack Morgan
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 25 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
23 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–4	L
18 Jan	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L
10 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
02 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#1	Position	#9
10	Points	3
4	Played	4
3 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
7	Scored	5
1	Conceded	6
+6	GD	-1
2.50	PPG	0.75
75%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Corban Piper	3 G
Riley Bidois	2 G
Nathan Walker	1 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
The final score is 2-3.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Jake Brimmer	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-30 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2026-01-23 Newcastle United Jets FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2026-01-18 Sydney FC 0–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC D 2026-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.89 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.21 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC46% Draw26% Melbourne Victory FC28%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	59%	41%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	21%	79%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

72%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

54%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC38% Draw43% Melbourne Victory FC19%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.2%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

1 – 0

7.8%

0 – 0

6.1%

1 – 2

3 – 1

5.9%

2 – 2

5.6%

3 – 0

4.9%

0 – 1

4.7%

3 – 2

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	13%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.