Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Suncorp Stadium.
- Brisbane Roar FC 26 games · 26 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee
- Referee Nathan Shakespear (Australia)
26 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 2.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jan | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jan | Sydney FC | A | 4–3 | W |
| 11 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Brisbane Roar FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #4 |
| 26 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 6 / 8 / 12 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 27 | Scored | 44 |
| 36 | Conceded | 33 |
| -9 | GD | +11 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 23% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Brisbane Roar FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Brisbane Roar FC are 11th (26 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Brisbane Roar FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Brisbane Roar FC
| Justin Vidic | 4 G | 2 A |
| Chris Long | 4 G | 1 A |
| Samuel Klein | 4 G |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Brisbane Roar FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lachlan Jackson, as he is very good at scoring at Suncorp Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Brisbane Roar FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 20' Henry Hore is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Brisbane Roar FC winning 50% of all matches.
- 30' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Brisbane Roar FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 46' Time for substitution for Brisbane Roar FC. Asumah Abubakar-Ankra is replaced by Ben Halloran.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 53' The crowd applauds Nathan Amanatidis as he leaves the pitch. Adam Zimarino steps in for Brisbane Roar FC.
- 57' Zinedine Machach is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
- 58' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Zinedine Machach departs to be replaced by Nishan Velupillay.
- 63' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Brisbane Roar FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 64' The referee has no hesitation. Keegan Jelacic is booked for Brisbane Roar FC — card on 64.
- 69' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 69.
- 69' The Brisbane Roar FC bench stirs into life. Austin Ludwik is withdrawn and Jack Hingert gets his opportunity.
- 72' The whistle greets Brendan Hamill as he departs to be replaced by Lachlan Jackson.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 78' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Jordi Valadon is replaced by Fabian Monge.
- 83' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 84' Brisbane Roar FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Pearson Kasawaya is hanging Antonee Burke-Gilroy on the field on 84 minute.
- 89' Henry Hore catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
- 90' Poor challenge from Fabian Monge. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Brisbane Roar FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 15
- 13
- 35
- 24
- 11
- 17
- 29
- 21
- 26
-
6
Austin Ludwik ↓ Jack Hingert 69'
Bench
-
19
Jack Hingert ↑ 69'
-
27
Ben Halloran ↑ 46'
- 10
- 1
-
43
Adam Zimarino ↑ 53'
- 18
-
14
Pearson Kasawaya ↑ 84'
Coach
Ruben Zadkovich
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 78'
- 6
- 22
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 78'
- 28
- 9
- 11
Bench
-
4
Lachlan Jackson ↑ 72'
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 78'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 72'
- 3
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↑ 58'
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 78'
- 30
Coach
Arthur Diles
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kosta Barbarouses | 7 |
| Ola Toivonen | 3 |
| Scott McDonald | 3 |
| Marco Rojas | 2 |
| Riku Danzaki | 2 |
| Andrew Nabbout | 2 |
| Jordan Courtney-Perkins | 1 |
| Jake Brimmer | 1 |
Head to Head
Brisbane Roar FC Form
2025-03-01
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2025-02-21
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–1
Brisbane Roar FC
L
2025-02-06
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2025-01-31
Brisbane Roar FC
0–1
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2025-01-18
Sydney FC
3–4
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2025-01-11
Melbourne City FC
1–0
Brisbane Roar FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-03-01
Brisbane Roar FC
1–1
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2025-02-22
Melbourne Victory FC
2–2
Melbourne City FC
D
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-02-01
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.04
Brisbane Roar FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Brisbane Roar FC or Draw
63%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
67%
Brisbane Roar FC or Melbourne Victory FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Brisbane Roar FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
8.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
0 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Brisbane Roar FC
| Handicap | Brisbane Roar FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Brisbane Roar FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

