Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 02:30 UTC Sydney Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Kasey Bos

Alex Rufer 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Casey Reibelt

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
10 Nov	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–0	W
02 Nov	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
26 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
20 Oct	Western United FC	H	1–1	D
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L
09 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–0	W
03 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
26 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
18 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–0	D
25 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#8	Position	#4
33	Points	40
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 7 / 8
36	Scored	44
48	Conceded	33
-12	GD	+11
1.27	PPG	1.54
35%	Win %	42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Sydney Football Stadium that hosts another battle between Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Melbourne Victory FC that had 210 games and scored 299 goals.
10' Joshua Oluwayemi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
15' Scott Wootton is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Wellington Phoenix FC tonight.
20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
25' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
30' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 30.
35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
40' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
46' Oskar van Hattum makes way for Corban Piper at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
51' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
56' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Melbourne Victory FC winning 66.67% of all matches.
62' Alex Rufer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 62.
67' The whistle greets Nikolaos Vergos as he departs to be replaced by Jing Reec.
68' Wellington Phoenix FC ring the changes. Kazuki Nagasawa has done his job and it is now time for Stefan Colakovski to step up.
69' The crowd applauds Nathan Walker as he leaves the pitch. Marco Rojas steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
74' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack Duncan, as he is very good at scoring at Sydney Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
75' Reno Piscopo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 75 minute.
80' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
82' Against the run of play, Kosta Barbarouses has scored! This game has turned on its head.
86' Another change for Melbourne Victory FC made on 86 minute. Clarismario leaves to be changed by Bruno Fornaroli.
90' Mohamed Al-Taay is replacing Hideki Ishige for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
The points are shared — Wellington Phoenix FC 1-0 Melbourne Victory FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
8
Paulo Retre
14
Alex Rufer
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 90'
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↓ Stefan Colakovski 68'
24
Oskar van Hattum ↓ Corban Piper 46'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
15
Isaac Hughes
27
Matt Sheridan
41
Nathan Walker ↓ Marco Rojas 69'

Bench

21
Marco Rojas ↑ 69'
11
Stefan Colakovski ↑ 68'
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 90'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
39
Jayden Smith
36
Tze-xuan Loke
3
Corban Piper ↑ 46'

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 86'
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 67'
30
Daniel Graskoski

Coach Patrick Kisnorbo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-11-10 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-11-02 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2024-10-26 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.48 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC35% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC38%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 2.65

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

65%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC22% Draw47% Melbourne Victory FC31%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

9.5%

0 – 0

9.1%

1 – 2

8.7%

0 – 2

7.6%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

5.1%

2 – 0

4.7%

1 – 3

4.3%

0 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	8%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	17%	72%
-0.5	28%	—	72%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	21%	22%
+1.5	78%	—	22%
+2	78%	13%	9%
+2.5	91%	—	9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

24% ✗

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.