Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2020-21

Udinese Calcio

1 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 28 Feb 2021 · 14:00 UTC Dacia Arena HT 45+2' · FT 45+5'

Y 64' Lucas Martinez

Llorente 73' Y

Y 90' Aleksandr Kokorin

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Dacia Arena.

Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gianluca Manganiello
Referee Lucas Mondin
Referee Manuel Volpi
Referee Giacomo Camplone
Referee Andrea Zingarelli

7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.4 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2021-02-28 Udinese Calcio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina 2020-10-25 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 Udinese Calcio 2020-03-08 Udinese Calcio 0–0 ACF Fiorentina 2019-10-06 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Udinese Calcio 2019-02-03 Udinese Calcio 1–1 ACF Fiorentina

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	ACF Fiorentina	H	1–0	W
21 Feb	Parma Calcio 1913	A	2–2	D
14 Feb	AS Roma	A	0–3	L
07 Feb	Hellas Verona FC	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	Spezia Calcio	A	1–0	W
23 Jan	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–0	D

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Feb	Udinese Calcio	A	0–1	L
19 Feb	Spezia Calcio	H	3–0	W
14 Feb	UC Sampdoria	A	1–2	L
05 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
29 Jan	Torino FC	A	1–1	D
23 Jan	FC Crotone	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		ACF Fiorentina
#10	Position	#15
50	Points	42
38	Played	38
14 / 8 / 16	W / D / L	9 / 15 / 14
45	Scored	41
48	Conceded	50
-3	GD	-9
1.32	PPG	1.11
37%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Dacia Arena. Udinese Calcio are looking to make home advantage count against ACF Fiorentina.
5' ACF Fiorentina are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
15' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
35' It looks surprising Udinese Calcio does not make any changes. German Pezzella has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
40' The home supporters are growing impatient. Udinese Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
45' Udinese Calcio are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's shape.
50' Udinese Calcio currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
55' Both keepers have barely been tested. Udinese Calcio and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
60' Borja Valero has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
64' Lucas Martinez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 64.
68' Aleksandr Kokorin is replacing Franck Ribery for the ACF Fiorentina side.
70' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Jean-Victor Makengo is replaced by Tolgay Ali Arslan.
73' Llorente was booked on 73.
77' A tactical swap from Udinese Calcio — Jayden Braaf on, Llorente off on 77 minutes.
79' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Gaetano Castrovilli departs to be replaced by Sofyan Amrabat.
84' Lucas Martinez has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
86' Ilija Nestorovski has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 86 minutes.
88' The crowd applauds Valentin Eysseric as he leaves the pitch. Borja Valero steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
90' The referee has no hesitation. Aleksandr Kokorin is booked for ACF Fiorentina — Yellow card on 90.
90' Nahuel Molina makes way for Sebastian De Maio at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Udinese Calcio.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Udinese Calcio take all three points.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

32
Llorente ↓ Jayden Braaf 77'
6
Jean-Victor Makengo ↓ Tolgay Ali Arslan 70'
11
Walace
14
Kevin Bonifazi
17
Bram Nuytinck
10
Rodrigo de Paul C
19
Jens Stryger Larsen
1
Juan Musso
30
Ilija Nestorovski
50
Rodrigo Becao
16
Nahuel Molina ↓ Sebastian De Maio 90'

Bench

Coach Luca Gotti

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

Starting XI

10
Gaetano Castrovilli ↓ Sofyan Amrabat 79'
7
Franck Ribery ↓ Aleksandr Kokorin 68'
25
Kevin Malcuit ↓ Martin Caceres 79'
78
Erick Pulgar
69
Bartlomiej Dragowski
20
German Pezzella C ↓ Cristobal Montiel Rodriguez 88'
4
Nikola Milenkovic
3
Cristiano Biraghi
92
Valentin Eysseric ↓ Borja Valero 88'
9
Dusan Vlahovic
2
Lucas Martinez

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Gaetano Castrovilli	3
Stefano Okaka	2
Florian Thauvin	2
Lorenzo Lucca	2
Moise Kean	2
Giacomo Bonaventura	2
Nikola Milenkovic	2
Sandi Lovric	1

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2021-02-28 Udinese Calcio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2021-02-21 Parma Calcio 1913 2–2 Udinese Calcio D 2021-02-14 AS Roma 3–0 Udinese Calcio L 2021-02-07 Udinese Calcio 2–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2021-01-31 Spezia Calcio 0–1 Udinese Calcio W 2021-01-23 Udinese Calcio 0–0 FC Internazionale Milano D

ACF Fiorentina Form

2021-02-28 Udinese Calcio 1–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2021-02-19 ACF Fiorentina 3–0 Spezia Calcio W 2021-02-14 UC Sampdoria 2–1 ACF Fiorentina L 2021-02-05 ACF Fiorentina 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2021-01-29 Torino FC 1–1 ACF Fiorentina D 2021-01-23 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 FC Crotone W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.28 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.83 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio48% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina23%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.11

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	86%	14%
± 1.5	63%	37%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

77%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

52%

Udinese Calcio or ACF Fiorentina

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio31% Draw53% ACF Fiorentina16%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.4%

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

13.8%

2 – 0

9.6%

0 – 1

8.7%

2 – 1

1 – 2

5.1%

3 – 0

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 1

3.5%

2 – 2

3.4%

3 – 2

1.6%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	14%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	24%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	78%	—	22%
+1	78%	15%	7%
+1.5	93%	—	7%
+2	93%	6%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

44% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.