Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2022-23

Adelaide United FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Wellington Phoenix FC

Fri 17 Mar 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 23' Lucas Mauragis

Y 33' Callan Elliot

Lachlan Barr 81' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC — A League .

Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2026/27)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Adelaide United FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Wellington Phoenix FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-12-17 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–1 Adelaide United FC 2022-10-09 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2022-02-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC 2021-05-07 Adelaide United FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC

Recent Form

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	H	5–1	W
11 Mar	Newcastle United Jets FC	A	4–2	W
03 Mar	Melbourne City FC	H	4–2	W
26 Feb	Melbourne Victory FC	A	1–1	D
19 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	4–4	D
11 Feb	Western United FC	A	3–2	W

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Mar	Adelaide United FC	A	1–5	L
12 Mar	Sydney FC	H	1–0	W
04 Mar	Newcastle United Jets FC	H	2–1	W
24 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	A	1–1	D
17 Feb	Western United FC	A	3–0	W
12 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC		Wellington Phoenix FC
#2	Position	#8
43	Points	33
26	Played	26
12 / 7 / 7	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 11
46	Scored	36
36	Conceded	48
+10	GD	-12
1.65	PPG	1.27
46%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Javi Lopez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
10' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ufuk Talay will be considering his options from the bench.
15' A quiet spell here at . Wellington Phoenix FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
16' Adelaide United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Scott Wootton on 16.
21' It looks surprising Wellington Phoenix FC does not make any changes. Kosta Barbarouses has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
23' The referee calls foul for Lucas Mauragis. He receives a Yellow card.
23' The Australia Luka Jovanovic breaks the deadlock on 23 minutes. 2-0!
28' Adelaide United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
33' Wellington Phoenix FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
38' Steven Peter Ugarkovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 26 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' Jay Barnett has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
48' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
51' A stunning finish from Lachlan Barr — that came from absolutely nowhere!
54' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alex Rufer makes it 3-1.
59' Spain international Isaias has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
60' Hiroshi Ibusuki gets the nod from Adelaide United FC. He replaces Luka Jovanovic and will look to change the dynamic.
62' A goal from the Japan international Hiroshi Ibusuki! He fires home on 62 to make it 4-1!
63' Sam Sutton is replacing Lucas Mauragis for the Wellington Phoenix FC side.
67' A tactical swap from Wellington Phoenix FC — Oskar van Hattum on, Alex Rufer off on 67 minutes.
68' A tactical swap from Adelaide United FC — Nestor Irankunda on, Zach Clough off on 68 minutes.
71' Craig Goodwin does the damage! The net is bulging and Adelaide United FC surge ahead!
76' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
81' A moment of madness from Lachlan Barr on 81 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Adelaide United FC will be frustrated.
86' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
87' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Bozhidar Kraev is withdrawn and Benjamin Old gets his opportunity.
5-1 the final result. Wellington Phoenix FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

1
James Delianov
9
Hiroshi Ibusuki ↑ 60'
37
Jonny Yull ↑ 87'
66
Nestor Irankunda ↑ 68'
41
Alexandar Popovic ↑ 60'
55
Ethan Alagich ↑ 68'
36
Panashe Madanha

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball
4
Scott Wootton
7
Kosta Barbarouses ↓ Clayton Lewis 63'
20
Oliver Sail
14
Alex Rufer ↓ Oskar van Hattum 67'
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Benjamin Old 87'
31
Yan Sasse
17
Callan Elliot
6
Tim Payne
12
Lucas Mauragis ↓ Sam Sutton 63'
5
Steven Peter Ugarkovic ↓ Nicholas Pennington 87'

Bench

23
Clayton Lewis ↑ 63'
19
Sam Sutton ↑ 63'
24
Oskar van Hattum ↑ 67'
21
Joshua Laws
8
Benjamin Old ↑ 87'
13
Nicholas Pennington ↑ 87'
40
Alex Paulsen

Coach Ufuk Talay

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Luka Jovanovic	3
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Ben Waine	2
Ken Ilso	2
Ben Old	2
Johan Absalonsen	2

Head to Head

Adelaide United FC Form

2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-03-11 Newcastle United Jets FC 2–4 Adelaide United FC W 2023-03-03 Adelaide United FC 4–2 Melbourne City FC W 2023-02-26 Melbourne Victory FC 1–1 Adelaide United FC D 2023-02-19 Adelaide United FC 4–4 Western Sydney Wanderers FC D 2023-02-11 Western United FC 2–3 Adelaide United FC W

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L 2023-03-12 Wellington Phoenix FC 1–0 Sydney FC W 2023-03-04 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–1 Newcastle United Jets FC W 2023-02-24 Central Coast Mariners FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2023-02-17 Western United FC 0–3 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2023-02-12 Macarthur FC 2–1 Wellington Phoenix FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.74 Adelaide United FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.44 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC61% Draw20% Wellington Phoenix FC19%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 4.18

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	92%	8%
± 2.5	77%	23%
± 3.5	59%	41%
± 4.5	40%	60%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw

81%

Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC

39%

Adelaide United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC

80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Adelaide United FC48% Draw35% Wellington Phoenix FC17%

Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

8.1%

3 – 1

7.3%

1 – 1

6.8%

2 – 0

5.9%

2 – 2

5.7%

3 – 0

5.2%

3 – 2

5.2%

4 – 1

1 – 2

4.3%

1 – 0

4 – 2

3.6%

4 – 0

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap	Adelaide United FC covers	Push	Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5	26%	—	74%
-2	26%	18%	56%
-1.5	44%	—	56%
-1	44%	20%	36%
-0.5	64%	—	36%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	10%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.