Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League at AAMI Park.
- Melbourne City FC 26 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Shaun Evans
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United Jets FC | 26 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide United FC | 26 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory FC | 26 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City FC | 26 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix FC | 26 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast Mariners FC | 26 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory FC | 26 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar FC | 26 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan | Wellington Phoenix FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Dec | Central Coast Mariners FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Dec | Melbourne Victory FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Dec | Auckland FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Dec | Brisbane Roar FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan | Melbourne City FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Newcastle United Jets FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Dec | Western Sydney Wanderers FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 14 Dec | Macarthur FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Dec | Auckland FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Nov | Melbourne Victory FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Melbourne City FC | Wellington Phoenix FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #8 |
| 38 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 10 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 33 | Scored | 36 |
| 33 | Conceded | 48 |
| +0 | GD | -12 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 38% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
56%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds AAMI Park will turn into a battlefield for Melbourne City FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 7' Harry Politidis has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
- 12' It looks surprising Melbourne City FC does not make any changes. Nathan Walker has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 19' Zane Schreiber has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andreas Kuen on 19 minute.
- 24' Oskar van Hattum has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Melbourne City FC and Wellington Phoenix FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Giancarlo Italiano might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 39' Melbourne City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' Lukas Kelly-Heald needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 46' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace Kazuki Nagasawa by Oskar van Hattum on 46 minute.
- 51' Melbourne City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Wellington Phoenix FC that had 209 games and scored 296 goals.
- 61' Melbourne City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
- 64' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Luke Brooke-Smith trudges off to be replaced by Luke Supyk on 64 minutes.
- 65' Melbourne City FC ring the changes. Arion Sulemani has done his job and it is now time for Medin Memeti to step up.
- 70' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 75' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 80' Kai Trewin has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 81' A tactical swap from Melbourne City FC — German Ferreyra on, Zane Schreiber off on 81 minutes.
- 82' Wellington Phoenix FC make a change. Matt Sheridan trudges off to be replaced by Nathan Walker on 82 minutes.
- 83' Nathaniel Atkinson adds to his 0 season tally! Melbourne City FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 88' The travelling Wellington Phoenix FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 89' Corban Piper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tim Payne at the 89 minute mark.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Melbourne City FC players.
Lineups
Melbourne City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 6
- 13
- 27
-
30
Andreas Kuen ↓ Zane Schreiber 19'
- 2
- 33
- 38
- 26
-
20
Arion Sulemani ↓ Medin Memeti 65'
- 46
Bench
- 40
-
19
Zane Schreiber ↑ 19'
-
35
Medin Memeti ↑ 65'
- 22
- 41
-
47
Kavian Rahmani ↑ 65'
-
50
Michael Ghossaini ↑ 81'
Coach
Aurelio Vidmar
Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 7
- 8
- 9
- 25
-
6
Tim Payne ↓ Corban Piper 89'
-
19
Sam Sutton ↓ Lukas Kelly-Heald 81'
- 1
- 15
-
27
Matt Sheridan ↓ Nathan Walker 82'
-
29
Luke Brooke-Smith ↓ Luke Supyk 64'
Bench
-
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 46'
- 12
- 30
-
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald ↑ 81'
-
23
Luke Supyk ↑ 64'
-
3
Corban Piper ↑ 89'
-
41
Nathan Walker ↑ 82'
Coach
Giancarlo Italiano
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamie MacLaren | 10 |
| Marco Tilio | 7 |
| Tomer Hemed | 3 |
| Roy Krishna | 3 |
| Ben Waine | 3 |
| Riley McGree | 2 |
| Curtis Good | 2 |
| Mathew Leckie | 2 |
Head to Head
Melbourne City FC Form
2025-01-03
Melbourne City FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
W
2024-12-31
Central Coast Mariners FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2024-12-21
Melbourne Victory FC
1–1
Melbourne City FC
D
2024-12-15
Melbourne City FC
2–2
Auckland FC
D
2024-12-06
Brisbane Roar FC
1–4
Melbourne City FC
W
2024-11-30
Melbourne City FC
0–2
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
L
Wellington Phoenix FC Form
2025-01-03
Melbourne City FC
2–0
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-12-28
Wellington Phoenix FC
2–1
Newcastle United Jets FC
W
2024-12-22
Western Sydney Wanderers FC
4–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-12-14
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–2
Macarthur FC
L
2024-12-07
Auckland FC
2–1
Wellington Phoenix FC
L
2024-11-24
Wellington Phoenix FC
1–0
Melbourne Victory FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.01
Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for:
Melbourne City FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Melbourne City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
39%
Melbourne City FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Melbourne City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC
| Handicap | Melbourne City FC covers | Push | Wellington Phoenix FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.