Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC, A League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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A League · 2023-24

Wellington Phoenix FC

3 – 2

Full Time

Adelaide United FC

Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 04:00 UTC Wellington Regional Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 54' Isaias Sanchez

Y 76' Benjamin Warland

Y 90' Nestor Irankunda

Overview

Match Preview

Wellington Phoenix FC vs Adelaide United FC — A League at Wellington Regional Stadium.

Wellington Phoenix FC 26 games · 33 pts (2025/26)
Adelaide United FC 26 games · 43 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Jack Morgan
Referee Joanna Charaktis (Australia)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Newcastle United Jets FC	26	48
2	Adelaide United FC	26	43
3	Auckland FC	26	42
4	Melbourne Victory FC	26	40
5	Sydney FC	26	39
6	Melbourne City FC	26	38
7	Macarthur FC	26	34
8	Wellington Phoenix FC	26	33
9	Central Coast Mariners FC	26	32
10	Perth Glory FC	26	31
11	Brisbane Roar FC	26	26
12	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	26	21

Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix FC 22 games · Avg 3.0 goals Adelaide United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC 2024-01-04 Adelaide United FC 2–2 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-05-05 Adelaide United FC 2–0 Wellington Phoenix FC 2023-03-17 Adelaide United FC 5–1 Wellington Phoenix FC 2022-12-17 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–1 Adelaide United FC

Recent Form

Wellington Phoenix FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Adelaide United FC	H	3–2	W
24 Feb	Perth Glory FC	A	0–0	D
18 Feb	Macarthur FC	A	2–1	W
10 Feb	Western United FC	H	2–0	W
06 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–0	D
02 Feb	Brisbane Roar FC	A	1–1	D

Adelaide United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
03 Mar	Wellington Phoenix FC	A	2–3	L
24 Feb	Western Sydney Wanderers FC	H	1–2	L
17 Feb	Sydney FC	A	1–2	L
09 Feb	Perth Glory FC	H	3–3	D
03 Feb	Central Coast Mariners FC	H	0–4	L
25 Jan	Melbourne City FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Wellington Phoenix FC		Adelaide United FC
#8	Position	#2
33	Points	43
26	Played	26
9 / 6 / 11	W / D / L	12 / 7 / 7
36	Scored	46
48	Conceded	36
-12	GD	+10
1.27	PPG	1.65
35%	Win %	46%

Key Stats

82% Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

15% Clean Sheets
Wellington Phoenix FC this season

11% Clean Sheets
Adelaide United FC this season

Wellington Phoenix FC are 8th (33 pts). Adelaide United FC are 2nd (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/–

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Adelaide United FC

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/2

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/2

61-75

4/–

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Wellington Phoenix FC

Ifeanyi Eze	10 G	1 A
Carlo Armiento	5 G	2 A
Corban Piper	4 G	4 A

Adelaide United FC

Luka Jovanovic	11 G	3 A
Johnny Yull	4 G	5 A
Ethan Alagich	4 G	4 A
Ryan Kitto	3 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Wellington Phoenix FC have kicked off against Adelaide United FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
15' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Wellington Phoenix FC and Adelaide United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
20' It looks like no one’s ball. Wellington Phoenix FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
34' Goal! Ben Old scores his 5 goal in 209 matches.
39' A quiet spell here at Wellington Regional Stadium. Wellington Phoenix FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
44' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nestor Irankunda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Adelaide United FC.
49' Adelaide United FC have won 368 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
54' Isaias Sanchez picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
59' Wellington Phoenix FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 59.
60' What an equalizer from Luka Jovanovic!
61' Adelaide United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hiroshi Ibusuki is hanging Lukas Kelly-Heald on the field on 61 minute.
66' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
68' The Wellington Phoenix FC bench stirs into life. Youstin Salas is withdrawn and Sam Sutton gets his opportunity.
69' Brilliant from the ! Oskar van Hattum makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 69.
69' Oskar van Hattum gets the nod from Wellington Phoenix FC. He replaces Bozhidar Kraev and will look to change the dynamic.
70' The supporters are chanting for Nestor Irankunda. He replaces Ethan Alagich on 70 minute.
71' Another substitution for Wellington Phoenix FC to replace David Ball by Fin Conchie on 71 minute.
76' The referee has no hesitation. Benjamin Warland is booked for Adelaide United FC — card on 76.
78' A goal from the New Zealand international Ben Old! He fires home on 78 to make it 3-1!
83' Panagiotis Kikianis, a Australia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
88' Alex Rufer needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
90' The referee calls foul for Nestor Irankunda. He receives a card.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Adelaide United FC.

Lineups

Wellington Phoenix FC Lineups

Starting XI

10
David Ball ↓ Fin Conchie 71'
4
Scott Wootton
14
Alex Rufer
11
Bozhidar Kraev ↓ Oskar van Hattum 69'
6
Tim Payne
12
Mohamed Al-Taay
40
Alex Paulsen
3
Finn Surman
8
Ben Old
17
Youstin Salas ↓ Sam Sutton 68'
18
Lukas Kelly-Heald

Bench

Coach Giancarlo Italiano

Adelaide United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Craig Goodwin	5
Hiroshi Ibusuki	4
Luka Jovanovic	3
Kosta Barbarouses	3
Johan Absalonsen	2
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos	2
Stefan Mauk	2
David Ball	2

Head to Head

Wellington Phoenix FC Form

2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC W 2024-02-24 Perth Glory FC 0–0 Wellington Phoenix FC D 2024-02-18 Macarthur FC 1–2 Wellington Phoenix FC W 2024-02-10 Wellington Phoenix FC 2–0 Western United FC W 2024-02-06 Wellington Phoenix FC 0–0 Central Coast Mariners FC D 2024-02-02 Brisbane Roar FC 1–1 Wellington Phoenix FC D

Adelaide United FC Form

2024-03-03 Wellington Phoenix FC 3–2 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-24 Adelaide United FC 1–2 Western Sydney Wanderers FC L 2024-02-17 Sydney FC 2–1 Adelaide United FC L 2024-02-09 Adelaide United FC 3–3 Perth Glory FC D 2024-02-03 Adelaide United FC 0–4 Central Coast Mariners FC L 2024-01-25 Melbourne City FC 1–0 Adelaide United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.8 Wellington Phoenix FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.92 Adelaide United FC xG

I would bet for: Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC 78% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Wellington Phoenix FC44% Draw22% Adelaide United FC34%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes71% 0% No29%

Avg goals/match: 3.72

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Wellington Phoenix FC or Draw

67%

Draw or Adelaide United FC

56%

Wellington Phoenix FC or Adelaide United FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Wellington Phoenix FC29% Draw39% Adelaide United FC32%

Actual: Wellington Phoenix FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

7.8%

2 – 1

7.3%

2 – 2

6.9%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 2

4.5%

2 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

4.4%

3 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

4.1%

2 – 0

1 – 0

3.8%

Asian Handicap — Wellington Phoenix FC

Handicap	Wellington Phoenix FC covers	Push	Adelaide United FC covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	17%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	59%	—	41%
+1	59%	18%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	12%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Wellington Phoenix FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Adelaide United FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.