Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC — A League at Sydney Football Stadium.
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- Melbourne Victory FC 26 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Casey Reibelt
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Nov | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Auckland FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | Perth Glory FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Oct | Western United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 18 May | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Brisbane Roar FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Nov | Macarthur FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Melbourne City FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #4 |
| 33 | Points | 40 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 8 |
| 36 | Scored | 44 |
| 48 | Conceded | 33 |
| -12 | GD | +11 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.54 |
| 35% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Melbourne Victory FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Melbourne Victory FC
| Nikolaos Vergos | 7 G | 1 A |
| Clarismario | 6 G | |
| Mata | 5 G | 12 A |
| Keegan Jelacic | 5 G | 2 A |
| Charles Nduka | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Wellington Phoenix FC host Melbourne Victory FC — let the battle begin!
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Melbourne Victory FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosta Barbarouses is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Melbourne Victory FC's compact .
- 20' The 23-year-old Jing Reec has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Zinedine Machach suffering a number of foals already.
- 30' The referee shows Melbourne Victory FC player a card on 30.
- 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 40' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 40 minutes.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alex Rufer, as he is very good at scoring at Sydney Football Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Oskar van Hattum by Corban Piper on 46 minute.
- 51' Kasey Bos has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 56' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 61' Wellington Phoenix FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 62' That is a card for Wellington Phoenix FC. Alex Rufer will be fuming at that decision.
- 67' Melbourne Victory FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jing Reec is hanging Nikolaos Vergos on the field on 67 minute.
- 68' Stefan Colakovski has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kazuki Nagasawa on 68 minute.
- 69' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Nathan Walker by Marco Rojas on 69 minute.
- 74' Wellington Phoenix FC have won 296 goals from 209 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 75' Reno Piscopo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Arzani at the 75 minute mark.
- 80' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Melbourne Victory FC backline.
- 82' Kosta Barbarouses doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 86' Bruno Fornaroli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Clarismario at the 86 minute mark.
- 90' The Wellington Phoenix FC manager makes a substitution. Hideki Ishige departs to be replaced by Mohamed Al-Taay.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Melbourne Victory FC.
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 14
-
9
Hideki Ishige ↓ Mohamed Al-Taay 90'
- 25
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↓ Corban Piper 46'
- 1
- 15
- 27
-
41
Nathan Walker ↓ Marco Rojas 69'
Bench
-
21
Marco Rojas ↑ 69'
-
11
Stefan Colakovski ↑ 68'
-
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↑ 90'
- 30
- 39
- 36
-
3
Corban Piper ↑ 46'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
Melbourne Victory FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 5
- 21
-
7
Daniel Arzani ↓ Reno Piscopo 75'
- 6
- 25
- 2
-
14
Jordi Valadon ↓ Fabian Monge 86'
- 28
-
9
Nikolaos Vergos ↓ Jing Reec 67'
-
11
Clarismario ↓ Bruno Fornaroli 86'
Bench
-
10
Bruno Fornaroli ↑ 86'
-
27
Reno Piscopo ↑ 75'
- 3
- 22
-
18
Fabian Monge ↑ 86'
-
19
Jing Reec ↑ 67'
- 30
Coach
Patrick Kisnorbo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ola Toivonen | 5 |
| Oskar Zawada | 4 |
| Roy Krishna | 4 |
| Bruno Fornaroli | 3 |
| Nicholas D'Agostino | 3 |
| Ulises Davila | 3 |
| Walter Sandoval | 3 |
| David Ball | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-11-10
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–3
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-11-02
Wellington Phoenix FC
0–2
Auckland FC
L
2024-10-26
Perth Glory FC
0–2
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-10-20
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–1
Western United FC
D
2024-05-18
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Melbourne Victory FC Form
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
L
2024-11-09
Melbourne Victory FC
2–0
Brisbane Roar FC
W
2024-11-03
Melbourne Victory FC
2–1
Macarthur FC
W
2024-10-26
Melbourne City FC
1–3
Melbourne Victory FC
W
2024-10-18
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–0
Melbourne Victory FC
D
2024-05-25
Central Coast Mariners FC
3–1
Melbourne Victory FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for:
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Wellington Phoenix FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
65%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Melbourne Victory FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 21% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

