Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nishan Velupillay 55' Y

Y 56' Christian Theoharous

Y 58' Nicolas Duarte

Joshua Rawlins 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-01-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–3	L
28 Feb	Western United FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	1–1	D
01 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–2	D
29 Jan	Western United FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Central Coast Mariners FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sabit James	6 G	2 A
Ali Auglah	5 G
Bailey Brandtman	4 G	2 A
Alfie McCalmont	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Melbourne Victory FC have kicked off against Central Coast Mariners FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Central Coast Mariners FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
9' Nishan Velupillay makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Melbourne Victory FC are in front.
14' The travelling Central Coast Mariners FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
19' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
24' A quiet spell here at AAMI Park. Central Coast Mariners FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
29' Central Coast Mariners FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Vitor Feijao suffering a number of foals already.
39' With 0 assists to his name this season, Reno Piscopo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
41' GOAL! Bruno Fornaroli scores on 41. Assisted by Brendan Hamill
46' The whistle greets Storm Roux as he departs to be replaced by Sasha Kuzevski.
51' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
55' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Nishan Velupillay gets a card.
56' Christian Theoharous was booked on 56.
58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolas Duarte.
63' The 22-year-old Nicolas Duarte has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
64' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Roderick Miranda has done his job and it is now time for Lachlan Jackson to step up.
65' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Alex Badolato comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
70' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
73' The Central Coast Mariners FC bench stirs into life. Trent Sainsbury is withdrawn and Diesel Herrington gets his opportunity.
75' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zinedine Machach is hanging Nishan Velupillay on the field on 75 minute.
80' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
85' A moment of madness from Joshua Rawlins on 85 minutes earns him a card. Melbourne Victory FC will be frustrated.
85' The crowd applauds Bruno Fornaroli as he leaves the pitch. Nikolaos Vergos steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
90' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Jackson might look to freshen things up shortly.
Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda ↓ Lachlan Jackson 64'
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Alex Badolato 65'
1
Mitch Langerak
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 85'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Clarismario 75'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Zinedine Machach 75'
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos

Bench

8
Zinedine Machach ↑ 75'
4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 64'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 65'
19
Jing Reec
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 85'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Trent Sainsbury ↓ Diesel Herrington 73'
15
Storm Roux ↓ Sasha Kuzevski 46'
12
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Abdelelah Faisal 73'
16
Harrison Steele
40
Dylan Peraic-Cullen
33
Nathan Paull
10
Mikael Doka
3
Brian Kaltak
23
Miguel Di Pizio ↓ Christian Theoharous 46'
36
Haine Eames
11
Vitor Feijao ↓ Nicolas Duarte 46'

Bench

Coach Mark Jackson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Dylan Ruiz-Diaz	2
Ben Kennedy	2
Callum McManaman	2
Andrew Hoole	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC L 2025-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-02-07 Perth Glory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2025-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC59% Draw23% Central Coast Mariners FC18%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

41%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC16%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

6.7%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

4 – 1

3.2%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	23%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.