Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
- Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Kearney Robinson
- Referee Alex King
7 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 6.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Adelaide United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Dec | Macarthur FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Auckland FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Jan | Macarthur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Dec | Sydney FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 13 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Wellington Phoenix FC | Adelaide United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #2 |
| 33 | Points | 43 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 9 / 6 / 11 | W / D / L | 12 / 7 / 7 |
| 36 | Scored | 46 |
| 48 | Conceded | 36 |
| -12 | GD | +10 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 35% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
82%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
Adelaide United FC this season
Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Adelaide United FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Wellington Phoenix FC
| Ifeanyi Eze | 10 G | 1 A |
| Carlo Armiento | 5 G | 2 A |
| Corban Piper | 4 G | 4 A |
Adelaide United FC
| Luka Jovanovic | 11 G | 3 A |
| Johnny Yull | 4 G | 5 A |
| Ethan Alagich | 4 G | 4 A |
| Ryan Kitto | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Wellington Phoenix FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The travelling Adelaide United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 7' A stunning finish from Matt Sheridan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 12' Corban Piper has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 209 appearances.
- 17' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 22' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Adelaide United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 27' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 32.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 46' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Sam Sutton is withdrawn and Nathan Walker gets his opportunity.
- 50' Brilliant from the ! Corban Piper makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 50.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 60' It looks surprising Adelaide United FC does not make any changes. Panagiotis Kikianis has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 62' Mohamed Al-Taay makes way for Kazuki Nagasawa at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 66' Another change for Adelaide United FC made on 66 minute. Ben Folami leaves to be changed by Yaya Dukuly.
- 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Wellington Phoenix FC in their trying to find a way past Adelaide United FC's compact .
- 75' Luka Jovanovic has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
- 80' Adelaide United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 81' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Corban Piper is withdrawn and Luke Brooke-Smith gets his opportunity.
- 82' Ryan White is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefan Mauk at the 82 minute mark.
- 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 90' Poor challenge from Kazuki Nagasawa. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The whistle greets Zach Clough as he departs to be replaced by Johnny Yull.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Adelaide United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 9
-
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Nathan Walker 46'
- 12
- 1
- 15
- 18
- 27
- 3
Bench
-
25
Kazuki Nagasawa ↑ 62'
- 30
- 23
- 39
- 17
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↑ 81'
-
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 46'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
Adelaide United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
17
Ben Folami ↓ Yaya Dukuly 66'
-
10
Zach Clough ↓ Johnny Yull 90'
- 21
-
6
Stefan Mauk ↓ Ryan White 82'
- 20
- 1
-
14
Jay Barnett ↓ Isaias Sanchez 82'
- 3
-
26
Archie Goodwin ↓ Luka Jovanovic 66'
- 55
- 51
Bench
-
19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 66'
- 40
-
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 82'
-
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 66'
-
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 90'
-
44
Ryan White ↑ 82'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Craig Goodwin | 5 |
| Hiroshi Ibusuki | 4 |
| Luka Jovanovic | 3 |
| Kosta Barbarouses | 3 |
| Ben Old | 2 |
| Johan Absalonsen | 2 |
| Apostolos Stamatelopoulos | 2 |
| Stefan Mauk | 2 |
Head to Head
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
L
2025-01-03
Melbourne City FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-12-28
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2024-12-22
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
4–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-12-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Macarthur FC
L
2024-12-07
Auckland FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
Adelaide United FC Form
2025-01-11
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2025-01-06
Macarthur FC
1–2
Adelaide United FC
W
2024-12-27
Adelaide United FC
2–3
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
2024-12-20
Adelaide United FC
3–3
Sydney FC
D
2024-12-13
Central Coast Mariners FC
0–4
Adelaide United FC
W
2024-12-07
Newcastle United Jets FC
0–1
Adelaide United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.37
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24
Adelaide United FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.61
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Adelaide United FC
76%
Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Adelaide United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
6.9%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
0 – 3
5%
2 – 3
4.6%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC
| Handicap | Wellington Phoenix FC covers | Push | Adelaide United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 6% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 12% | 78% |
| -0.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 21% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 17% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

