Thursday , 2 July 2026

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2024-25
Fri 3 Jan 2025 · 06:00 UTC AAMI Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Kai Trewin 61' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Melbourne City FC vs Wellington Phoenix FCA League at AAMI Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Shaun Evans
  • Referee
18 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

Season Stats

Melbourne City FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#6 Position #8
38 Points 33
26 Played 26
10 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
33 Scored 36
33 Conceded 48
+0 GD -12
1.46 PPG 1.27
38% Win % 35%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Melbourne City FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Melbourne City FC are 6th (38 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Melbourne City FC
0-15
/
16-30
4/
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Melbourne City FC
Max Caputo 8 G 1 A
Marcus Younis 7 G 3 A
Medin Memeti 5 G 1 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Melbourne City FC is hosting Wellington Phoenix FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 7' Goal! Harry Politidis scores his 2 goal in 208 matches.
  • 12' Wellington Phoenix FC is showing some good football. However, Wellington Phoenix FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 19' Melbourne City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Zane Schreiber is hanging Andreas Kuen on the field on 19 minute.
  • 24' Japan international Kazuki Nagasawa has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 29' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 34' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Isaac Hughes suffering a number of foals already.
  • 39' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. Melbourne City FC in their trying to find a way past Wellington Phoenix FC's compact .
  • 46' The whistle greets Kazuki Nagasawa as he departs to be replaced by Oskar van Hattum.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Melbourne City FC winning 50% of all matches.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Melbourne City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kai Trewin.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC. Luke Brooke-Smith is replaced by Luke Supyk.
  • 65' Medin Memeti is ready to make an impact after coming on for Arion Sulemani at the 65 minute mark.
  • 70' It looks surprising Melbourne City FC does not make any changes. Arion Sulemani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' Melbourne City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Wellington Phoenix FC's shape.
  • 80' Nathan Walker has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 81' The Melbourne City FC manager makes a substitution. Zane Schreiber departs to be replaced by German Ferreyra.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Matt Sheridan as he leaves the pitch. Nathan Walker steps in for Wellington Phoenix FC.
  • 83' What a strike from Nathaniel Atkinson! The score is 2-0.
  • 88' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 89' Corban Piper gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Tim Payne and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 2-0 the final result. Wellington Phoenix FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.01 Melbourne City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Melbourne City FC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC61% Draw22% Wellington Phoenix FC17%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Melbourne City FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
39%
Melbourne City FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Melbourne City FC43% Draw42% Wellington Phoenix FC15%
Actual: Melbourne City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.1%
4 – 0
3.4%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Melbourne City FC

Handicap Melbourne City FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Melbourne City FC keeps clean sheet
39%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.