Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Wellington Phoenix FC

2 – 3

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Fri 6 Feb 2026 · 06:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League .

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Jack Morgan
Referee Sam Kelly (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	H	2–3	L
30 Jan	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
23 Jan	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–4	L
18 Jan	Sydney FC	A	2–0	W
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	2–2	D
03 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	3–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	3–2	W
01 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–1	L
26 Jan	Sydney FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	1–2	L
10 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
02 Jan	Perth Glory FC	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — let the football do the talking.
It finishes all square. Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC share the spoils 2-3.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-30 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2026-01-23 Newcastle United Jets FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2026-01-18 Sydney FC 0–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2026-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–2 Adelaide United FC D 2026-01-03 Brisbane Roar FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2026-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2026-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-26 Melbourne Victory FC 4–0 Sydney FC W 2026-01-17 Adelaide United FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC L 2026-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2026-01-02 Melbourne Victory FC 3–2 Perth Glory FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.53 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.15 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw24% Melbourne Victory FC47%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.68

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	70%	30%
± 3.5	49%	51%
± 4.5	31%	69%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

53%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

71%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC23% Draw39% Melbourne Victory FC38%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.1%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

2 – 1

6.2%

1 – 3

6.1%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 1

4.9%

2 – 3

Actual

0 – 3

4.1%

0 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.4%

1 – 0

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	8%	87%
-1.5	13%	—	87%
-1	13%	14%	73%
-0.5	27%	—	73%
+0.5	49%	—	51%
+1	49%	20%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	15%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.