Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS

A League · 2023-24
Sun 12 May 2024 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Adam Kersey
  • Referee Casey Reibelt
18 games this season 🟨 0.4/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 33
26 Played 26
11 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
44 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+11 GD -12
1.54 PPG 1.27
42% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79 Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Melbourne Victory FC49% Draw27% Wellington Phoenix FC24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne Victory FC38% Draw44% Wellington Phoenix FC18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap Melbourne Victory FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.