Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 22 Feb 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Jonathon Barreiro

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Melbourne City FC H 2–2 D
14 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC H 1–0 W
08 Feb Newcastle United Jets FC A 0–3 L
01 Feb Perth Glory FC A 2–0 W
24 Jan Sydney FC H 2–0 W
18 Jan Adelaide United FC A 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 2–2 D
15 Feb Perth Glory FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb Adelaide United FC A 0–1 L
25 Jan Macarthur FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Auckland FC A 0–3 L
11 Jan Brisbane Roar FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Melbourne City FC
#4 Position #6
40 Points 38
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
44 Scored 33
33 Conceded 33
+11 GD +0
1.54 PPG 1.46
42% Win % 38%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC54% Draw25% Melbourne City FC21%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
79%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
46%
Melbourne Victory FC or Melbourne City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw44% Melbourne City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
1 – 0
9.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 1
5.8%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 2
5.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5%
3 – 2
3.2%
0 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 23% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.