Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Toulouse FC
5 – 1
Full Time
OGC Nice
Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Gael Angoula
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Paris Saint-Germain FC 10 23
2 Lille OSC 10 21
3 Paris FC 10 20
4 Olympique de Marseille 10 18
5 Olympique Lyonnais 10 17
6 OGC Nice 10 17
7 AS Monaco FC 10 16
8 Stade Rennais FC 1901 10 16
9 Stade Brestois 29 10 15
10 FC Lorient 10 15
11 Racing Club de Lens 10 13
12 Toulouse FC 10 13
13 RC Strasbourg Alsace 10 10
14 AJ Auxerre 10 10
15 Le Mans FC 10 8
16 Angers SCO 10 8
17 ES Troyes AC 10 8
18 Le Havre AC 10 2

Head-to-Head

7
7
6
Toulouse FC 20 games · Avg 2.7 goals OGC Nice
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice

Recent Form

Toulouse FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan OGC Nice H 5–1 W
02 Jan Racing Club de Lens H 0–3 L
13 Dec Paris FC A 3–0 W
06 Dec RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–0 W
29 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 2–2 D
23 Nov Angers SCO H 0–1 L
OGC Nice
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Jan Toulouse FC A 1–5 L
03 Jan RC Strasbourg Alsace H 1–1 D
14 Dec Racing Club de Lens A 0–2 L
11 Dec Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–1 L
07 Dec Angers SCO H 0–1 L
30 Nov FC Lorient A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC OGC Nice
#12 Position #6
13 Points 17
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 2 / 3
15 Scored 15
14 Conceded 12
+1 GD +3
1.30 PPG 1.70
30% Win % 50%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season

Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts). OGC Nice are 6th (17 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
OGC Nice
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
3/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 3 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G
OGC Nice
Sepe Elye Wahi 6 G 2 A
Jonathan Clauss 3 G 1 A
Mohammed Amoura 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Toulouse FC welcome OGC Nice for this crunch clash at .
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Thijs Dallinga 3
Pierre Lees Melou 2
Terem Moffi 2
Wylan Cyprien 1
Mark McKenzie 1
Issiaga Sylla 1
Gaetan Laborde 1
Malang Sarr 1

Head to Head

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice

Toulouse FC Form

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice W 2026-01-02 Toulouse FC 0–3 Racing Club de Lens L 2025-12-13 Paris FC 0–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-12-06 Toulouse FC 1–0 RC Strasbourg Alsace W 2025-11-29 Olympique de Marseille 2–2 Toulouse FC D 2025-11-23 Toulouse FC 0–1 Angers SCO L

OGC Nice Form

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice L 2026-01-03 OGC Nice 1–1 RC Strasbourg Alsace D 2025-12-14 Racing Club de Lens 2–0 OGC Nice L 2025-12-11 OGC Nice 0–1 Sporting Clube de Braga L 2025-12-07 OGC Nice 0–1 Angers SCO L 2025-11-30 FC Lorient 3–1 OGC Nice L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC58% Draw23% OGC Nice19%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
80%
Draw or OGC Nice
42%
Toulouse FC or OGC Nice
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC40% Draw42% OGC Nice18%
Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 22% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.