Wednesday , 9 September 2026

Villarreal CF vs UD Las Palmas, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Mon 30 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Estadio de la Ceramica 18,159 HT 45' · FT 45'
Nicolas Pepe 45' 1–0
1–1 47' Fabio Silva
Thierno Barry 84' 2–1
Alex Baena 90+7' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

Villarreal CF vs UD Las PalmasLa Liga at Estadio de la Ceramica.

Match Details

  • Referee Mario Melero Lopez (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Jose Martinez Serrato (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Jose Francisco Garcia Lozano (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep UD Las Palmas H 3–1 W
26 Sep RCD Espanyol de Barcelona A 2–1 W
22 Sep FC Barcelona H 1–5 L
14 Sep RCD Mallorca A 2–1 W
31 Aug Valencia CF A 1–1 D
26 Aug RC Celta de Vigo H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Villarreal CF A 1–3 L
26 Sep Real Betis Balompie H 1–1 D
21 Sep CA Osasuna A 1–2 L
15 Sep Athletic Club H 2–3 L
01 Sep Deportivo Alaves A 0–2 L
29 Aug Real Madrid CF H 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Villarreal CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Villarreal CF
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
/1
61-75
1/
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Villarreal CF
Nicolas Pepe 2 G
Georges Mikautadze 1 G 1 A
Pape Gueye 1 G
Gerard Moreno 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Villarreal CF to score. At the same time, UD Las Palmas does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Villarreal CF have won 557 goals from 408 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' UD Las Palmas is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' It looks like no one’s ball. UD Las Palmas is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 20' Manuel Fuster is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Villarreal CF tonight.
  • 25' A quiet spell here at Estadio de la Ceramica. UD Las Palmas seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 29' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alex Suarez on 29.
  • 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Oliver McBurnie, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio de la Ceramica with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 45' What composure from Nicolas Pepe! The Ivory Coast international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 46' The Villarreal CF bench stirs into life. Denis Suarez is withdrawn and Alex Baena gets his opportunity.
  • 47' A goal from the Portugal international Fabio Silva! He fires home on 47 to make it 1-1!
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dinko Horkas on 50.
  • 52' Poor challenge from Fabio Silva. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 57' Adnan Januzaj has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 62' UD Las Palmas ring the changes. Oliver McBurnie has done his job and it is now time for Manuel Fuster to step up.
  • 67' Pape Gueye has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 48 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dinko Horkas suffering a number of foals already.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Villarreal CFSanti Comesana on, Pape Gueye off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' A tactical swap from Villarreal CFPau Cabanes on, Ilias Akhomach off on 78 minutes.
  • 79' Viti gets the nod from UD Las Palmas. He replaces Benito Ramirez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Thierno Barry puts Villarreal CF on the lead.
  • 86' Fresh legs for UD Las Palmas! Mata comes on to replace Dario Essugo.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for RamonTerrats Espacio. He replaces Nicolas Pepe on 87 minute.
  • 88' The Villarreal CF manager makes a substitution. Sergi Cardona departs to be replaced by Juan Bernat.
  • 3-1 the final result. UD Las Palmas will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 Villarreal CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 UD Las Palmas xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Villarreal CF47% Draw24% UD Las Palmas29%
Actual: Villarreal CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Villarreal CF or Draw
71%
Draw or UD Las Palmas
53%
Villarreal CF or UD Las Palmas
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Villarreal CF32% Draw43% UD Las Palmas25%
Actual: Villarreal CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Villarreal CF

Handicap Villarreal CF covers Push UD Las Palmas covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 19% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet
23%
UD Las Palmas keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.