Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

4 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 08:30 UTC CommBank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Bozhidar Kraev 16' Y

Nicolas Milanovic 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at CommBank Stadium.

Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 games · 21 pts (2025/26)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Alex King

18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.1 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Western Sydney Wanderers FC 17 games · Avg 3.5 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	4–2	W
02 Mar	Perth Glory FC	H	4–1	W
22 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W
16 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
08 Feb	Sydney FC	A	3–3	D
31 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#12	Position	#4
21	Points	40
26	Played	26
5 / 6 / 15	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
43	Conceded	33
-16	GD	+11
0.81	PPG	1.54
19%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
Western Sydney Wanderers FC this season

23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/3

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

–/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Bozhidar Kraev	5 G	2 A
Ryan Fraser	4 G	3 A
Brandon Borrello	4 G	2 A
Kosta Barbarouses	4 G	1 A

Melbourne Victory FC

Nikolaos Vergos	7 G	1 A
Clarismario	6 G
Mata	5 G	12 A
Keegan Jelacic	5 G	2 A
Charles Nduka	5 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Western Sydney Wanderers FC launch into their encounter with Melbourne Victory FC.
5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
10' A quiet spell here at CommBank Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
16' It’s gonna be a card for Bozhidar Kraev.
21' Melbourne Victory FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
26' Jarrod Carluccio has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 12 cards already picked up this season.
31' Jack Clisby has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
34' What a moment for Nishan Velupillay! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
39' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
41' Reno Piscopo adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne Victory FC lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
44' The Bulgaria Bozhidar Kraev breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-2!
46' The whistle greets Kasey Bos as he departs to be replaced by Adama Traore.
51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Roderick Miranda made 93 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
56' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
61' Jack Clisby makes way for Alex Gersbach at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from Western Sydney Wanderers FC.
66' Alex Bonetig needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
71' The travelling Melbourne Victory FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
73' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 73 minute. Bruno Fornaroli leaves to be changed by Nikolaos Vergos.
76' A stunning finish from Brandon Borrello — that came from absolutely nowhere!
81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Melbourne Victory FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
86' The Western Sydney Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Oscar Priestman is withdrawn and Mata gets his opportunity.
87' What composure from Nicolas Milanovic! The Australia international strokes it home. 3-2.
88' Nicolas Milanovic was booked on 88.
90' The Western Sydney Wanderers FC bench stirs into life. Brandon Borrello is withdrawn and Jarrod Carluccio gets his opportunity.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4-2 Melbourne Victory FC.

Lineups

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

2
Gabriel Cleur
26
Brandon Borrello ↓ Jarrod Carluccio 90'
20
Lawrence Thomas
19
Jack Clisby ↓ Alex Gersbach 61'
23
Bozhidar Kraev
25
Joshua Brillante
4
Alex Bonetig
18
Oscar Priestman ↓ Mata 86'
22
Anthony Pantazopoulos
7
Zac Sapsford ↓ Marcus Antonsson 61'
21
Aydan Hammond ↓ Nicolas Milanovic 46'

Bench

64
Mata ↑ 86'
9
Marcus Antonsson ↑ 61'
3
Alex Gersbach ↑ 61'
30
Jordan Holmes
13
Dean Pelekanos
17
Jarrod Carluccio ↑ 90'
14
Nicolas Milanovic ↑ 46'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Zinedine Machach 61'
1
Mitch Langerak
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 73'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Clarismario 61'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos ↓ Adama Traore 46'

Bench

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	4
Bruno Fornaroli	4
Nicolas Milanovic	3
Marcus Antonsson	3
Tomislav Mrcela	2
Ben Folami	2
Nishan Velupillay	2
Brandon Borrello	2

Head to Head

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Form

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-02 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Perth Glory FC W 2025-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-02-16 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2025-02-08 Sydney FC 3–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.13 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western Sydney Wanderers FC50% Draw22% Melbourne Victory FC28%

Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 3.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

50%

Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Melbourne Victory FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western Sydney Wanderers FC35% Draw38% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

8.2%

2 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 3

1 – 0

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Handicap	Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	18%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.