Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kazuki Nagasawa 90' Y

Y 90' Bart Vriends

Y 90' Luka Jovanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Alex King

7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-01-04 Adelaide United FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L
03 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L
28 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–1	W
22 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–4	L
14 Dec	Macarthur FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Auckland FC	A	1–2	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
27 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–3	L
20 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–3	D
13 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W
07 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Adelaide United FC
#8	Position	#2
33	Points	43
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
36	Scored	46
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.65
35%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Wellington Phoenix FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
7' A goal from the New Zealand international Matt Sheridan! He fires home on 7 to make it 1-0!
12' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
17' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lukas Kelly-Heald is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
22' Wellington Phoenix FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
27' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
32' Adelaide United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Adelaide United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
46' Fresh legs for Wellington Phoenix FC! Nathan Walker comes on to replace Sam Sutton.
50' Goal! Corban Piper scores his 3 goal in 209 matches.
55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Adelaide United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
60' Ben Folami is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Adelaide United FC tonight.
62' The supporters are chanting for Kazuki Nagasawa. He replaces Mohamed Al-Taay on 62 minute.
66' Yaya Dukuly has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ben Folami on 66 minute.
71' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
75' What a strike from Luka Jovanovic! The score is 2-1.
80' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yaya Dukuly made 208 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
81' It is a substitution in Wellington Phoenix FC team. Corban Piper is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith on 81 minute.
82' The supporters are chanting for Ryan White. He replaces Stefan Mauk on 82 minute.
87' Adelaide United FC is showing some good football. However, Adelaide United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
90' Poor challenge from Kazuki Nagasawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' Another substitution for Adelaide United FC to replace Zach Clough by Johnny Yull on 90 minute.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
8
Paulo Retre
9
Hideki Ishige
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Nathan Walker 46'
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 62'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
15
Isaac Hughes
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald
27
Matt Sheridan
3
Corban Piper ↓ Luke Brooke-Smith 81'

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 66'
40
Ethan Cox
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 82'
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 66'
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 90'
44
Ryan White ↑ 82'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Luka Jovanovic	3
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Ben Old	2
Johan Absalonsen	2
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos	2
Stefan Mauk	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2024-12-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2024-12-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2024-12-14 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Macarthur FC L 2024-12-07 Auckland FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2025-01-06 Macarthur FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-12-20 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Sydney FC D 2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-07 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.37 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC24% Draw23% Adelaide United FC53%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

48%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

76%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC19% Draw39% Adelaide United FC42%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

5.6%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 0

1 – 4

3.8%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	21%	35%
+1.5	65%	—	35%
+2	65%	17%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.