Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Melbourne City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Dec | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Dec | Macarthur FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Nov | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Nov | Sydney FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 21 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Dec | Auckland FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Nov | Adelaide United FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 0 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 1 |
| -1 | GD | +6 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 0% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Corban Piper | 3 G | |
| Riley Bidois | 2 G | |
| Nathan Walker | 1 G | 1 A |
| Rafael Duran | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Wellington Phoenix FC kicks off things out of here…
- Game over. The scoreline of 5-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-12-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-12-20
Melbourne City FC
0–1
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-12-13
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-12-05
Macarthur FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2025-11-28
Brisbane Roar FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-11-22
Sydney FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-12-29
Melbourne Victory FC
5–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-12-21
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–1
Central Coast Mariners FC
W
2025-12-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–3
Newcastle United Jets FC
L
2025-12-06
Auckland FC
3–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-11-29
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–1
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-11-22
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–1
Macarthur FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
48%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 0
6.5%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
3.9%
0 – 2
3.9%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 20% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 15% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.