Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs OGC Nice, Ligue 1 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Sun 3 Mar 2024 · 12:00 UTC Stadium Municipal HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Terem Moffi
Thijs Dallinga 65' 1–1
Yann Gboho 69' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs OGC NiceLigue 1 at Stadium Municipal.

Match Details

  • Referee Pignard Jeremie
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Philippe Jeanne

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar OGC Nice H 2–1 W
25 Feb Lille OSC H 3–1 W
22 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–0 D
18 Feb AS Monaco FC A 2–1 W
15 Feb Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–2 L
11 Feb FC Nantes H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–2 L
25 Feb Clermont Foot 63 H 0–0 D
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
11 Feb AS Monaco FC H 2–3 L
04 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 0–0 D
27 Jan FC Metz H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC OGC Nice
#11 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
45% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). OGC Nice are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadium Municipal. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' Khephren Thuram-Ulie catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 2.
  • 7' Toulouse FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 8' Terem Moffi doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 18' Over 18 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Logan Costa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 28' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 28 minutes.
  • 33' It’s high time Carles Martínez made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toulouse FC that had 420 games and scored 404 goals.
  • 43' Melvin Bard is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toulouse FC so far.
  • 45' Logan Costa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a card for Terem Moffi.
  • 55' OGC Nice started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 60' OGC Nice are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 61' A tactical swap from Toulouse FCGabriel Suazo on, Kevin Keben Biakolo off on 61 minutes.
  • 63' OGC Nice manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gaetan Laborde is hanging Terem Moffi on the field on 63 minute.
  • 65' Thijs Dallinga adds to his 0 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 69' Yann Gboho adds to his 0 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 74' OGC Nice is showing some good football. However, OGC Nice are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 77' Tom Louchet has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jordan Lotomba on 77 minute.
  • 82' OGC Nice fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 83' Frank Magri is replacing Thijs Dallinga for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 84' OGC Nice ring the changes. Hicham Boudaoui has done his job and it is now time for Alexis Claude Maurice to step up.
  • 89' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 90' Stijn Spierings was booked on 90.
  • 90' Naatan Skytta is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aron Donnum at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.57 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.42 OGC Nice xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 91% + Under — clean sheet likely 83%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC37% Draw43% OGC Nice20%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes17% 0% No83%
Avg goals/match: 0.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 60%
40%
± 1.5 27%
73%
± 2.5 9%
91%
± 3.5 2%
98%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
80%
Draw or OGC Nice
63%
Toulouse FC or OGC Nice
57%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC16% Draw73% OGC Nice11%
Actual: OGC Nice win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
40%
1 – 0
19.4%
0 – 1
13.4%
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
2.7%
1 – 2
2%
3 – 0
1%
2 – 2
0.8%
3 – 1
0.6%
0 – 3
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push OGC Nice covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 23% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 16% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
66%
OGC Nice keeps clean sheet
57%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.