Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 .
- Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- OGC Nice 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gael Angoula
3 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Monaco FC | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Olympique Lyonnais | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Lille OSC | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | Angers SCO | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Le Mans FC | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | AJ Auxerre | 5 | 6 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | FC Lorient | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Toulouse FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | OGC Nice | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club de Lens | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | Olympique de Marseille | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | OGC Nice | H | 5–1 | W |
| 02 Jan | Racing Club de Lens | H | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Dec | Paris FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Nov | Angers SCO | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan | Toulouse FC | A | 1–5 | L |
| 03 Jan | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Dec | Racing Club de Lens | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Dec | Sporting Clube de Braga | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Dec | Angers SCO | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | FC Lorient | A | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| Toulouse FC | OGC Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #14 |
| 5 | Points | 5 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| 7 | Scored | 3 |
| 9 | Conceded | 6 |
| -2 | GD | -3 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 20% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
OGC Nice this season
OGC Nice this season
Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). OGC Nice are 14th (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
OGC Nice
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 3 G | |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 2 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 1 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Toulouse FC and OGC Nice is underway.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
OGC Nice Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thijs Dallinga | 3 |
| Pierre Lees Melou | 2 |
| Terem Moffi | 2 |
| Bassem Srarfi | 1 |
| Shavy Warren Babicka | 1 |
| Firmin Mubele | 1 |
| Jonathan Clauss | 1 |
| Wylan Cyprien | 1 |
Head to Head
Toulouse FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.96
Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85
OGC Nice xG
I would bet for:
Toulouse FC to win 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.81
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Toulouse FC or Draw
85%
Draw or OGC Nice
37%
Toulouse FC or OGC Nice
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–1 not predicted5 – 1Actual
2 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
3 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.5%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC
| Handicap | Toulouse FC covers | Push | OGC Nice covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.