Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 29 Mar 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Referee Casey Reibelt

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Western Sydney Wanderers FC H 2–2 D
16 Mar Sydney FC A 1–1 D
08 Mar Western United FC A 1–4 L
28 Feb Melbourne City FC H 0–1 L
22 Feb Auckland FC A 1–6 L
14 Feb Melbourne Victory FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Mar Wellington Phoenix FC A 2–2 D
15 Mar Melbourne Victory FC H 4–2 W
02 Mar Perth Glory FC H 4–1 W
22 Feb Central Coast Mariners FC A 4–0 W
16 Feb Macarthur FC H 2–1 W
08 Feb Sydney FC A 3–3 D

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Western Sydney Wanderers FC
#8 Position #12
33 Points 21
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 15
36 Scored 27
48 Conceded 43
-12 GD -16
1.27 PPG 0.81
35% Win % 19%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
68% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Western Sydney Wanderers FC are 12th (21 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.58 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.75 Western Sydney Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC34% Draw26% Western Sydney Wanderers FC40%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.33
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
66%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Western Sydney Wanderers FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC27% Draw42% Western Sydney Wanderers FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
1 – 2
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
0 – 2
5.5%
0 – 0
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 0
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Western Sydney Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 10% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 17% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 19% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Western Sydney Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.