Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Brisbane Roar FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 1 Mar 2025 · 06:00 UTC Suncorp Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 57' Zinedine Machach

Jay O'Shea 57' Y

Keegan Jelacic 64' Y

Y 69' Jordi Valadon

Henry Hore 89' Y

Y 90' Fabian Monge

Overview

Match Preview

Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.

Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee
Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Brisbane Roar FC 18 games · Avg 2.4 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-04-20 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Brisbane Roar FC 2024-03-03 Brisbane Roar FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-29 Melbourne Victory FC 0–1 Brisbane Roar FC

Recent Form

Brisbane Roar FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–1	D
21 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–3	L
06 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	1–1	D
31 Jan	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	0–1	L
18 Jan	Sydney FC	A	4–3	W
11 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Brisbane Roar FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#11	Position	#4
26	Points	40
26	Played	26
6 / 8 / 12	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
36	Conceded	33
-9	GD	+11
1.00	PPG	1.54
23%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC get this one started.
5' Australia international Keegan Jelacic has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
10' Melbourne Victory FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
15' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Brisbane Roar FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
20' What a strike from Henry Hore! The score is 1-0.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. Brisbane Roar FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
30' Nikolaos Vergos needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
35' Roderick Miranda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
45' Antonee Burke-Gilroy, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
46' Brisbane Roar FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ben Halloran is hanging Asumah Abubakar-Ankra on the field on 46 minute.
51' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
53' Brisbane Roar FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Adam Zimarino is hanging Nathan Amanatidis on the field on 53 minute.
57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Zinedine Machach.
58' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nishan Velupillay is hanging Zinedine Machach on the field on 58 minute.
63' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Reno Piscopo suffering a number of foals already.
64' That is a card for Brisbane Roar FC. Keegan Jelacic will be fuming at that decision.
69' The referee calls foul for Jordi Valadon. He receives a card.
69' The Brisbane Roar FC manager makes a substitution. Austin Ludwik departs to be replaced by Jack Hingert.
72' The crowd applauds Brendan Hamill as he leaves the pitch. Lachlan Jackson steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
77' Brisbane Roar FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
78' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jordi Valadon is replaced by Fabian Monge.
83' A quiet spell here at Suncorp Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
84' Brisbane Roar FC make a change. Antonee Burke-Gilroy trudges off to be replaced by Pearson Kasawaya on 84 minutes.
89' That looks like a foul for a card for Henry Hore.
90' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Fabian Monge gets a card.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Brisbane Roar FC Lineups

Starting XI

23
Keegan Jelacic
15
Hosine Bility
13
Henry Hore
35
Louis Zabala
24
Samuel Klein
11
Asumah Abubakar-Ankra ↓ Ben Halloran 46'
17
Nathan Amanatidis ↓ Adam Zimarino 53'
29
Matthew Acton
21
Antonee Burke-Gilroy ↓ Pearson Kasawaya 84'
26
Jay O'Shea
6
Austin Ludwik ↓ Jack Hingert 69'

Bench

19
Jack Hingert ↑ 69'
27
Ben Halloran ↑ 46'
10
Florin Berenguer
1
Macklin Freke
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 53'
18
Jacob Brazete
14
Pearson Kasawaya ↑ 84'

Coach Ruben Zadkovich

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

8
Zinedine Machach ↓ Nishan Velupillay 58'
5
Brendan Hamill ↓ Lachlan Jackson 72'
21
Roderick Miranda
1
Mitch Langerak
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 78'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 78'
28
Kasey Bos
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 72'
11
Clarismario

Bench

4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 72'
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 78'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 72'
3
Adama Traore
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 58'
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 78'
30
Daniel Graskoski

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kosta Barbarouses	7
Scott McDonald	3
Ola Toivonen	3
Andrew Nabbout	2
Marco Rojas	2
Riku Danzaki	2
Adam Taggart	1
Nicholas D'Agostino	1

Head to Head

Brisbane Roar FC Form

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-21 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–1 Brisbane Roar FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2025-01-18 Sydney FC 3–4 Brisbane Roar FC W 2025-01-11 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Brisbane Roar FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Sydney FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.04 Brisbane Roar FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.3 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC33% Draw30% Melbourne Victory FC37%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	10%	90%

Double Chance

Brisbane Roar FC or Draw

63%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

67%

Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Brisbane Roar FC21% Draw50% Melbourne Victory FC29%

Actual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

11.9%

0 – 1

11.4%

1 – 0

8.8%

1 – 2

8.2%

0 – 2

7.9%

2 – 1

6.5%

2 – 0

2 – 2

4.4%

1 – 3

3.6%

0 – 3

3.4%

3 – 1

2.3%

Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC

Handicap	Brisbane Roar FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	22%	19%
+1.5	81%	—	19%
+2	81%	12%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

36% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.