Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Spezia Calcio, Serie A 2020-21 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2020-21
Fri 19 Feb 2021 · 17:30 UTC Stadio Artemio Franchi HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Spezia CalcioSerie A at Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Match Details

  • Referee Piero Giacomelli
  • Referee Giampaolo Calvarese
  • Referee Alessandro Prontera
  • Referee Antonio Vono
  • Referee Gaetano Massara (Italy)

Head-to-Head

4
2
ACF Fiorentina 6 games · Avg 3.0 goals Spezia Calcio

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb Spezia Calcio H 3–0 W
14 Feb UC Sampdoria A 1–2 L
05 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
29 Jan Torino FC A 1–1 D
23 Jan FC Crotone H 2–1 W
17 Jan SSC Napoli A 0–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–3 L
13 Feb AC Milan H 2–0 W
06 Feb US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–1 W
31 Jan Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
23 Jan AS Roma A 3–4 L
16 Jan Torino FC A 0–0 D

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.78 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Spezia Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina53% Draw25% Spezia Calcio22%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
78%
Draw or Spezia Calcio
47%
ACF Fiorentina or Spezia Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina38% Draw45% Spezia Calcio17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.2%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Spezia Calcio covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 16% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 23% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 13% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
36%
Spezia Calcio keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.