Paris FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Paris FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .
- Paris FC 10 games · 20 pts (2026/27)
- Toulouse FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastien Dechepy
6 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 16.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 10 | 18 |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | OGC Nice | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 10 | 16 |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Stade Brestois 29 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Lorient | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Racing Club de Lens | 10 | 13 |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 10 | 13 |
| 13 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 10 |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 10 | 8 |
| 16 | Angers SCO | 10 | 8 |
| 17 | ES Troyes AC | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 10 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec | Toulouse FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 07 Dec | Le Havre AC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Nov | AJ Auxerre | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | Lille OSC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 07 Nov | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Nov | AS Monaco FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec | Paris FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 06 Dec | RC Strasbourg Alsace | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Nov | Olympique de Marseille | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Nov | Angers SCO | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | FC Lorient | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Le Havre AC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Paris FC | Toulouse FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #12 |
| 20 | Points | 13 |
| 10 | Played | 10 |
| 6 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| 17 | Scored | 15 |
| 10 | Conceded | 14 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.30 |
| 60% | Win % | 30% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
Paris FC this season
Paris FC this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
Toulouse FC this season
Paris FC are 3rd (20 pts). Toulouse FC are 12th (13 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Paris FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/4
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
8/–
61-75
2/4
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Paris FC
| Lassine Sinayoko | 9 G | 5 A |
| Pablo Pagis | 2 G | 2 A |
| Maxime Lopez | 2 G | 1 A |
| Vincent Marchetti | 1 G | |
| Samir Chergui | 1 G |
Toulouse FC
| Casper Tengstedt | 5 G | 1 A |
| Thomas Jorgensen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jacen Russell-Rowe | 2 G | |
| Christ Tape | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Paris FC host Toulouse FC — let the battle begin!
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Paris FC Lineups
Toulouse FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Vakoun Issouf Bayo | 2 |
| Rhys Healey | 2 |
| Bafode Diakite | 2 |
| Florian Martin | 1 |
| Said Arab | 1 |
| Moustapha Name | 1 |
| Morgan Guilavogui | 1 |
| Warren Caddy | 1 |
Head to Head
Paris FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36
Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5
Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for:
Paris FC or Toulouse FC 72% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Toulouse FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Paris FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Toulouse FC
67%
Paris FC or Toulouse FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Toulouse FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
2 – 1
7.6%
0 – 0
7.6%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
0 – 3
Actual
Asian Handicap — Paris FC
| Handicap | Paris FC covers | Push | Toulouse FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 20% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 12% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Paris FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

