Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2023-24 PLAYOFFS
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Adam Kersey
- Referee Casey Reibelt
18 games this season
🟨 0.4/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 05 May | Melbourne City FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 27 Apr | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| 20 Apr | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Apr | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Apr | Melbourne City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Apr | Macarthur FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Melbourne Victory FC welcome Wellington Phoenix FC for this crunch clash at AAMI Park.
- 5' Wellington Phoenix FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Old, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alex Paulsen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Melbourne Victory FC.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bozhidar Kraev made 225 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 41' David Ball is having his name booked by the referee on 41.
- 46' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Wellington Phoenix FC's compact .
- 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicholas Pennington.
- 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 60' Ben Folami is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nishan Velupillay at the 60 minute mark.
- 61' Daniel Arzani has so much to prove this time. He replaces Salim Khelifi on 61 minute.
- 65' Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Oskar van Hattum is hanging David Ball on the field on 65 minute.
- 70' Melbourne Victory FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 75' Australia international Paul Izzo has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 76' Bozhidar Kraev makes way for Oskar Zawada at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 79' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Roly Bonevacia is replaced by Chris Ikonomidis.
- 84' Oskar Zawada has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Daniel Arzani is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 88.
- 89' Connor Chapman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Bruno Fornaroli at the 89 minute mark.
- 90' The referee shows Wellington Phoenix FC player a card on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Ben Old as he departs to be replaced by Mohamed Al-Taay.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 28
- 20
- 21
-
23
Salim Khelifi ↓ Daniel Arzani 61'
- 10
- 3
- 12
- 2
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Ben Folami 60'
-
27
Jordi Valadon ↓ Jake Brimmer 61'
Bench
-
11
Ben Folami ↑ 60'
-
22
Jake Brimmer ↑ 61'
-
7
Chris Ikonomidis ↑ 79'
-
19
Daniel Arzani ↑ 61'
-
14
Connor Chapman ↑ 89'
- 40
- 37
Coach
Tony Popović
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
10
David Ball ↓ Oskar van Hattum 65'
- 4
- 7
- 14
-
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Oskar Zawada 76'
- 6
- 19
- 40
- 3
- 15
-
8
Ben Old ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 90'
Bench
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 65'
- 25
-
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 90'
-
9
Oskar Zawada ↑ 76'
-
17
Youstin Salas ↑ 76'
- 26
- 18
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-05-05
Melbourne Victory FC
3–2
Melbourne City FC
W
2024-04-27
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2024-04-20
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2024-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-04-06
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Melbourne City FC
W
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2024-05-12
Melbourne Victory FC
0–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-04-27
Wellington Phoenix FC
3–0
Macarthur FC
W
2024-04-19
Newcastle United Jets FC
1–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
D
2024-04-12
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-04-06
Central Coast Mariners FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-03-31
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.79
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.85
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
51%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.7%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 16% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 23% | 47% |
| -0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +0.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +1 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
18%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

