Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne Victory FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Feb | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Feb | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 18 Jan | Adelaide United FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Jan | Western United FC | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Feb | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jan | Central Coast Mariners FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jan | Macarthur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | Sydney FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 11 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Melbourne Victory FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 11 / 7 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 44 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +11 | GD | -12 |
| 1.54 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 42% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC is underway.
- 5' Wellington Phoenix FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Melbourne Victory FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Diles might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 25' The 21-year-old Lukas Kelly-Heald has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Wellington Phoenix FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 40' Melbourne Victory FC have won 299 goals from 210 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Sam Sutton has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Clarismario. He replaces Nishan Velupillay on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Melbourne Victory FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 57' What a moment for Nikolaos Vergos! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
- 58' Nikolaos Vergos is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 63' Supporters expect more eagerness from Zinedine Machach, as he is very good at scoring at AAMI Park with 7 goals in the last 7 games.
- 65' It’s a booking for Melbourne Victory FC player. Joshua Rawlins gets a card.
- 66' Reno Piscopo makes way for Daniel Arzani at the 66 minute mark. A tactical switch from Melbourne Victory FC.
- 68' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Lukas Kelly-Heald is replaced by Nathan Walker on 68 minute.
- 73' Melbourne Victory FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' The supporters are chanting for Bruno Fornaroli. He replaces Nikolaos Vergos on 74 minute.
- 75' It’s a booking for Wellington Phoenix FC player. Matt Sheridan gets a card.
- 75' Time for substitution for Melbourne Victory FC. Adama Traore is replaced by Kasey Bos.
- 77' The crowd applauds Corban Piper as he leaves the pitch. Luke Brooke-Smith steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 82' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 87' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne Victory FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Sam Sutton on 89.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Wellington Phoenix FC.
Lineups
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
- 1
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Daniel Arzani 66'
-
3
Adama Traore ↓ Kasey Bos 75'
- 6
- 22
-
17
Nishan Velupillay ↓ Clarismario 46'
- 14
- 9
Bench
- 4
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↑ 66'
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 74'
- 25
- 18
-
28
Kasey Bos ↑ 75'
-
11
Clarismario ↑ 46'
Coach
Arthur Diles
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
-
8
Paulo Retre ↓ Alex Rufer 68'
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 68'
- 6
- 19
- 30
- 15
- 18
- 27
- 3
Bench
-
14
Alex Rufer ↑ 68'
-
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 68'
- 1
- 5
- 39
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 77'
-
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 68'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-02-08
Newcastle United Jets FC
3–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-02-01
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2025-01-24
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Sydney FC
W
2025-01-18
Adelaide United FC
3–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2025-01-10
Melbourne Victory FC
3–4
Western United FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-02-14
Melbourne Victory FC
1–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2025-02-06
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Brisbane Roar FC
D
2025-01-25
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Central Coast Mariners FC
D
2025-01-20
Macarthur FC
1–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2025-01-15
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–0
Sydney FC
D
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.82
Melbourne Victory FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne Victory FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne Victory FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Melbourne Victory FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
44%
Melbourne Victory FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8%
3 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne Victory FC
| Handicap | Melbourne Victory FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.