Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Refresh

Ligue 1 · 2025-26

Toulouse FC

5 – 1

Full Time

OGC Nice

Sat 17 Jan 2026 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice — Ligue 1 .

Toulouse FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
OGC Nice 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gael Angoula

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Nantes	34	24
2	FC Metz	34	17
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	0	0
4	Racing Club de Lens	0	0
5	Lille OSC	0	0
6	Olympique Lyonnais	0	0
7	Olympique de Marseille	0	0
8	Stade Rennais FC 1901	0	0
9	AS Monaco FC	0	0
10	RC Strasbourg Alsace	0	0
11	Toulouse FC	0	0
12	FC Lorient	0	0
13	Paris FC	0	0
14	Stade Brestois 29	0	0
15	ES Troyes AC	0	0
16	Angers SCO	0	0
17	Le Mans FC	0	0
18	Le Havre AC	0	0
19	AJ Auxerre	0	0
20	OGC Nice	0	0

Head-to-Head

Toulouse FC 20 games · Avg 2.7 goals OGC Nice

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-17 Toulouse FC 5–1 OGC Nice 2025-08-16 OGC Nice 0–1 Toulouse FC 2025-02-02 Toulouse FC 1–1 OGC Nice 2024-08-25 OGC Nice 1–1 Toulouse FC 2024-03-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 OGC Nice

Recent Form

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	OGC Nice	H	5–1	W
02 Jan	Racing Club de Lens	H	0–3	L
13 Dec	Paris FC	A	3–0	W
06 Dec	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	1–0	W
29 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	2–2	D
23 Nov	Angers SCO	H	0–1	L

OGC Nice

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 Jan	Toulouse FC	A	1–5	L
03 Jan	RC Strasbourg Alsace	H	1–1	D
14 Dec	Racing Club de Lens	A	0–2	L
11 Dec	Sporting Clube de Braga	H	0–1	L
07 Dec	Angers SCO	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	FC Lorient	A	1–3	L

Season Stats

Toulouse FC		OGC Nice
#11	Position	#20
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). OGC Nice are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Toulouse FC and OGC Nice has kicked off!
With this win, Toulouse FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

OGC Nice Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Thijs Dallinga	3
Pierre Lees Melou	2
Terem Moffi	2
Malang Sarr	1
Christophe Herelle	1
Mathieu Dossevi	1
Aaron Ramsey	1
Bassem Srarfi	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.27 Toulouse FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.48 OGC Nice xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 74% + Under — clean sheet likely 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Toulouse FC58% Draw29% OGC Nice13%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes29% 0% No71%

Avg goals/match: 1.75

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	80%	20%
± 1.5	53%	47%
± 2.5	26%	74%
± 3.5	11%	89%
± 4.5	4%	96%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw

87%

Draw or OGC Nice

42%

Toulouse FC or OGC Nice

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Toulouse FC35% Draw56% OGC Nice9%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

20.8%

0 – 0

19.6%

2 – 0

13.3%

1 – 1

11.3%

0 – 1

2 – 1

6.8%

3 – 0

5.6%

3 – 1

1 – 2

2.5%

4 – 0

1.8%

0 – 2

1.8%

2 – 2

1.7%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap	Toulouse FC covers	Push	OGC Nice covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	17%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	29%	45%
-0.5	55%	—	45%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	10%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

62% ✗

OGC Nice keeps clean sheet

29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.