Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

A League · 2024-25

Wellington Phoenix FC

1 – 2

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Kazuki Nagasawa 90' Y

Y 90' Bart Vriends

Y 90' Luka Jovanovic

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kearney Robinson
Referee Alex King

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-01-04 Adelaide United FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Adelaide United FC	H	1–2	L
03 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–2	L
28 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–1	W
22 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	A	1–4	L
14 Dec	Macarthur FC	H	1–2	L
07 Dec	Auckland FC	A	1–2	L

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–1	W
06 Jan	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
27 Dec	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	2–3	L
20 Dec	Sydney FC	H	3–3	D
13 Dec	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	4–0	W
07 Dec	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Adelaide United FC
#8	Position	#2
33	Points	43
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
36	Scored	46
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.65
35%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at Wellington Regional Stadium as Wellington Phoenix FC face off against Adelaide United FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
7' Matt Sheridan adds to his 0 season tally! Wellington Phoenix FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
12' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
17' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Johnny Yull suffering a number of foals already.
22' Wellington Phoenix FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 3 times this season with Wellington Phoenix FC winning 33.33% of all matches.
32' Both keepers have barely been tested. Wellington Phoenix FC and Adelaide United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' Wellington Phoenix FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
42' Wellington Phoenix FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Adelaide United FC backline.
46' Sam Sutton makes way for Nathan Walker at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Wellington Phoenix FC.
50' Corban Piper does the damage! The net is bulging and Wellington Phoenix FC surge ahead!
55' Ethan Alagich has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 233 appearances.
60' Australia international Ryan White has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
62' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Mohamed Al-Taay by Kazuki Nagasawa on 62 minute.
66' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Yaya Dukuly on, Ben Folami off on 66 minutes.
71' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
75' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luka Jovanovic makes no mistake. 2-1!
80' Adelaide United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
81' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Corban Piper is replaced by Luke Brooke-Smith.
82' Ryan White is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stefan Mauk at the 82 minute mark.
87' Panagiotis Kikianis, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
90' Kazuki Nagasawa is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
90' Johnny Yull gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Zach Clough and will look to change the dynamic.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Adelaide United FC take all three points.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses
8
Paulo Retre
9
Hideki Ishige
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Nathan Walker 46'
12
Mohamed Al-Taay ↓ Kazuki Nagasawa 62'
1
Joshua Oluwayemi
15
Isaac Hughes
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald
27
Matt Sheridan
3
Corban Piper ↓ Luke Brooke-Smith 81'

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

19
Yaya Dukuly ↑ 66'
40
Ethan Cox
8
Isaias Sanchez ↑ 82'
9
Luka Jovanovic ↑ 66'
12
Johnny Yull ↑ 90'
44
Ryan White ↑ 82'

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Luka Jovanovic	3
Ken Ilso	2
Ben Old	2
Johan Absalonsen	2
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC L 2025-01-03 Melbourne City FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2024-12-28 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2024-12-22 Western Sydney Wanderers FC 4–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2024-12-14 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Macarthur FC L 2024-12-07 Auckland FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Adelaide United FC Form

2025-01-11 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2025-01-06 Macarthur FC 1–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-27 Adelaide United FC 2–3 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-12-20 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Sydney FC D 2024-12-13 Central Coast Mariners FC 0–4 Adelaide United FC W 2024-12-07 Newcastle United Jets FC 0–1 Adelaide United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.37 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.24 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC24% Draw23% Adelaide United FC53%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.61

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

48%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

76%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC19% Draw39% Adelaide United FC42%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

5.6%

2 – 1

5.5%

0 – 3

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 0

1 – 4

3.8%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	12%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	44%	—	56%
+1	44%	21%	35%
+1.5	65%	—	35%
+2	65%	17%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.