Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nishan Velupillay 55' Y

Y 56' Christian Theoharous

Y 58' Nicolas Duarte

Joshua Rawlins 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-01-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–3	L
28 Feb	Western United FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	1–1	D
01 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–2	D
29 Jan	Western United FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Central Coast Mariners FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Central Coast Mariners FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

1/4

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sabit James	6 G	2 A
Ali Auglah	5 G
Bailey Brandtman	4 G	2 A
Alfie McCalmont	4 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nishan Velupillay makes no mistake. 1-0!
14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joshua Rawlins suffering a number of foals already.
19' Bruno Fornaroli is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne Victory FC so far.
24' Central Coast Mariners FC is showing some good football. However, Central Coast Mariners FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
29' Miguel Di Pizio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
34' Australia international Christian Theoharous has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
39' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Central Coast Mariners FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
41' What a moment for Bruno Fornaroli! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
46' A tactical swap from Central Coast Mariners FC — Sasha Kuzevski on, Storm Roux off on 46 minutes.
51' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Central Coast Mariners FC backline.
55' That is a card for Melbourne Victory FC. Nishan Velupillay will be fuming at that decision.
56' Controversy at the stadium! Christian Theoharous argues furiously but the card stands.
58' That is a card for Central Coast Mariners FC. Nicolas Duarte will be fuming at that decision.
63' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
64' The whistle greets Roderick Miranda as he departs to be replaced by Lachlan Jackson.
65' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Alex Badolato comes on to replace Daniel Arzani.
70' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 70 minutes.
73' The crowd applauds Trent Sainsbury as he leaves the pitch. Diesel Herrington steps in for Central Coast Mariners FC.
75' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 75 minute. Nishan Velupillay leaves to be changed by Zinedine Machach.
80' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
85' The referee calls foul for Joshua Rawlins. He receives a card.
85' The supporters are chanting for Nikolaos Vergos. He replaces Bruno Fornaroli on 85 minute.
90' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne Victory FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda ↓ Lachlan Jackson 64'
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Alex Badolato 65'
1
Mitch Langerak
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 85'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Clarismario 75'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Zinedine Machach 75'
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos

Bench

8
Zinedine Machach ↑ 75'
4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 64'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 65'
19
Jing Reec
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 85'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Trent Sainsbury ↓ Diesel Herrington 73'
15
Storm Roux ↓ Sasha Kuzevski 46'
12
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Abdelelah Faisal 73'
16
Harrison Steele
40
Dylan Peraic-Cullen
33
Nathan Paull
10
Mikael Doka
3
Brian Kaltak
23
Miguel Di Pizio ↓ Christian Theoharous 46'
36
Haine Eames
11
Vitor Feijao ↓ Nicolas Duarte 46'

Bench

Coach Mark Jackson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Callum McManaman	2
Andrew Hoole	2
Ryan Edmondson	2
James Troisi	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC L 2025-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-02-07 Perth Glory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2025-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC59% Draw23% Central Coast Mariners FC18%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

41%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC16%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

6.7%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

4 – 1

3.2%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	23%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.