Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Feb | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Macarthur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC has kicked off!
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' The 34-year-old Scott Wootton has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 15' Tim Payne has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 209 appearances.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Diles might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 30' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne Victory FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' Melbourne Victory FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Wellington Phoenix FC backline.
- 45' Adama Traore needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 18 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Nishan Velupillay is replaced by Clarismario.
- 51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 56' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 57' Nikolaos Vergos does the damage! The net is bulging and Melbourne Victory FC surge ahead!
- 58' The referee has no hesitation. Nikolaos Vergos is booked for Melbourne Victory FC — card on 58.
- 63' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
- 65' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 65.
- 66' Reno Piscopo makes way for Daniel Arzani at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 68' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Nathan Walker on, Lukas Kelly-Heald off on 68 minutes.
- 73' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne Victory FC in their trying to find a way past Wellington Phoenix FC's compact .
- 74' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Bruno Fornaroli is hanging Nikolaos Vergos on the field on 74 minute.
- 75' Matt Sheridan was booked on 75.
- 75' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Adama Traore trudges off to be replaced by Kasey Bos on 75 minutes.
- 77' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Corban Piper is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
- 82' Sam Sutton is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wellington Phoenix FC tonight.
- 87' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 89' It’s gonna be a card for Sam Sutton.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 66'
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
- 6
- 22
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Clarismario 46'
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 4
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 66'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
- 25
- 18
-
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Alex Rufer 68'
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 68'
- 6
- 19
- 30
- 15
- 18
- 27
- 3
Bench
-
14
Alex Rufer ↑ 68'
-
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 68'
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 77'
-
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 68'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-02-01
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-02-06
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2025-01-25
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2025-01-20
Macarthur FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-01-15
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
44%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.