Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

3 – 0

Full Time

Central Coast Mariners FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nishan Velupillay 55' Y

Y 56' Christian Theoharous

Y 58' Nicolas Duarte

Joshua Rawlins 85' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Central Coast Mariners FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
Central Coast Mariners FC 26 games · 32 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Richard Naumovski (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 19 games · Avg 2.9 goals Central Coast Mariners FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-02-25 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Central Coast Mariners FC 2024-01-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W

Central Coast Mariners FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–3	L
28 Feb	Western United FC	H	1–3	L
22 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–4	L
07 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	1–1	D
01 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–2	D
29 Jan	Western United FC	A	2–2	D

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Central Coast Mariners FC
#4	Position	#9
40	Points	32
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	8 / 8 / 10
44	Scored	35
33	Conceded	42
+11	GD	-7
1.54	PPG	1.23
42%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Central Coast Mariners FC are 9th (32 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at AAMI Park. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
9' Nishan Velupillay puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brian Kaltak, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
19' international Vitor Feijao has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
24' Central Coast Mariners FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
29' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
39' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Central Coast Mariners FC backline.
41' Bruno Fornaroli adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
46' Time for substitution for Central Coast Mariners FC. Storm Roux is replaced by Sasha Kuzevski.
51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
55' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 55.
56' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Christian Theoharous.
58' That looks like a foul for a card for Nicolas Duarte.
63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Central Coast Mariners FC that had 208 games and scored 311 goals.
64' Lachlan Jackson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Roderick Miranda on 64 minute.
65' Melbourne Victory FC ring the changes. Daniel Arzani has done his job and it is now time for Alex Badolato to step up.
70' Daniel Arzani has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
73' A change in the Central Coast Mariners FC ranks — Trent Sainsbury exits the field as Diesel Herrington enters on 73.
75' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Zinedine Machach comes on to replace Nishan Velupillay.
80' Melbourne Victory FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
85' It’s gonna be a card for Joshua Rawlins.
85' Nikolaos Vergos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Bruno Fornaroli on 85 minute.
90' Central Coast Mariners FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
Another three points for Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda ↓ Lachlan Jackson 64'
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Alex Badolato 65'
1
Mitch Langerak
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 85'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Clarismario 75'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Zinedine Machach 75'
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos

Bench

8
Zinedine Machach ↑ 75'
4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 64'
23
Alex Badolato ↑ 65'
19
Jing Reec
30
Daniel Graskoski
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↑ 85'
11
Clarismario ↑ 75'

Coach Arthur Diles

Central Coast Mariners FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Trent Sainsbury ↓ Diesel Herrington 73'
15
Storm Roux ↓ Sasha Kuzevski 46'
12
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Abdelelah Faisal 73'
16
Harrison Steele
40
Dylan Peraic-Cullen
33
Nathan Paull
10
Mikael Doka
3
Brian Kaltak
23
Miguel Di Pizio ↓ Christian Theoharous 46'
36
Haine Eames
11
Vitor Feijao ↓ Nicolas Duarte 46'

Bench

Coach Mark Jackson

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jason Cummings	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nishan Velupillay	3
Matt Simon	3
James Troisi	2
Kye Rowles	2
Marco Rojas	2
Dylan Ruiz-Diaz	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W

Central Coast Mariners FC Form

2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC L 2025-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-02-07 Perth Glory FC 1–1 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2025-02-01 Central Coast Mariners FC 2–2 Newcastle United Jets FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.99 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 Central Coast Mariners FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC59% Draw23% Central Coast Mariners FC18%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes55% 0% No45%

Avg goals/match: 2.98

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Central Coast Mariners FC

41%

Melbourne Victory FC or Central Coast Mariners FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Melbourne Victory FC42% Draw42% Central Coast Mariners FC16%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

10.8%

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.6%

1 – 0

9.4%

0 – 0

6.7%

3 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

6.4%

1 – 2

4.8%

2 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

4.3%

4 – 1

3.2%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Central Coast Mariners FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	23%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Central Coast Mariners FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.