Thursday , 17 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
5 – 1
Full Time
OGC Nice
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Gael Angoula

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Lille OSC 4 10
2 AS Monaco FC 4 10
3 Stade Rennais FC 1901 4 10
4 Olympique Lyonnais 4 8
5 Paris FC 4 8
6 RC Strasbourg Alsace 4 7
7 Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 5
8 Stade Brestois 29 4 5
9 FC Lorient 4 5
10 Racing Club de Lens 4 4
11 Angers SCO 4 4
12 ES Troyes AC 4 4
13 Olympique de Marseille 4 3
14 Le Mans FC 4 3
15 AJ Auxerre 4 3
16 Le Havre AC 4 2
17 Toulouse FC 4 2
18 OGC Nice 4 2

Head-to-Head

7
7
6
Toulouse FC 20 games · Avg 2.7 goals OGC Nice
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan OGC Nice H 5–1 W
02 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–3 L
13 Dec Paris FC A 3–0 W
06 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–0 W
29 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 2–2 D
23 Nov Angers SCO H 0–1 L
OGC Nice
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Toulouse FC A 1–5 L
03 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
14 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L
11 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–1 L
07 Dec Angers SCO H 0–1 L
30 Nov FC Lorient A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC OGC Nice
#17 Position #18
2 Points 2
4 Played 4
0 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 0 / 2 / 2
4 Scored 1
7 Conceded 5
-3 GD -4
0.50 PPG 0.50
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Toulouse FC are 17th (2 pts). OGC Nice are 18th (2 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
2/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
–/1
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Jacen Russell-Rowe 1 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Toulouse FC launch into their encounter with OGC Nice.
  • The final score is 5-1.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Thijs Dallinga 3
Pierre Lees Melou 2
Terem Moffi 2
Christophe Herelle 1
Mathieu Dossevi 1
Aaron Ramsey 1
Bassem Srarfi 1
Mathieu Dossevi 1

Head to Head

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice

Toulouse FC Form

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice W 2026-01-02 Toulouse FC 0–3 Racing Club de Lens L 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-12-06 Toulouse FC 1–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace W 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-23 Toulouse FC 0–1 Angers SCO L

OGC Nice Form

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice L 2026-01-03 OGC Nice 1–1 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2025-12-14 Racing Club de Lens 2–0 OGC Nice L 2025-12-11 OGC Nice 0–1 Sporting Clube de Braga L 2025-12-07 OGC Nice 0–1 Angers SCO L 2025-11-30 FC Lorient 3–1 OGC Nice L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.8 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Toulouse FC to win 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC64% Draw23% OGC Nice13%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2.44
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
87%
Draw or OGC Nice
36%
Toulouse FC or OGC Nice
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC44% Draw46% OGC Nice10%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
15%
2 – 0
13.8%
1 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
8.1%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.7%
4 – 0
3.7%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.8%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 20% 62%
-1.5 38% — 62%
-1 38% 26% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 8% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
53% ✗
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.