Thursday , 2 July 2026

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 08:30 UTC CommBank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League at CommBank Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee Alex King
18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

Season Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Melbourne Victory FC
#12 Position #4
21 Points 40
26 Played 26
5 / 6 / 15 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
27 Scored 44
43 Conceded 33
-16 GD +11
0.81 PPG 1.54
19% Win % 42%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
Western Sydney Wanderers FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Western Sydney Wanderers FC
0-15
/
16-30
/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
/2
61-75
/1
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Western Sydney Wanderers FC
Bozhidar Kraev 5 G 2 A
Ryan Fraser 4 G 3 A
Brandon Borrello 4 G 2 A
Kosta Barbarouses 4 G 1 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Western Sydney Wanderers FC50% Draw22% Melbourne Victory FC28%
Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 3.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
50%
Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Melbourne Victory FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Western Sydney Wanderers FC35% Draw38% Melbourne Victory FC27%
Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.7%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Handicap Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 13% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 18% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.