Sunday , 16 August 2026

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FCA League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Kearney Robinson
  • Referee Alex King
7 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC Adelaide United FC
#8 Position #2
33 Points 43
26 Played 26
9 / 6 / 11 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 7
36 Scored 46
48 Conceded 36
-12 GD +10
1.27 PPG 1.65
35% Win % 46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A
Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Wellington Phoenix FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 7' A stunning finish from Matt Sheridan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 12' Corban Piper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 209 appearances.
  • 17' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 46' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Sam Sutton is withdrawn and Nathan Walker gets his opportunity.
  • 50' Brilliant from the ! Corban Piper makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 50.
  • 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 60' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Panagiotis Kikianis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 62' Mohamed Al-Taay makes way for Kazuki Nagasawa at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 66' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 66 minute. Ben Folami leaves to be changed by Yaya Dukuly.
  • 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
  • 75' Luka Jovanovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 81' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Corban Piper is withdrawn and Luke Brooke-Smith gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Ryan White is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefan Mauk at the 82 minute mark.
  • 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Kazuki Nagasawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The whistle greets Zach Clough as he departs to be replaced by Johnny Yull.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Adelaide United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC24% Draw23% Adelaide United FC53%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
76%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wellington Phoenix FC19% Draw39% Adelaide United FC42%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap Wellington Phoenix FC covers Push Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 12% 78%
-0.5 22% 78%
+0.5 44% 56%
+1 44% 21% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.