Thursday , 2 July 2026

Adelaide United FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC, A League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

A League · 2022-23
Fri 17 Mar 2023 · 08:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

Adelaide United FC Wellington Phoenix FC
#2 Position #8
43 Points 33
26 Played 26
12 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 11
46 Scored 36
36 Conceded 48
+10 GD -12
1.65 PPG 1.27
46% Win % 35%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts). Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
/2
61-75
4/
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wellington Phoenix FC
0-15
/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Adelaide United FC
Luka Jovanovic 11 G 3 A
Johnny Yull 4 G 5 A
Ethan Alagich 4 G 4 A
Ryan Kitto 3 G 1 A
Wellington Phoenix FC
Ifeanyi Eze 10 G 1 A
Carlo Armiento 5 G 2 A
Corban Piper 4 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.74 Adelaide United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Wellington Phoenix FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC61% Draw20% Wellington Phoenix FC19%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 4.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

Adelaide United FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Wellington Phoenix FC
39%
Adelaide United FC or Wellington Phoenix FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Adelaide United FC48% Draw35% Wellington Phoenix FC17%
Actual: Adelaide United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
5%
1 – 2
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Adelaide United FC

Handicap Adelaide United FC covers Push Wellington Phoenix FC covers
-2.5 26% 74%
-2 26% 18% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 20% 36%
-0.5 64% 36%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 10% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.