Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 06:30 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Alex Rufer 70' Y
Y 76' Kai Trewin

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
22 Feb Auckland FC A 1–6 L
14 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 0–1 L
06 Feb Brisbane Roar FC H 1–1 D
25 Jan Central Coast Mariners FC H 0–0 D
20 Jan Macarthur FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Wellington Phoenix FC A 1–0 W
22 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 2–2 D
15 Feb Perth Glory FC H 1–0 W
07 Feb Adelaide United FC A 0–1 L
25 Jan Macarthur FC A 0–1 L
18 Jan Auckland FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne City FC
#8 Position #6
33 Points 38
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 8
36 Scored 33
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +0
1.27 PPG 1.46
35% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne City FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Australia international Harry Politidis has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 15' Patrick Beach has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Melbourne City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' Tim Payne is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Melbourne City FC so far.
  • 30' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Wellington Phoenix FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 35' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Nathan Walker suffering a number of foals already.
  • 46' Melbourne City FC make a change. Zane Schreiber trudges off to be replaced by Mathew Leckie on 46 minutes.
  • 51' What composure from Marco Tilio! The Australia international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 59' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Nathan Walker by Luke Brooke-Smith on 59 minute.
  • 60' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 60 minute. Paulo Retre leaves to be changed by Corban Piper.
  • 65' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 70' Alex Rufer picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 70' A tactical swap from Melbourne City FC — Harry Politidis on, Kavian Rahmani off on 70 minutes.
  • 72' Marco Rojas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chico Geraldes on 72 minute.
  • 76' A meaty challenge results in booking for Kai Trewin on 76.
  • 81' Nathaniel Atkinson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 86' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Isaac Hughes made 209 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 87' Lukas Kelly-Heald has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tim Payne on 87 minute.
  • 88' Time for substitution for Melbourne City FC. Andreas Kuen is replaced by Lawrence Wong.
  • The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 0-1 Melbourne City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.03 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 Melbourne City FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw30% Melbourne City FC41%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Melbourne City FC
71%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne City FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC20% Draw50% Melbourne City FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.4%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne City FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 58% — 42%
+1 58% 22% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.