Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

4 – 2

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 08:30 UTC CommBank Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Bozhidar Kraev 16' Y

Nicolas Milanovic 88' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western Sydney Wanderers FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at CommBank Stadium.

Western Sydney Wanderers FC 26 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shaun Evans
Referee Alex King

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Western Sydney Wanderers FC 17 games · Avg 3.5 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2025-01-04 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2024-04-27 Melbourne Victory FC 3–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2023-12-10 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3–4 Melbourne Victory FC 2023-04-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Melbourne Victory FC	H	4–2	W
02 Mar	Perth Glory FC	H	4–1	W
22 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W
16 Feb	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
08 Feb	Sydney FC	A	3–3	D
31 Jan	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–0	W

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
15 Mar	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	2–4	L
08 Mar	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	3–0	W
01 Mar	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D
22 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	2–2	D
14 Feb	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	1–0	W
08 Feb	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#12	Position	#4
21	Points	40
26	Played	26
5 / 6 / 15	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
27	Scored	44
43	Conceded	33
-16	GD	+11
0.81	PPG	1.54
19%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

59% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' What a night it is going to be! Western Sydney Wanderers FC welcome Melbourne Victory FC for this crunch clash at CommBank Stadium.
5' Daniel Arzani is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Western Sydney Wanderers FC so far.
10' Melbourne Victory FC is showing some good football. However, Melbourne Victory FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
15' Gabriel Cleur needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
16' That is a card for Western Sydney Wanderers FC. Bozhidar Kraev will be fuming at that decision.
21' Western Sydney Wanderers FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
26' It’s high time Arthur Diles made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
34' Nishan Velupillay puts Melbourne Victory FC on the lead.
39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
41' What a moment for Reno Piscopo! That strike on 41 puts his side firmly in control.
44' Bozhidar Kraev is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
46' The whistle greets Kasey Bos as he departs to be replaced by Adama Traore.
51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
61' Alex Gersbach gets the nod from Western Sydney Wanderers FC. He replaces Jack Clisby and will look to change the dynamic.
66' It looks surprising Western Sydney Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Adama Traore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
71' Western Sydney Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
73' Melbourne Victory FC make a change. Bruno Fornaroli trudges off to be replaced by Nikolaos Vergos on 73 minutes.
76' Brandon Borrello is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
81' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
86' Mata is ready to make an impact after coming on for Oscar Priestman at the 86 minute mark.
87' Brilliant from the forward! Nicolas Milanovic makes it 3-2 with a superb finish on 87.
88' Nicolas Milanovic was booked on 88.
90' Fresh legs for Western Sydney Wanderers FC! Jarrod Carluccio comes on to replace Brandon Borrello.
It finishes all square. Western Sydney Wanderers FC and Melbourne Victory FC share the spoils 4-2.

Lineups

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Lineups

Starting XI

2
Gabriel Cleur
26
Brandon Borrello ↓ Jarrod Carluccio 90'
20
Lawrence Thomas
19
Jack Clisby ↓ Alex Gersbach 61'
23
Bozhidar Kraev
25
Joshua Brillante
4
Alex Bonetig
18
Oscar Priestman ↓ Mata 86'
22
Anthony Pantazopoulos
7
Zac Sapsford ↓ Marcus Antonsson 61'
21
Aydan Hammond ↓ Nicolas Milanovic 46'

Bench

64
Mata ↑ 86'
9
Marcus Antonsson ↑ 61'
3
Alex Gersbach ↑ 61'
30
Jordan Holmes
13
Dean Pelekanos
17
Jarrod Carluccio ↑ 90'
14
Nicolas Milanovic ↑ 46'

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

5
Brendan Hamill
21
Roderick Miranda
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Zinedine Machach 61'
1
Mitch Langerak
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↓ Nikolaos Vergos 73'
27
Reno Piscopo ↓ Clarismario 61'
6
Ryan Teague
22
Joshua Rawlins
17
Nishan Velupillay
14
Jordi Valadon
28
Kasey Bos ↓ Adama Traore 46'

Bench

Coach Arthur Diles

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bruno Fornaroli	4
Ola Toivonen	4
Marcus Antonsson	3
Nicolas Milanovic	3
Brandon Borrello	2
Aydan Hammond	2
Graham Dorrans	2
Daniel Arzani	2

Head to Head

Western Sydney Wanderers FC Form

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC W 2025-03-02 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Perth Glory FC W 2025-02-22 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W 2025-02-16 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2025-02-08 Sydney FC 3–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2025-01-31 Brisbane Roar FC 0–1 Western Sydney Wanderers FC W

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2025-03-15 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–2 Melbourne Victory FC L 2025-03-08 Melbourne Victory FC 3–0 Central Coast Mariners FC W 2025-03-01 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC D 2025-02-22 Melbourne Victory FC 2–2 Melbourne City FC D 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-08 Newcastle United Jets FC 3–0 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.13 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.84 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western Sydney Wanderers FC50% Draw22% Melbourne Victory FC28%

Actual: Western Sydney Wanderers FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 3.97

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	90%	10%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	36%	64%

Double Chance

Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Draw

71%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

50%

Western Sydney Wanderers FC or Melbourne Victory FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western Sydney Wanderers FC35% Draw38% Melbourne Victory FC27%

Actual: Melbourne Victory FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted

4 – 2

Actual

1 – 1

8.2%

2 – 1

7.7%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 2

6.6%

3 – 1

5.4%

3 – 2

4.9%

2 – 0

4.4%

2 – 3

4.2%

1 – 3

1 – 0

3.6%

0 – 2

3.3%

3 – 3

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Western Sydney Wanderers FC

Handicap	Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	13%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	18%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	16%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	10%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.