Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Brisbane Roar FC | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Melbourne City FC | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Perth Glory FC | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Auckland FC | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory FC | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 4 | 2 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Adelaide United FC | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Feb | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Macarthur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 3 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 0 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 1 |
| -1 | GD | +6 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 0% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
48%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Keegan Jelacic | 2 G | |
| Jordi Valadon | 2 G | |
| Charles Nduka | 1 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Corban Piper | 3 G | |
| Riley Bidois | 2 G | |
| Nathan Walker | 1 G | 1 A |
| Rafael Duran | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Melbourne Victory FC launch into their encounter with Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosta Barbarouses suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Wellington Phoenix FC have won 303 goals from 212 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 40' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luke Brooke-Smith made 212 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' Clarismario is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nishan Velupillay at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Sam Sutton has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 212 appearances.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' Melbourne Victory FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nikolaos Vergos on 57.
- 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikolaos Vergos on 58.
- 63' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 65' Poor challenge from Joshua Rawlins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 66' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Reno Piscopo is replaced by Daniel Arzani.
- 68' Nathan Walker is replacing Lukas Kelly-Heald for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
- 73' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 74' Another substitution for Melbourne Victory FC to replace Nikolaos Vergos by Bruno Fornaroli on 74 minute.
- 75' Controversy at the stadium! Matt Sheridan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' The Melbourne Victory FC manager makes a substitution. Adama Traore departs to be replaced by Kasey Bos.
- 77' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Luke Brooke-Smith on, Corban Piper off on 77 minutes.
- 82' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Sutton on 89.
- 1-0 the final result. Wellington Phoenix FC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 66'
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
- 6
- 22
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Clarismario 46'
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 4
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 66'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
- 25
- 18
-
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Alex Rufer 68'
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 68'
- 6
- 19
- 30
- 15
- 18
- 27
- 3
Bench
-
14
Alex Rufer ↑ 68'
-
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 68'
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 77'
-
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 68'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Damien da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-02-01
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-02-06
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2025-01-25
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2025-01-20
Macarthur FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-01-15
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.69
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 69%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.97
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 1.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 2.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 3.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
59%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
71%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
16.7%
0 – 0
16.4%
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 2
11%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.1%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 4
1.5%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 13% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 26% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 15% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
51%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

