Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Brisbane Roar FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 57' Zinedine Machach

Jay O'Shea 57' Y

Keegan Jelacic 64' Y

Y 69' Jordi Valadon

Henry Hore 89' Y

Y 90' Fabian Monge

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee
Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)

26 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 2.8 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–3	L
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
31 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
18 Jan	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

27% Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

–/2

61-75

1/2

76+

2/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brisbane Roar FC

Justin Vidic	4 G	2 A
Chris Long	4 G	1 A
Samuel Klein	4 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Brisbane Roar FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
5' Brisbane Roar FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
10' The 25-year-old Hosine Bility has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matthew Acton, as he is very good at scoring at Suncorp Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
20' GOAL! Henry Hore scores on 20. Assisted by Jay O'Shea
25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
30' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
35' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
40' It’s high time Ruben Zadkovich made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
46' Another change for Brisbane Roar FC made on 46 minute. Asumah Abubakar-Ankra leaves to be changed by Ben Halloran.
51' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
53' Another substitution for Brisbane Roar FC to replace Nathan Amanatidis by Adam Zimarino on 53 minute.
57' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 57.
58' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Nishan Velupillay on, Zinedine Machach off on 58 minutes.
63' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brisbane Roar FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
64' Keegan Jelacic picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
69' Jordi Valadon was booked on 69.
69' Brisbane Roar FC ring the changes. Austin Ludwik has done his job and it is now time for Jack Hingert to step up.
72' Fresh legs for Melbourne Victory FC! Lachlan Jackson comes on to replace Brendan Hamill.
77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
78' The Melbourne Victory FC bench stirs into life. Jordi Valadon is withdrawn and Fabian Monge gets his opportunity.
83' Austin Ludwik is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Brisbane Roar FC so far.
84' It is a substitution in Brisbane Roar FC team. Antonee Burke-Gilroy is replaced by Pearson Kasawaya on 84 minute.
89' The referee shows Brisbane Roar FC player a card on 89.
90' Melbourne Victory FC player sees a card in front of him.
Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

23
Keegan Jelacic
15
Hosine Bility
13
Henry Hore
35
Louis Zabala
24
Samuel Klein
11
Asumah Abubakar-Ankra ↓ Ben Halloran 46'
17
Nathan Amanatidis ↓ Adam Zimarino 53'
29
Matthew Acton
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↓ Pearson Kasawaya 84'
26
Jay O'Shea
6
Austin Ludwik ↓ Jack Hingert 69'

Bench

19
Jack Hingert ↑ 69'
27
Ben Halloran ↑ 46'
10
Florin Berenguer
1
Macklin Freke
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 53'
18
Jacob Brazete
14
Pearson Kasawaya ↑ 84'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Nishan Velupillay 58'
5
Brendan Hamill ↓ Lachlan Jackson 72'
21
Roderick Miranda
1
Mitch Langerak
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 78'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 78'
28
Kasey Bos
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 72'
11
Clarismario

Bench

4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 72'
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 78'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 72'
3
Adama Traore
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 58'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 78'
30
Daniel Graskoski

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Ola Toivonen	3
Scott McDonald	3
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Andrew Nabbout	2
Jordan Courtney-Perkins	1
Jake Brimmer	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-21 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-01-18 Sydney FC 3–4 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.04 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC33% Draw30% Melbourne Victory FC37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

67%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC21% Draw50% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.9%

0 – 1

11.4%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.