Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Western United FC

4 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 07:00 UTC Wyndham Regional Football Facility HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 10' Corban Piper

Y 13' Alex Rufer

Dylan Leonard 21' Y

Angus Thurgate 35' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Western United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at Wyndham Regional Football Facility.

Western United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Shane Skinner
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Western United FC 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC 2023-12-02 Western United FC 0–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Western United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	4–1	W
28 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–1	W
23 Feb	Adelaide United FC	H	3–0	W
15 Feb	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
09 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	2–2	D
29 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	2–2	D

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Western United FC	A	1–4	L
28 Feb	Melbourne City FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	Auckland FC	A	1–6	L
14 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	0–1	L
06 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	H	1–1	D
25 Jan	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Corban Piper	3 G
Riley Bidois	2 G
Nathan Walker	1 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Western United FC host Wellington Phoenix FC — let the battle begin!
3' What a strike from Rhys Bozinovski! The score is 1-0.
8' Wellington Phoenix FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' Corban Piper picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
13' A moment of madness from Alex Rufer on 13 minutes earns him a card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
18' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
21' Dylan Leonard catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 21.
26' Both keepers have barely been tested. Western United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
31' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Western United FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
33' What composure from Hiroshi Ibusuki! The Japan international strokes it home. 2-0.
35' Poor challenge from Angus Thurgate. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
40' It’s high time John Aloisi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
50' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
51' Matthew Grimaldi makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and Western United FC are in front.
56' Western United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
57' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Marco Rojas is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith on 57 minute.
62' Matthew Grimaldi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
63' Another substitution for Western United FC to replace Rhys Bozinovski by Jordan Lauton on 63 minute.
67' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Rufer departs to be replaced by Paulo Retre.
72' Another substitution for Western United FC to replace Riku Danzaki by Luke Vickery on 72 minute.
77' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
78' Ramy Najjarine is replacing Matthew Grimaldi for the Western United FC side.
82' Nathan Walker is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
87' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
The points are shared — Western United FC 4-1 Wellington Phoenix FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Western United FC Lineups

Starting XI

33
Matthew Sutton
32
Angus Thurgate
13
Tate Russell
6
Tomoki Imai
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↓ Michael Ruhs 72'
77
Riku Danzaki ↓ Luke Vickery 72'
23
Rhys Bozinovski ↓ Jordan Lauton 63'
19
Noah Botic ↓ Jake Najdovski 78'
10
Matthew Grimaldi ↓ Ramy Najjarine 78'
29
Charbel Shamoon
30
Dylan Leonard

Bench

7
Ramy Najjarine ↑ 78'
4
James Donachie
24
Michael Ruhs ↑ 72'
44
Jordan Lauton ↑ 63'
14
Jake Najdovski ↑ 78'
70
Michael Vonja
37
Luke Vickery ↑ 72'

Coach John Aloisi

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Bozhidar Kraev	3
Oskar Zawada	3
Jaushua Sotirio	3
Ulises Davila	2
Alessandro Diamanti	2
Matthew Grimaldi	2
Besart Berisha	2
Ben Waine	2

Head to Head

Western United FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2025-02-28 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–3 Western United FC W 2025-02-23 Western United FC 3–0 Adelaide United FC W 2025-02-15 Western United FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2025-02-09 Macarthur FC 2–2 Western United FC D 2025-01-29 Western United FC 2–2 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-03-08 Western United FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–1 Melbourne City FC L 2025-02-22 Auckland FC 6–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-14 Melbourne Victory FC 1–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2025-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Brisbane Roar FC D 2025-01-25 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.86 Western United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.15 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Western United FC54% Draw24% Wellington Phoenix FC22%

Actual: Western United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Western United FC or Draw

78%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

46%

Western United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Western United FC38% Draw43% Wellington Phoenix FC19%

Actual: Western United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

8.5%

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 0

6.6%

3 – 1

5.9%

1 – 2

5.8%

2 – 2

5.4%

3 – 0

5.1%

0 – 1

4.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

0 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Western United FC

Handicap	Western United FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	69%
-1.5	31%	—	69%
-1	31%	22%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	13%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Western United FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.