Sunday , 16 August 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sun 24 Nov 2024 · 02:30 UTC Sydney Football Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 30' Kasey Bos
Alex Rufer 62' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Melbourne Victory FCA League at Sydney Football Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Casey Reibelt
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Melbourne Victory FC
#8 Position #4
33 Points 40
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 7 / 8
36 Scored 44
48 Conceded 33
-12 GD +11
1.27 PPG 1.54
35% Win % 42%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
23% Clean Sheets
Melbourne Victory FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Melbourne Victory FC are 4th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Melbourne Victory FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Melbourne Victory FC
Nikolaos Vergos 7 G 1 A
Clarismario 6 G
Mata 5 G 12 A
Keegan Jelacic 5 G 2 A
Charles Nduka 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Melbourne Victory FC xG
I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wellington Phoenix FC35% Draw27% Melbourne Victory FC38%
Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Melbourne Victory FC
65%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Melbourne Victory FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC22% Draw47% Melbourne Victory FC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Melbourne Victory FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Melbourne Victory FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.