Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2025-26

Melbourne Victory FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Mon 29 Dec 2025 · 08:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Hugh Fenton-White (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2025-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–3 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	5–1	W
20 Dec	Melbourne City FC	A	1–0	W
13 Dec	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
05 Dec	Macarthur FC	A	0–0	D
28 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	A	0–1	L
22 Nov	Sydney FC	A	0–3	L

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–5	L
21 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–1	W
14 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	1–3	L
06 Dec	Auckland FC	A	1–3	L
29 Nov	Adelaide United FC	H	2–1	W
22 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Melbourne Victory FC host Wellington Phoenix FC — let the battle begin!
5-1 the final result. Wellington Phoenix FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Roy Krishna	4
Oskar Zawada	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Kosta Barbarouses	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-12-20 Melbourne City FC 0–1 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-12-13 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-12-05 Macarthur FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-11-28 Brisbane Roar FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-11-22 Sydney FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-12-29 Melbourne Victory FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-12-21 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–1 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-12-14 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–3 Newcastle United Jets FC L 2025-12-06 Auckland FC 3–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-11-29 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC W 2025-11-22 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Macarthur FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.97 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 76% + Melbourne Victory FC to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC71% Draw17% Wellington Phoenix FC12%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes63% 0% No37%

Avg goals/match: 4.08

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	76%	24%
± 3.5	57%	43%
± 4.5	38%	62%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

88%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

29%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC56% Draw33% Wellington Phoenix FC11%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

8.2%

3 – 1

7.9%

2 – 0

7.7%

3 – 0

7.3%

1 – 1

6.3%

4 – 1

5.9%

4 – 0

5.4%

1 – 0

2 – 2

4.5%

3 – 2

4.4%

5 – 1

Actual

4 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	35%	—	65%
-2	35%	20%	46%
-1.5	54%	—	46%
-1	54%	19%	27%
-0.5	73%	—	27%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

6% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.