Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

A League · 2024-25

Melbourne Victory FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 14 Feb 2025 · 08:35 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Nikolaos Vergos 58' Y

Joshua Rawlins 65' Y

Y 75' Matt Sheridan

Y 89' Sam Sutton

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.

Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Melbourne Victory FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L
01 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
24 Jan	Sydney FC	H	2–0	W
18 Jan	Adelaide United FC	A	2–3	L
10 Jan	Western United FC	H	3–4	L

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
25 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D
20 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
15 Jan	Sydney FC	H	0–0	D
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L

Season Stats

Melbourne Victory FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#4	Position	#8
40	Points	33
26	Played	26
11 / 7 / 8	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
44	Scored	36
33	Conceded	48
+11	GD	-12
1.54	PPG	1.27
42%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
10' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Wellington Phoenix FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
25' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Wellington Phoenix FC's compact .
30' Wellington Phoenix FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Reno Piscopo, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
45' Alby Kelly-Heald is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Wellington Phoenix FC so far.
46' The supporters are chanting for Clarismario. He replaces Nishan Velupillay on 46 minute.
51' Alex Rufer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jordi Valadon made 210 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
57' Nikolaos Vergos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
58' That looks like a foul for a card for Nikolaos Vergos.
63' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
65' The referee has no hesitation. Joshua Rawlins is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 65.
66' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 66 minute. Reno Piscopo leaves to be changed by Daniel Arzani.
68' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Lukas Kelly-Heald is replaced by Nathan Walker.
73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
74' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Nikolaos Vergos by Bruno Fornaroli on 74 minute.
75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Matt Sheridan.
75' The whistle greets Adama Traore as he departs to be replaced by Kasey Bos.
77' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Corban Piper is withdrawn and Luke Brooke-Smith gets his opportunity.
82' Brendan Hamill has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
87' Over 87 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
89' A moment of madness from Sam Sutton on 89 minutes earns him a card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Melbourne Victory FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

4
Lachlan Jackson
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 66'
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
25
Jack Duncan
18
Fabian Monge
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
11
Clarismario ↑ 46'

Coach Arthur Diles

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Alex Rufer 68'
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 68'
6
Tim Payne
19
Sam Sutton
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
15
Isaac Hughes
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↓ Nathan Walker 68'
27
Matt Sheridan
3
Corban Piper ↓ Luke Brooke-Smith 77'

Bench

14
Alex Rufer ↑ 68'
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 68'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
5
Fin Conchie
39
Jayden Smith
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 77'
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 68'

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Jake Brimmer	2

Head to Head

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-02-01 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-01-24 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Sydney FC W 2025-01-18 Adelaide United FC 3–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-01-10 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western United FC L

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-25 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2025-01-20 Macarthur FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-01-15 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Sydney FC D 2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.82 Melbourne Victory FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Melbourne Victory FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC56% Draw25% Wellington Phoenix FC19%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.8

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	77%	23%
± 2.5	52%	48%
± 3.5	31%	69%
± 4.5	16%	84%

Double Chance

Melbourne Victory FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

44%

Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Melbourne Victory FC39% Draw45% Wellington Phoenix FC16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.7%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

9.5%

0 – 0

3 – 0

5.9%

3 – 1

5.8%

0 – 1

5.1%

1 – 2

5.1%

2 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

2.9%

0 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC

Handicap	Melbourne Victory FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	15%	—	85%
-2	15%	17%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	23%	44%
-0.5	56%	—	44%
+0.5	81%	—	19%
+1	81%	12%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.