Sunday , 15 November 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Central Coast Mariners FC
#9 Position #11
3 Points 2
4 Played 4
0 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 2
5 Scored 4
6 Conceded 9
-1 GD -5
0.75 PPG 0.50
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 11th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Central Coast Mariners FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Keegan Jelacic 2 G
Jordi Valadon 2 G
Charles Nduka 1 G 2 A
Central Coast Mariners FC
Oliver Lavale 4 G
Ali Auglah 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.04 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Central Coast Mariners FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC61% Draw23% Central Coast Mariners FC16%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC
39%
Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC44% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC14%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
10.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.