Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Melbourne Victory FC

Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 02:30 UTC Sydney Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 30' Kasey Bos

Alex Rufer 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Melbourne Victory FC 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Casey Reibelt

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Wellington Phoenix FC	4	10
2	Sydney FC	4	7
3	Brisbane Roar FC	3	7
4	Melbourne City FC	4	7
5	Perth Glory FC	4	6
6	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	4	5
7	Macarthur FC	4	5
8	Auckland FC	4	5
9	Melbourne Victory FC	4	3
10	Newcastle United Jets FC	4	2
11	Central Coast Mariners FC	4	2
12	Adelaide United FC	3	1

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 25 games · Avg 2.7 goals Melbourne Victory FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-05-12 Melbourne Victory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2024-04-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC 2024-01-19 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Melbourne Victory FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–0	W
10 Nov	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	3–0	W
02 Nov	Auckland FC	H	0–2	L
26 Oct	Perth Glory FC	A	2–0	W
20 Oct	Western United FC	H	1–1	D
18 May	Melbourne Victory FC	H	1–2	L

Melbourne Victory FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Nov	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	0–1	L
09 Nov	Brisbane Roar FC	H	2–0	W
03 Nov	Macarthur FC	H	2–1	W
26 Oct	Melbourne City FC	A	3–1	W
18 Oct	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	0–0	D
25 May	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Melbourne Victory FC
#1	Position	#9
10	Points	3
4	Played	4
3 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 3 / 1
7	Scored	5
1	Conceded	6
+6	GD	-1
2.50	PPG	0.75
75%	Win %	0%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

48% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 1st (10 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/–

46-60

2/–

61-75

–/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Melbourne Victory FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/1

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Corban Piper	3 G
Riley Bidois	2 G
Nathan Walker	1 G	1 A
Rafael Duran	1 G

Melbourne Victory FC

Keegan Jelacic	2 G
Jordi Valadon	2 G
Charles Nduka	1 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Sydney Football Stadium. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC.
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Melbourne Victory FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' Ryan Teague needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
20' A quiet spell here at Sydney Football Stadium. Melbourne Victory FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
25' Portugal international Roderick Miranda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
30' Melbourne Victory FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 30.
35' Reno Piscopo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
40' Wellington Phoenix FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
45' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
46' Another change for Wellington Phoenix FC made on 46 minute. Oskar van Hattum leaves to be changed by Corban Piper.
51' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 51 minutes.
56' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
61' It’s high time Patrick Kisnorbo made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
62' A moment of madness from Alex Rufer on 62 minutes earns him a card. Wellington Phoenix FC will be frustrated.
67' The crowd applauds Nikolaos Vergos as he leaves the pitch. Jing Reec steps in for Melbourne Victory FC.
68' The supporters are chanting for Stefan Colakovski. He replaces Kazuki Nagasawa on 68 minute.
69' Marco Rojas is replacing Nathan Walker for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
74' Melbourne Victory FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
75' Reno Piscopo is replacing Daniel Arzani for the Melbourne Victory FC side.
80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
82' Kosta Barbarouses doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
86' It is a substitution in Melbourne Victory FC team. Clarismario is replaced by Bruno Fornaroli on 86 minute.
90' A change in the Wellington Phoenix FC ranks — Hideki Ishige exits the field as Mohamed Al-Taay enters on 90.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Wellington Phoenix FC players.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
8
Paulo Retre
14
Alex Rufer
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 90'
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↓ Stefan Colakovski 68'
24
Oskar van Hattum ↓ Corban Piper 46'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
15
Isaac Hughes
27
Matt Sheridan
41
Nathan Walker ↓ Marco Rojas 69'

Bench

21
Marco Rojas ↑ 69'
11
Stefan Colakovski ↑ 68'
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 90'
30
Alby Kelly-Heald
39
Jayden Smith
36
Tze-xuan Loke
3
Corban Piper ↑ 46'

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Melbourne Victory FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 86'
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
3
Adama Traore
22
Joshua Rawlins
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
19
Jing Reec ↑ 67'
30
Daniel Graskoski

Coach Patrick Kisnorbo

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ola Toivonen	5
Oskar Zawada	4
Roy Krishna	4
Nicholas D'Agostino	3
Ulises Davila	3
Walter Sandoval	3
Bruno Fornaroli	3
Damien da Silva	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-11-10 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-11-02 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–2 Auckland FC L 2024-10-26 Perth Glory FC 0–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-10-20 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Western United FC D 2024-05-18 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Melbourne Victory FC L

Melbourne Victory FC Form

2024-11-24 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Melbourne Victory FC L 2024-11-09 Melbourne Victory FC 2–0 Brisbane Roar FC W 2024-11-03 Melbourne Victory FC 2–1 Macarthur FC W 2024-10-26 Melbourne City FC 1–3 Melbourne Victory FC W 2024-10-18 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–0 Melbourne Victory FC D 2024-05-25 Central Coast Mariners FC 3–1 Melbourne Victory FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.53 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.54 Melbourne Victory FC xG

I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 66% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC57% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC16%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes34% 0% No66%

Avg goals/match: 2.07

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	61%	39%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

84%

Draw or Melbourne Victory FC

43%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC40% Draw51% Melbourne Victory FC9%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

14.8%

2 – 0

14.2%

1 – 1

11.1%

2 – 1

7.8%

3 – 0

7.1%

0 – 1

5.7%

3 – 1

4.1%

4 – 0

2.8%

1 – 2

2.7%

2 – 2

2.2%

0 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	19%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	28%	40%
-0.5	60%	—	40%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

58% ✓

Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.