Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Casey Reibelt
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Auckland FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Western United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +11 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 35% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Wellington Phoenix FC welcome Melbourne Victory FC for this crunch clash at Sydney Football Stadium.
- 5' Melbourne Victory FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 3 meetings.
- 10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Giancarlo Italiano will be considering his options from the bench.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kasey Bos.
- 35' Joshua Oluwayemi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' Corban Piper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Oskar van Hattum at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Melbourne Victory FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 61' Wellington Phoenix FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Melbourne Victory FC's shape.
- 62' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 67' The whistle greets Nikolaos Vergos as he departs to be replaced by Jing Reec.
- 68' The crowd applauds Kazuki Nagasawa as he leaves the pitch. Stefan Colakovski steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 69' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Marco Rojas comes on to replace Nathan Walker.
- 74' Melbourne Victory FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Reno Piscopo. He replaces Daniel Arzani on 75 minute.
- 80' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 82' GOAL! Kosta Barbarouses fires home to make it 1-0!
- 86' A tactical swap from Melbourne Victory FC — Bruno Fornaroli on, Clarismario off on 86 minutes.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Mohamed Al-Taay. He replaces Hideki Ishige on 90 minute.
- Melbourne Victory FC will have plenty to reflect on. Wellington Phoenix FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 14
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 90'
- 25
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↓ Corban Piper 46'
- 1
- 15
- 27
-
41
Nathan Walker ↓ Marco Rojas 69'
Bench
-
21
Marco Rojas ↑ 69'
-
11
Stefan Colakovski ↑ 68'
-
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 90'
- 30
- 39
- 36
-
3
Corban Piper ↑ 46'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Reno Piscopo 75'
- 6
- 25
- 2
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 86'
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 67'
-
11
Clarismario ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 86'
Bench
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 86'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 67'
- 30
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Damien da Silva | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-11-10
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–3
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-11-02
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–2
Auckland FC
L
2024-10-26
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-10-20
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Western United FC
D
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
65%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

